Brilliant-Crisis — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

24.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$70

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-17

last 07-16 18:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

51% — —

Other

27% — —

Politics

12% — —

Sports

10% 33% $-0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	2	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	04-27 09:29
btc updown 5m 1776458100	3	$5	8	4	+4	open	—	04-17 20:38
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	4	$4	5	5	+0	open	—	04-23 16:46
btc updown 5m 1776848400	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	04-22 09:03
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	1	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	07-16 18:01
val ef pcfic 2026 04 22	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	04-22 17:11
btc updown 5m 1776457500	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	04-17 20:27
btc updown 5m 1776447000	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-17 17:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-25 09:40
btc updown 5m 1782386400	3	$2	3	2	+1	open	—	06-25 11:23
Will there be exactly 2 major space weather events this week?	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	04-24 17:02
btc updown 5m 1776447300	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	04-17 17:38
btc updown 5m 1776457800	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-17 20:31
btc updown 5m 1776874200	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	04-22 16:11
btc updown 5m 1776459000	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	04-17 20:51
lol wb omg 2026 04 20	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-20 11:38
USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-22 16:52
Magic vs. Pistons	1	$2	9	0	+9	open	—	04-29 21:19
dota2 bb4 ts8 2026 04 23	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-23 16:59
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$2	3	3	+0	No	$-0	04-17 20:40
btc updown 5m 1776849900	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-22 09:27
btc updown 5m 1776458700	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-17 20:46
Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?	2	$1	2	2	+0	No	$-1	05-06 20:36
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	04-27 10:49
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	06-02 11:02
eth updown 5m 1776446400	1	$1	33	0	+33	open	—	04-17 17:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	04-25 09:41
lol bro2 dk 2026 04 23	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	04-23 08:14
Lakers vs. Rockets	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	04-24 17:21
btc updown 5m 1776443400	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	04-17 16:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-16 18:01:47	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xc78b0d…
06-25 11:23:53	btc updown 5m 1782386400	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xa1c4da…
06-25 11:23:01	btc updown 5m 1782386400	Up	SELL	2	15¢	$0	0xfad671…
06-25 11:20:29	btc updown 5m 1782386400	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xe93a8b…
06-02 11:02:57	Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev	Alexander Zverev	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xa83857…
05-06 20:36:27	Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?	Yes	SELL	2	8¢	$0	0xbdf1c4…
05-06 09:17:18	Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x270a32…
05-04 16:46:24	Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League final?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x7d77bc…
04-29 21:19:10	Magic vs. Pistons	Magic	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xf4bf07…
04-27 10:49:04	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xff4b0c…
04-27 09:29:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0xa388c4…
04-25 11:03:50	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0x67dc7f…
04-25 09:41:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xd6ca06…
04-25 09:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd4bfa4…
04-25 09:37:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xe2f515…
04-24 17:21:28	Lakers vs. Rockets	Rockets	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xedff91…
04-24 17:02:40	Will there be exactly 2 major space weather events this week?	Yes	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0xc93886…
04-24 15:23:24	Will there be exactly 2 major space weather events this week?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x7c48b0…
04-23 16:59:16	dota2 bb4 ts8 2026 04 23	BetBoom Team	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0xd04316…
04-23 16:47:46	dota2 bb4 ts8 2026 04 23	BetBoom Team	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xb0ba95…
04-23 16:46:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xa23c88…
04-23 08:14:54	lol bro2 dk 2026 04 23	Dplus KIA	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x8749d1…
04-22 17:11:02	val ef pcfic 2026 04 22	Eternal Fire	SELL	2	80¢	$2	0x9e11c5…
04-22 17:01:50	val ef pcfic 2026 04 22	Eternal Fire	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x8b6a5d…
04-22 16:52:22	USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0xb3d893…
04-22 16:11:04	btc updown 5m 1776874200	Down	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0xa5261d…
04-22 16:10:34	btc updown 5m 1776874200	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x99d650…
04-22 16:04:46	USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x9694db…
04-22 16:02:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x199e3b…
04-22 09:27:10	btc updown 5m 1776849900	Up	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0x7418ac…
04-22 09:26:32	btc updown 5m 1776849900	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x1fbba1…
04-22 09:03:18	btc updown 5m 1776848400	Down	SELL	3	75¢	$2	0x9861f4…
04-22 09:02:50	btc updown 5m 1776848400	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x86d64c…
04-22 08:51:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	4	9¢	$0	0xe93348…
04-20 11:38:08	lol wb omg 2026 04 20	Weibo Gaming	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xbaed7b…
04-20 09:46:32	lol wb omg 2026 04 20	Weibo Gaming	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x9da808…
04-17 20:51:14	btc updown 5m 1776459000	Up	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0x8d8951…
04-17 20:50:38	btc updown 5m 1776459000	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x31bdb6…
04-17 20:46:50	btc updown 5m 1776458700	Down	SELL	1	57¢	$1	0x130e12…
04-17 20:45:48	btc updown 5m 1776458700	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x0aeeab…
04-17 20:40:20	Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	3	33¢	$1	0x64b64c…
04-17 20:38:38	btc updown 5m 1776458100	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xf08ca7…
04-17 20:37:06	btc updown 5m 1776458100	Up	SELL	4	50¢	$2	0x835358…
04-17 20:36:46	btc updown 5m 1776458100	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x1f2153…
04-17 20:31:46	btc updown 5m 1776457800	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x2c0938…
04-17 20:30:48	btc updown 5m 1776457800	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xd2862e…
04-17 20:27:34	btc updown 5m 1776457500	Down	SELL	2	81¢	$1	0xf3f279…
04-17 20:26:20	btc updown 5m 1776457500	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xc0090b…
04-17 17:38:16	btc updown 5m 1776447300	Down	SELL	2	79¢	$1	0xb15b3f…
04-17 17:35:16	btc updown 5m 1776447300	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xc11a2d…
04-17 17:32:00	btc updown 5m 1776447000	Up	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xee6dea…
04-17 17:30:26	btc updown 5m 1776447000	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xf5dc41…
04-17 17:24:06	eth updown 5m 1776446400	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x872028…
04-17 16:42:08	Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x289f63…
04-17 16:32:46	btc updown 5m 1776443400	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x9ef89b…
04-17 16:29:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x6a70b5…