Pale-Innocent — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.0%

Resolved

Trades

146

lifetime

Volume

$207

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-12

last 05-09 01:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 62% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 50 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (20) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	3	$12	9	9	+0	Down	+$4	05-09 01:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	6	$10	17	0	+17	Down	+$7	05-08 23:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	5	$10	6	6	+0	Up	+$2	05-08 22:50
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	9	$9	22	0	+22	Up	$-9	05-09 01:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	6	$7	8	6	+2	Down	$-1	05-08 22:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	6	$7	19	0	+19	Up	+$12	05-08 23:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	5	$7	5	5	+0	Down	+$1	05-09 00:09
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	3	$6	3	3	+0	Down	+$0	05-09 00:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	3	$6	4	4	+0	Down	+$2	05-08 23:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	4	$6	117	0	+117	Down	$-6	05-08 23:55
btc updown 5m 1776026400	1	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	04-12 20:43
btc updown 5m 1776032400	6	$5	7	2	+5	open	—	04-12 22:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	3	$5	3	3	+0	Up	+$1	05-09 01:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	Up	$-5	05-09 00:10
btc updown 5m 1776033900	1	$5	12	0	+12	open	—	04-12 22:45
btc updown 5m 1776034800	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	04-12 23:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	4	$5	13	0	+13	Down	+$1	05-09 00:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	5	$5	45	0	+45	Up	+$2	05-09 01:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	4	$5	3	3	+0	Down	+$1	05-08 22:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	4	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$0	05-09 01:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	2	$4	50	0	+50	Up	$-4	05-09 00:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	2	$4	6	0	+6	Up	$-4	05-08 22:21
btc updown 5m 1776033300	4	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	04-12 22:37
btc updown 5m 1776029400	4	$4	6	0	+6	open	—	04-12 21:34
btc updown 5m 1776031200	4	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	04-12 22:01
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	3	$3	9	5	+5	Up	$-1	05-08 23:19
btc updown 5m 1776026100	3	$3	3	2	+1	open	—	04-12 20:37
btc updown 5m 1776028200	2	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	04-12 21:13
btc updown 5m 1776030600	3	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	04-12 21:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	2	$3	3	0	+3	Down	+$0	05-08 22:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-09 01:43:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	21¢	$2	0xed0c06…
05-09 01:38:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xe6828f…
05-09 01:38:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xbf9236…
05-09 01:38:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xfc56c4…
05-09 01:38:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	22¢	$1	0x8305b8…
05-09 01:36:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x649bf0…
05-09 01:35:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xd573a8…
05-09 01:35:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x1270f8…
05-09 01:35:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x8dfd3c…
05-09 01:35:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xb9bd07…
05-09 01:29:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0xec8f2c…
05-09 01:27:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x928704…
05-09 01:26:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xfe5077…
05-09 01:26:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x73280d…
05-09 01:25:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x692dc3…
05-09 01:22:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0xfdc12d…
05-09 01:20:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x6932e9…
05-09 01:17:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	SELL	9	88¢	$8	0xd9b266…
05-09 01:16:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x3f7577…
05-09 01:16:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x76c196…
05-09 01:12:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x866eba…
05-09 01:12:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xebae8c…
05-09 01:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x8fe8a7…
05-09 01:07:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x68e214…
05-09 01:06:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x1a7e8f…
05-09 01:05:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x3386e2…
05-09 01:04:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xe717d2…
05-09 01:04:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x9bfb34…
05-09 01:03:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x0b86c2…
05-09 01:02:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0xc32a6f…
05-09 01:01:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x5703db…
05-09 00:57:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x6aeb8d…
05-09 00:56:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xa63111…
05-09 00:55:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xbfe11e…
05-09 00:54:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	43	5¢	$2	0xa73ce8…
05-09 00:53:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x6f73a3…
05-09 00:44:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xb91d5e…
05-09 00:43:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x910a6c…
05-09 00:43:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xfae5dc…
05-09 00:43:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xb22bc6…
05-09 00:36:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x5abf3b…
05-09 00:10:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xbaa78e…
05-09 00:09:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	SELL	3	91¢	$3	0x55e954…
05-09 00:09:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xc59a96…
05-09 00:09:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xf23180…
05-09 00:07:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x784534…
05-09 00:06:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x2936a4…
05-09 00:03:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xdcbb9e…
05-08 23:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x879cb5…
05-08 23:54:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	13	16¢	$2	0xe0b5a2…
05-08 23:53:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x31a32f…
05-08 23:51:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xeb0672…
05-08 23:38:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xe05b21…
05-08 23:38:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x7dcb7c…
05-08 23:34:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xcf3e4c…
05-08 23:34:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xa48859…
05-08 23:34:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x8f4cac…
05-08 23:34:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x4fe7da…
05-08 23:33:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x895358…
05-08 23:33:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xd88cab…
05-08 23:29:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xbe8b23…
05-08 23:29:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xe68463…
05-08 23:29:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x74bfdf…
05-08 23:28:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x8eaf12…
05-08 23:28:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x574655…
05-08 23:28:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xf47005…
05-08 23:25:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x56c009…
05-08 23:24:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xd00027…
05-08 23:22:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xd810bd…
05-08 23:19:06	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x0c12ca…
05-08 23:19:01	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0x4d4183…
05-08 23:18:21	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x1b35e5…
05-08 23:14:42	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	80¢	$1	0xa84718…
05-08 23:11:07	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xbe36ca…
05-08 23:04:21	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xde8c36…
05-08 22:52:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xe89792…
05-08 22:51:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x55c543…
05-08 22:50:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xab11f1…
05-08 22:49:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x5e6dc7…
05-08 22:49:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xb56bb4…
05-08 22:49:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xd0e991…
05-08 22:48:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x6c0e18…
05-08 22:21:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x8aa0dc…
05-08 22:20:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x837be0…
05-08 22:16:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x098510…
05-08 22:15:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	SELL	4	60¢	$2	0xf8417d…
05-08 22:15:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x265afa…
05-08 22:15:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xf2abaf…
05-08 22:15:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x54a90c…
05-08 22:15:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xb1748d…
05-08 22:14:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xa8a33c…
05-08 22:12:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xb1bb06…
05-08 22:11:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc56bb2…
05-08 22:08:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xd32601…
05-08 22:07:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0x8042f8…
05-08 22:06:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x1dd58b…
05-08 22:01:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x3cde4f…
05-08 21:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x053cbc…
04-12 23:07:51	btc updown 5m 1776035100	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xff5bcd…
04-12 23:03:55	btc updown 5m 1776034800	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xa93477…