Tragic-Creek — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$28

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

48.4%

Resolved

Trades

185

lifetime

Volume

$809

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-29

last 06-10 00:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 34% $-28

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 71 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12PM ET	13	$68	64	64	+0	Down	+$6	05-12 16:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11PM ET	6	$65	320	77	+243	Down	$-36	05-12 03:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	3	$59	40	40	+0	Down	+$19	05-12 03:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12AM ET	10	$54	157	157	+0	Up	$-8	05-12 04:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4PM ET	7	$50	160	21	+138	Down	$-22	05-11 20:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	2	$48	50	50	+0	Down	+$34	05-11 20:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	4	$40	51	51	+0	Down	+$14	05-12 04:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10PM ET	9	$38	46	29	+17	Up	$-2	05-12 02:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	6	$36	56	31	+26	Up	$-8	05-12 17:41
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 13?	4	$35	29	29	+0	Down	+$1	05-13 06:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1PM ET	5	$35	48	48	+0	Up	$-1	05-12 17:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	9	$25	77	27	+50	Down	+$1	05-13 06:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	7	$21	42	12	+30	Up	$-4	05-13 06:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5PM ET	6	$16	31	6	+25	Up	+$16	05-11 21:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	2	$13	8	8	+0	Up	+$3	05-12 04:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1PM ET	2	$13	8	8	+0	Up	+$3	05-11 18:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12PM ET	4	$12	17	17	+0	Up	$-2	05-13 16:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2AM ET	4	$11	17	17	+0	Down	$-3	05-13 06:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	1	$11	13	0	+13	Up	+$2	05-11 18:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3PM ET	2	$10	7	7	+0	Up	+$4	05-11 20:05
will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	2	$10	11	11	+0	open	—	06-09 17:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2PM ET	2	$10	17	0	+17	Down	$-10	05-11 18:12
bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 7pm et	3	$10	15	12	+3	open	—	06-09 23:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	2	$9	7	7	+0	Up	+$5	05-13 06:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	2	$7	7	7	+0	Up	+$1	05-13 06:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	2	$7	2,610	0	+2,610	Up	$-7	05-12 04:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	6	$7	6	6	+0	open	—	04-29 08:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	2	$6	11	11	+0	Up	$-4	05-12 16:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	6	$6	6	5	+1	open	—	04-29 08:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	4	$5	102	2	+100	open	—	04-29 08:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 00:04:36	bitcoin above 56k on june 10 2026	No	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x05c2dd…
06-10 00:03:42	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 8pm et	Down	SELL	4	36¢	$1	0x52094f…
06-10 00:01:15	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 8pm et	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x5e258b…
06-09 23:59:01	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 7pm et	Down	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x6ea0ba…
06-09 23:58:51	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 7pm et	Up	SELL	12	15¢	$2	0x8cfe25…
06-09 23:57:07	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x1fc8d1…
06-09 17:55:40	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0xb3ad34…
06-09 17:52:43	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	No	SELL	11	48¢	$5	0xfae13d…
06-09 17:47:48	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	41	7¢	$3	0xbc542c…
06-09 17:45:33	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x3e91eb…
05-13 16:33:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x54f855…
05-13 16:28:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	9¢	$0	0x1a281e…
05-13 16:28:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x2fe7d9…
05-13 16:26:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xe5896e…
05-13 16:26:01	Will Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	7	12¢	$1	0x92793d…
05-13 16:24:51	Will Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xc1567d…
05-13 16:22:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12PM ET	Down	SELL	8	23¢	$2	0x0127e0…
05-13 16:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x343af1…
05-13 16:14:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12PM ET	Down	SELL	9	37¢	$3	0xa1100a…
05-13 15:55:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0x74ebdc…
05-13 15:52:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x89e531…
05-13 06:40:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0x0cbda3…
05-13 06:38:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x47e415…
05-13 06:38:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x7a4f19…
05-13 06:38:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x026861…
05-13 06:38:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	SELL	6	84¢	$5	0xe59035…
05-13 06:37:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x6a6d77…
05-13 06:37:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0x5f38f9…
05-13 06:35:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x823eaf…
05-13 06:34:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x57fa65…
05-13 06:33:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	SELL	7	3¢	$0	0x81cf81…
05-13 06:33:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x012af6…
