Misguided-Erosion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$820

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

88.9%

Resolved

Trades

224

lifetime

Volume

$11.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$49

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-25

last 06-10 12:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

74% 81% +$750

Sports

22% 80% +$76

Other

4% 0% $-6

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 63 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (17) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 204.5	2	$1.4K	877	877	+0	open	—	05-16 02:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	17	$436	292	292	+0	open	—	05-15 09:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	10	$425	309	309	+0	open	—	05-15 11:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	9	$415	270	270	+0	Down	+$115	05-11 05:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	3	$402	234	234	+0	Up	+$62	05-11 04:43
atp boogaar wu 2026 06 08	2	$368	241	241	+0	open	—	06-10 12:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	2	$362	235	235	+0	open	—	05-16 12:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	21	$362	1,190	1,190	+0	Up	+$62	05-10 09:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	12	$360	271	271	+0	open	—	05-16 12:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	7	$360	372	196	+176	open	—	05-15 09:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	7	$358	235	235	+0	open	—	05-16 13:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	4	$327	195	195	+0	open	—	05-15 08:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	2	$305	157	157	+0	Up	+$5	05-10 07:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	3	$303	217	217	+0	open	—	05-15 14:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	2	$302	254	254	+0	Down	+$202	05-10 14:45
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 214.5	2	$300	200	200	+0	Over	+$100	05-12 05:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	2	$260	184	184	+0	Up	+$104	05-10 07:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	3	$255	157	157	+0	open	—	05-15 15:45
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 207.5	2	$247	148	148	+0	Over	+$49	05-14 03:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	20	$244	163	162	+1	Down	+$68	05-11 07:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	7	$242	135	135	+0	Up	+$20	05-11 06:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	3	$232	195	112	+83	Down	+$73	05-10 15:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	7	$218	127	127	+0	Down	+$18	05-11 06:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	2	$210	111	111	+0	Up	+$10	05-11 05:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	5	$203	104	104	+0	Up	+$3	05-10 15:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	4	$198	302	143	+159	open	—	05-16 13:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	2	$187	214	214	+0	Down	$-13	05-10 07:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	5	$169	104	104	+0	Up	+$37	05-10 08:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	4	$161	473	0	+473	open	—	05-16 12:34
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5	2	$144	94	94	+0	Over	+$44	05-13 02:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 12:11:33	atp boogaar wu 2026 06 08	Thijs Boogaard	SELL	241	99¢	$238	0xdd5cc3…
06-10 09:59:45	atp boogaar wu 2026 06 08	Thijs Boogaard	BUY	241	54¢	$130	0xfcfcb5…
05-30 06:01:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x22ef9f…
05-16 14:32:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x93465c…
05-16 14:31:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	123	41¢	$50	0x181210…
05-16 14:01:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	47	70¢	$33	0x6c8488…
05-16 13:33:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	16	37¢	$6	0x59a19b…
05-16 13:32:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	108	46¢	$50	0x03c5d5…
05-16 13:25:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	159	62¢	$99	0x1f5cdb…
05-16 13:22:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	SELL	134	24¢	$32	0x2afe38…
05-16 13:19:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	SELL	9	12¢	$1	0xd70f89…
05-16 13:16:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	143	46¢	$66	0x9b3643…
05-16 13:12:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	41	97¢	$40	0x931705…
05-16 13:12:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	73	97¢	$71	0x561aa2…
05-16 13:12:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0xd3de04…
05-16 13:12:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	71	97¢	$69	0xbf0566…
05-16 13:12:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	8	97¢	$8	0xb935ad…
05-16 13:12:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	22	97¢	$21	0x38c2bb…
05-16 13:01:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	235	55¢	$130	0xf76bbd…
05-16 12:59:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	235	99¢	$232	0xb8af29…
05-16 12:53:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	235	55¢	$130	0xd38066…
05-16 12:34:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0xeb539c…
05-16 12:32:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	177	31¢	$55	0x860b2b…
05-16 12:31:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	159	41¢	$66	0x793fd1…
05-16 12:29:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	65	46¢	$30	0x8064a4…
05-16 12:15:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x429051…
05-16 12:14:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x09f85b…
05-16 12:14:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x7547eb…
05-16 12:14:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x646ec0…
05-16 12:14:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	87	96¢	$84	0xfe848e…
05-16 12:14:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x7c4c3a…
05-16 12:14:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	9	96¢	$9	0x6e8c8a…
