Muddy-Park — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$95

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.5%

Resolved

128

Trades

325

lifetime

Volume

$927

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-22 04:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 59% +$95

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 93 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1AM ET	4	$35	78	+78	Up	+$43	05-11 05:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	3	$25	50	+50	Up	+$3	05-10 01:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	5	$19	33	+33	Up	+$0	05-11 03:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	6	$16	30	+30	Down	$-4	05-11 03:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	2	$15	28	+28	Down	+$13	05-08 01:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	2	$15	27	+27	Up	+$1	05-11 04:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	2	$15	29	+29	Down	$-1	05-10 02:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	2	$15	26	+26	Down	$-6	05-10 01:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	2	$15	26	+26	Up	+$11	05-10 00:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	5	$15	28	+28	Up	$-2	05-11 02:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	4	$13	22	+22	Down	$-4	05-11 01:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	3	$12	24	+24	Up	+$12	05-08 04:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	3	$11	27	+27	Down	$-1	05-10 01:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	3	$11	29	+29	Up	$-0	05-12 01:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	5	$11	24	+24	Up	+$0	05-11 02:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	5	$11	22	+22	open	—	05-17 03:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	3	$11	46	+46	Up	+$10	05-10 04:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5PM ET	2	$10	24	+24	open	—	05-16 21:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	2	$10	19	+19	Down	+$9	05-09 23:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	2	$10	29	+29	Down	+$5	05-10 01:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	2	$10	18	+18	Down	+$8	05-08 00:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	2	$10	20	+20	Up	$-10	05-10 04:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	2	$10	14	+14	Down	+$4	05-08 01:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	3	$10	22	+22	Up	+$0	05-11 02:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	1	$10	12	+12	Up	$-10	05-09 22:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8PM ET	4	$10	19	+19	Up	+$4	05-06 00:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	3	$9	12	+12	Up	+$3	05-06 02:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	3	$9	18	+18	Down	+$2	05-11 00:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	3	$9	18	+18	Down	$-1	05-11 01:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	3	$8	20	+20	open	—	05-15 23:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-22 04:44:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	31	3¢	$1	0xf2ee7f…
05-22 04:40:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x77410b…
05-17 03:23:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xdafd61…
05-17 03:23:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x5d829c…
05-17 03:23:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x476f12…
05-17 03:22:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x7eae6a…
05-17 03:21:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x3ed4b2…
05-17 03:18:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xcc4f75…
05-17 03:17:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x67818a…
05-17 03:14:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x10b65e…
05-17 03:13:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xba3e30…
05-17 03:02:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x8866c6…
05-17 02:28:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xb96f3c…
05-17 02:22:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x61a5c1…
05-17 00:42:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xbee788…
05-17 00:40:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x33d076…
05-17 00:24:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x4b6f84…
05-17 00:23:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x08ec6c…
05-17 00:19:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x1ade96…
05-17 00:19:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xbe21b4…
05-17 00:18:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x06b66b…
05-17 00:13:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xed3a68…
05-17 00:06:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x621228…
05-17 00:06:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x7ddaa1…
05-16 22:49:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x7ed935…
05-16 22:41:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x5d6c36…
05-16 22:38:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xca90d4…
05-16 22:38:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xd4ad3e…
05-16 22:19:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x7bfda5…
05-16 22:17:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xb29067…
05-16 21:59:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x4d8a92…
05-16 21:59:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xcdb4cb…
05-16 21:57:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x9571ec…
05-16 21:56:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x5881cc…
05-16 21:56:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x91a343…
05-16 21:52:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x850680…
05-16 01:57:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x949479…
05-16 01:39:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x537001…
05-16 01:24:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x738e7b…
05-16 00:49:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xc3789b…
05-16 00:28:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x65dec1…
05-15 23:54:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xadecbd…
05-15 23:52:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x0d9672…
05-15 23:46:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x5cb9c2…
05-15 23:33:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x74d19d…
05-15 23:32:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x7e44f1…
05-15 23:26:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xfa14b8…
05-15 23:26:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xaf6e78…
05-15 23:23:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x9ca65b…
05-15 23:22:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x276c43…
05-15 23:21:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x776f80…
05-15 23:19:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xa22cd5…
05-15 23:18:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xf8fa94…
05-15 23:14:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x165261…
05-15 23:14:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x2a459f…
05-15 23:13:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x1c4725…
05-15 23:04:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x03d060…
05-15 23:03:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xf6748b…
05-15 23:02:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x8f6373…
05-15 22:34:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xc2df1e…
05-15 22:33:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x92b86e…
05-15 22:32:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xb4d866…
05-15 22:29:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x1c6100…
05-15 22:24:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x90cdf3…
05-15 22:23:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xd706eb…
05-15 22:19:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x9e01dc…
05-15 22:18:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x4a4eb6…
05-15 22:14:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	25¢	$2	0xb25a28…
05-15 21:30:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x979573…
05-15 21:27:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xc53d69…
05-15 21:24:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xacd763…
05-15 21:23:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xc2207c…
05-15 21:12:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x498bba…
05-15 21:07:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x4f4d99…
05-15 21:03:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x1c1a22…
05-15 08:26:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xfd30f7…
05-15 08:24:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x84b180…
05-15 08:04:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xb9d77f…
05-15 08:01:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x65f505…
05-15 07:59:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x22b111…
05-15 01:14:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x1b0f18…
05-15 00:57:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x825bd3…
05-15 00:32:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x813a80…
05-15 00:29:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xba155e…
05-15 00:28:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xb71e40…
05-14 05:01:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x5ad9a9…
05-14 04:42:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x9846c9…
05-14 04:40:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xc77678…
05-14 02:30:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xa11fb3…
05-14 02:27:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xb7963d…
05-14 02:21:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0xc3c554…
05-14 02:20:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x740d11…
05-14 01:17:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x50664e…
05-14 01:14:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x1c86e8…
05-12 03:09:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x7a8f9c…
05-12 03:09:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xb6326a…
05-12 03:08:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xc396f1…
05-12 03:02:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x877c63…
05-12 03:00:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x19079e…
05-12 03:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xf7f939…