05-13 06:32:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	SELL	9	70¢	$6	0x2d4cef…
05-13 06:32:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2AM ET	Down	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0xb6e4ac…
05-13 06:31:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xa527c4…
05-13 06:31:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x489795…
05-13 06:31:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	SELL	12	52¢	$6	0x1e9488…
05-13 06:30:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xb255e2…
05-13 06:30:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xae7e24…
05-13 06:29:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x1ddd6f…
05-13 06:28:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x5cdd0b…
05-13 06:23:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x02f051…
05-13 06:21:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	SELL	7	62¢	$4	0x0e81ef…
05-13 06:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x810bfd…
05-13 06:14:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2AM ET	Down	SELL	12	25¢	$3	0xae958f…
05-13 06:14:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	41	0¢	$0	0xdbe54b…
05-13 06:11:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	41	5¢	$2	0x002010…
05-13 06:06:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x59c8fd…
05-13 06:05:28	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 13?	Up	SELL	10	77¢	$8	0x68395d…
05-13 05:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 13?	Up	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x54cb2b…
05-12 17:41:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xa6b014…
05-12 17:34:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xa0af23…
05-12 17:33:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	16	43¢	$7	0xca9659…
05-12 17:32:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x04c3ca…
05-12 17:31:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	15	47¢	$7	0x20caaa…
05-12 17:30:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	15	59¢	$9	0xd0022e…
05-12 17:27:39	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 13?	Up	SELL	19	53¢	$10	0x1d8692…
05-12 17:13:25	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 13?	Up	BUY	19	47¢	$9	0xf81b6b…
05-12 17:10:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1PM ET	Down	SELL	25	36¢	$9	0x1360f1…
05-12 17:08:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x91285d…
05-12 17:07:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x9505fd…
05-12 17:05:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1PM ET	Down	SELL	23	34¢	$8	0xd7315f…
05-12 17:01:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xc7ef65…
05-12 16:57:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12PM ET	Down	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x60628a…
05-12 16:37:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x28ccf6…
05-12 16:35:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x09cb19…
05-12 16:29:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12PM ET	Up	SELL	19	43¢	$8	0xb7f066…
05-12 16:24:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	19	41¢	$8	0xe00ab1…
05-12 16:13:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	75	4¢	$3	0x5be4ed…
05-12 16:13:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	11	11¢	$1	0xd227eb…
05-12 16:12:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xcbedfd…
05-12 16:11:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12PM ET	Up	SELL	10	52¢	$5	0xd637c3…
05-12 16:08:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xfc3352…
05-12 16:06:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12PM ET	Down	SELL	10	53¢	$5	0x954a3a…
05-12 16:05:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12PM ET	Up	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x9c5eed…
05-12 16:05:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x4508e1…
05-12 16:04:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x83396b…
05-12 16:04:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12PM ET	Up	SELL	12	52¢	$6	0x9e55c6…
05-12 16:01:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xa5e773…
05-12 15:56:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0xddf623…
05-12 13:52:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	22	13¢	$3	0xd3406a…
05-12 13:45:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x6df479…
05-12 04:46:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x19a6dc…
05-12 04:44:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12AM ET	Down	SELL	38	2¢	$1	0xdcd03d…
05-12 04:33:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	38	8¢	$3	0x26ac85…
05-12 04:32:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12AM ET	Down	SELL	55	7¢	$4	0x0195d3…
05-12 04:31:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	55	9¢	$5	0x8dfba2…
05-12 04:30:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12AM ET	Up	SELL	5	90¢	$5	0xbd20d3…
05-12 04:29:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x1ceca6…
05-12 04:26:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2,151	0¢	$5	0x6488a3…
05-12 04:26:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	459	0¢	$2	0xe76d4e…
05-12 04:22:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12AM ET	Down	SELL	54	20¢	$11	0x811b10…
05-12 04:18:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	54	28¢	$15	0x3192e6…
05-12 04:15:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x4eda8d…
05-12 04:15:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x4e4264…
05-12 04:14:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x8cecf2…
05-12 04:13:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	SELL	42	44¢	$19	0x25e0cc…
05-12 04:12:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	42	19¢	$8	0x8568b0…
05-12 04:11:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12AM ET	Up	SELL	6	43¢	$2	0x725e2e…
05-12 04:10:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xf2407e…