05-16 12:14:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	33	96¢	$32	0xfcce48…
05-16 12:13:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x54b281…
05-16 12:13:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x6f4527…
05-16 12:13:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	101	96¢	$97	0x30efa3…
05-16 12:04:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	271	37¢	$100	0x566e26…
05-16 02:10:26	Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 204.5	Over	SELL	877	100¢	$876	0x517a21…
05-16 00:51:07	Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 204.5	Over	BUY	877	57¢	$500	0x8467d3…
05-15 15:49:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	231	29¢	$66	0xaa9a9d…
05-15 15:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	157	99¢	$156	0x9e7050…
05-15 15:40:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	59	56¢	$33	0xfa9479…
05-15 15:39:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	99	67¢	$66	0x241e7e…
05-15 14:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	174	51¢	$88	0x1dee7a…
05-15 14:26:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	146	94¢	$138	0xe10bf2…
05-15 14:26:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	71	94¢	$67	0x0fe1f3…
05-15 14:18:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	217	46¢	$99	0xa3b45f…
05-15 12:42:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x7984f8…
05-15 12:39:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	167	12¢	$20	0x57d107…
05-15 12:32:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	200	33¢	$66	0x4e9641…
05-15 12:31:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	217	23¢	$50	0x38aba6…
05-15 11:38:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	127	52¢	$66	0x0bac3a…
05-15 11:26:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	SELL	124	95¢	$118	0x980a12…
05-15 11:26:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xb72deb…
05-15 11:26:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x335b39…
05-15 11:26:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xc7dcd2…
05-15 11:26:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	SELL	11	95¢	$11	0xfe0312…
05-15 11:26:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	SELL	61	95¢	$58	0x9b3ff3…
05-15 11:26:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	SELL	65	95¢	$62	0x7b2e14…
05-15 11:26:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	SELL	40	95¢	$38	0x69147e…
05-15 11:18:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	63	52¢	$33	0xca5b04…
05-15 11:16:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	245	40¢	$99	0x1f71a6…
05-15 09:59:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	11	95¢	$10	0xfd371e…
05-15 09:59:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0xec33fe…
05-15 09:59:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	65	95¢	$62	0xd186da…
05-15 09:59:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	9	95¢	$9	0xc33140…
05-15 09:59:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0xb6eb80…
05-15 09:59:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	14	95¢	$13	0x9a59ba…
05-15 09:59:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	40	95¢	$38	0x8f502e…
05-15 09:59:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x458d6e…
05-15 09:59:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	53	95¢	$50	0x3833a6…
05-15 09:59:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	36	95¢	$34	0x2099c4…
05-15 09:59:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0x165858…
05-15 09:59:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	8	95¢	$8	0x0cb9ab…
05-15 09:51:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	61	33¢	$20	0x743910…
05-15 09:49:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x6a5cfe…
05-15 09:48:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	35	58¢	$20	0x6f61af…
05-15 09:47:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	58	57¢	$33	0x2b3903…
05-15 09:46:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	102	65¢	$66	0xa42f00…
05-15 09:29:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0xed33ea…
05-15 09:12:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	196	95¢	$186	0xa2d973…
05-15 09:05:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	113	44¢	$50	0xa0b20a…
05-15 09:05:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	23	41¢	$10	0x252bf6…
05-15 09:05:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0xca0a27…
05-15 09:05:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	34	41¢	$14	0x6cfe56…
05-15 09:05:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x078b6a…
05-15 08:58:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	176	51¢	$90	0x11c56d…
05-15 08:55:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0xbdf29d…
05-15 08:55:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	185	97¢	$179	0x4967ba…
05-15 08:49:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	68	74¢	$50	0x3bff27…
05-15 08:48:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	128	69¢	$88	0xd20806…
05-14 03:07:48	Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 207.5	Over	SELL	148	100¢	$148	0x2a02f3…
05-13 14:59:23	Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 207.5	Over	BUY	148	67¢	$99	0x3e81c8…
05-13 02:42:26	Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5	Over	SELL	94	100¢	$94	0xdf0154…
05-12 17:02:41	Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5	Over	BUY	94	53¢	$50	0xbafc04…
05-12 05:28:10	Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 214.5	Over	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0x83fd76…
05-11 16:49:38	Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 214.5	Over	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x3961b0…
05-11 07:55:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xb3693e…
05-11 07:51:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	72¢	$6	0x2fa507…
05-11 07:48:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xcbe12c…