Brief-Clan — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$148

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

30.8%

Resolved

Trades

180

lifetime

Volume

$5.67K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$31

Open exposure

$84

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-19

last 06-07 13:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

50% 50% $-116

Other

31% 0% $-25

Tech

13% — —

Crypto

3% — —

Pop-Culture

2% — —

Sports

0% 0% $-7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes		+754	$46	6¢	$46	+$0	06-07 13:30
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes		+138	$40	28¢	$38	$-2	06-07 13:31

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	10	$730	467	467	+0	open	—	04-22 07:19
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	4	$530	270	270	+0	open	—	04-14 04:59
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	2	$356	200	200	+0	open	—	04-14 07:21
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	8	$352	180	180	+0	open	—	04-14 04:12
Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?	2	$332	190	190	+0	open	—	04-27 02:59
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	2	$242	200	200	+0	open	—	04-27 07:32
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	7	$211	599	599	+0	open	—	05-23 15:54
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$198	100	100	+0	open	—	04-03 12:42
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	4	$197	100	100	+0	open	—	05-15 19:49
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	2	$195	100	100	+0	open	—	04-08 01:32
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	2	$194	100	100	+0	No	+$0	05-06 05:05
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 4?	11	$157	150	150	+0	Down	$-8	05-04 10:03
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	2	$151	79	79	+0	open	—	05-16 15:48
donald trump of truth social posts march 24 march 31 80 99	10	$148	195	195	+0	open	—	03-28 18:53
Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	3	$132	80	80	+0	open	—	05-16 10:41
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 4?	2	$125	100	100	+0	Down	$-1	05-04 09:36
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	1	$117	200	0	+200	Yes	$-117	04-27 09:22
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	3	$98	50	50	+0	open	—	04-03 23:49
donald trump of truth social posts march 20 march 27 100 119	2	$94	60	60	+0	open	—	03-27 16:17
donald trump of truth social posts march 20 march 27 80 99	3	$90	200	200	+0	open	—	03-26 10:57
donald trump of truth social posts march 13 march 20 100 119	2	$86	100	100	+0	open	—	03-18 20:49
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 240 259	18	$81	354	110	+244	open	—	03-18 20:14
will xauusd dip to 4200 in june 2026	2	$56	50	50	+0	open	—	06-07 05:48
donald trump of truth social posts march 17 march 24 100 119	2	$53	75	75	+0	open	—	03-24 11:08
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $70 in June?	2	$52	50	50	+0	open	—	06-02 04:45
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	7	$50	347	347	+0	open	—	05-22 14:00
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in June?	2	$48	50	50	+0	open	—	06-02 04:44
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	1	$46	754	0	+754	open	—	06-07 13:30
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	2	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	01-22 08:31
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	1	$40	138	0	+138	open	—	06-07 13:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-07 13:31:37	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	138	29¢	$40	0x44e29d…
06-07 13:30:55	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	BUY	754	6¢	$46	0xce7a96…
06-07 07:32:51	gme quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 09 2026 0pt19	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0x42b5d7…
06-07 07:25:48	gme quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 09 2026 0pt19	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x2c8b56…
06-07 06:57:13	lzb quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 16 2026 0pt82	No	SELL	20	28¢	$6	0xfac3f2…
06-07 06:54:55	lzb quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 16 2026 0pt82	No	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x8a69a2…
06-07 06:37:43	lzb quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 16 2026 0pt82	Yes	SELL	20	59¢	$12	0x8d07df…
06-07 06:36:49	lzb quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 16 2026 0pt82	Yes	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0xbf4b33…
06-07 05:48:22	will xauusd dip to 4200 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	50	56¢	$28	0xfbf31c…
06-07 05:32:45	will xauusd dip to 4200 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	50	56¢	$28	0x455226…
06-07 05:06:12	gme quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 09 2026 0pt19	No	SELL	20	76¢	$15	0x45d5fb…
06-07 05:05:43	gme quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 09 2026 0pt19	No	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0xf90f04…
06-07 04:50:37	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	524	2¢	$10	0x00ed91…
06-03 15:14:58	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	556	1¢	$4	0xd8f0c8…
06-03 15:06:19	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	BUY	524	2¢	$11	0xdc1bbe…
06-03 14:56:49	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	556	1¢	$5	0x3ca64b…
06-02 04:45:18	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $70 in June?	Yes	SELL	50	49¢	$24	0xe18893…
06-02 04:44:52	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $70 in June?	Yes	BUY	50	54¢	$27	0xc8a6ac…
06-02 04:44:19	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in June?	Yes	SELL	50	46¢	$23	0x1d9476…
06-02 04:43:49	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in June?	Yes	BUY	50	49¢	$24	0x185e5e…
05-29 07:16:54	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	Yes	SELL	38	25¢	$9	0x1e00fc…
05-29 07:14:15	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	Yes	BUY	38	25¢	$9	0x7ffa9b…
05-29 07:13:54	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $85 in May?	No	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0x795fe5…
05-29 07:07:01	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $85 in May?	No	BUY	50	13¢	$6	0x641dc3…
05-27 19:40:32	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	Yes	BUY	87	7¢	$6	0xa33e49…
05-25 18:06:12	Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?	Yes	BUY	700	0¢	$1	0xf96366…
05-23 15:55:24	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	Yes	SELL	78	6¢	$5	0x2c0a10…
05-23 15:54:42	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x57d946…
05-22 14:00:20	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x84942b…
05-22 13:54:14	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in May?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xc884b1…
05-22 13:53:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x0a67cf…
05-20 13:02:55	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	367	1¢	$2	0x9f5118…
05-17 17:25:17	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x780b92…
05-17 15:20:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x033564…
05-16 21:39:40	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in May?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x47a39f…
05-16 18:43:56	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x5545c6…
05-16 15:48:07	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	79	96¢	$76	0xbbdba8…
05-16 13:49:14	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	79	96¢	$76	0x37a060…
05-16 10:41:40	Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	Yes	SELL	80	82¢	$66	0x912a65…
05-16 10:39:46	Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	Yes	BUY	40	82¢	$33	0x841b4d…
05-16 10:39:35	Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	Yes	BUY	40	82¢	$33	0x48607c…
05-15 19:49:39	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	SELL	45	98¢	$44	0x93cabd…
05-15 19:49:31	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	SELL	55	98¢	$55	0x4205bb…
05-15 13:50:42	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	78	98¢	$77	0x950f6c…
05-15 13:44:36	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	22	98¢	$22	0x34e3f7…
05-06 19:10:12	76ers vs. Knicks	76ers	BUY	33	21¢	$7	0xf90016…
05-06 12:13:24	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	315	2¢	$7	0xfce127…
05-06 12:13:22	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	185	2¢	$4	0x0981b3…
05-06 11:04:22	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	330	2¢	$8	0xff4a1c…
05-06 09:41:04	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x2bedcb…
05-06 09:25:50	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	31	2¢	$1	0x5d60aa…
05-06 08:48:14	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	58	2¢	$1	0xdd79c7…
05-06 08:45:40	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	234	2¢	$6	0x3c57cc…
05-06 06:19:44	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	500	2¢	$12	0x284b3d…
05-06 05:05:12	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	100	97¢	$97	0xee88bd…
05-06 04:57:28	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x3e88cd…
05-05 11:17:36	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	78	8¢	$6	0x67e060…
05-04 10:14:58	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 4?	Down	SELL	8	86¢	$7	0x3ac1f5…
05-04 10:03:24	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 4?	Up	SELL	50	53¢	$26	0xe5eb85…
05-04 10:02:50	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 4?	Up	BUY	26	82¢	$21	0x48a4e7…
05-04 10:02:06	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 4?	Up	BUY	10	63¢	$7	0x1d5414…
05-04 10:02:06	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 4?	Up	BUY	0	63¢	$0	0x15afb4…
05-04 10:02:04	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 4?	Up	BUY	11	63¢	$7	0x85e4cf…
05-04 10:02:04	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 4?	Up	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x85bd67…
05-04 10:02:04	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 4?	Up	BUY	12	63¢	$8	0x3d466c…
05-04 10:01:32	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 4?	Down	BUY	8	16¢	$1	0xee0d29…
05-04 09:51:32	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 4?	Down	SELL	40	32¢	$13	0x1fa75e…
05-04 09:50:40	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 4?	Down	SELL	10	34¢	$4	0x17cea9…
05-04 09:50:32	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 4?	Down	BUY	50	36¢	$18	0xc70166…
05-04 09:50:02	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 4?	Up	SELL	50	64¢	$32	0x0d8c4f…
05-04 09:49:44	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 4?	Up	BUY	50	66¢	$33	0xef8d5b…
05-04 09:36:32	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 4?	Up	SELL	100	62¢	$62	0x05dd47…
05-04 09:36:22	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 4?	Up	BUY	100	63¢	$63	0xa5b472…
05-01 19:10:34	Chirayu Rana apologizes for sexual harassment allegations?	Yes	BUY	177	6¢	$11	0x9d34f7…
05-01 19:01:52	Chirayu Rana apologizes for sexual harassment allegations?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x601674…
05-01 18:59:30	Chirayu Rana apologizes for sexual harassment allegations?	Yes	BUY	200	3¢	$6	0x644585…
04-27 09:22:22	Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	No	BUY	200	58¢	$117	0xb3b7c8…
04-27 07:32:26	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	SELL	200	59¢	$118	0x263407…
04-27 05:50:36	Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	21¢	$6	0x4aab67…
04-27 05:50:28	Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	17¢	$5	0xdee0f3…
04-27 05:36:08	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	200	62¢	$124	0x1ba49f…
04-27 05:33:54	Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	21¢	$6	0xd12f3c…
04-27 05:33:54	Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	17¢	$5	0x9880d8…
04-27 04:44:46	will the all india anna dravida munnetra kazhagam admk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	No	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0x5d2935…
04-27 02:59:36	Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	190	87¢	$165	0xd995d2…
04-27 02:49:38	Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	190	88¢	$167	0x898f2a…
04-24 12:46:42	donald trump of truth social posts april 17 april 24 180 199	Yes	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0xf18b18…
04-22 07:19:44	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	SELL	230	77¢	$177	0x0cf9ca…
04-22 07:10:20	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	204	79¢	$161	0x1183b6…
04-22 07:09:52	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	26	79¢	$21	0x44deb2…
04-22 07:09:18	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	SELL	121	79¢	$95	0xb440d3…
04-22 07:08:48	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	SELL	102	79¢	$81	0x30df8a…
04-22 07:08:02	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	197	78¢	$153	0x4bdb53…
04-22 07:07:08	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0x4d6145…
04-22 07:03:04	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	SELL	14	78¢	$11	0xa440c2…
04-22 06:56:10	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x9b5d83…
04-22 06:56:02	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0xe6c269…
04-19 11:02:54	donald trump of truth social posts april 14 april 21 160 179	Yes	BUY	74	3¢	$2	0xeb39da…
04-14 07:21:37	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	SELL	200	89¢	$178	0xb7f6e3…
04-14 06:33:23	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	200	89¢	$178	0xf37ea2…