Ill-Informed-Meatball-Deck — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$108

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.7%

Resolved

112

Trades

408

lifetime

Volume

$1.36K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 06-07 19:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

59% 50% +$16

Sports

34% 67% +$93

Politics

5% — —

Other

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 107 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (13) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Knicks vs. 76ers	2	$88	57	57	+0	Knicks	+$27	05-10 22:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	5	$84	92	7	+85	Down	+$3	05-11 20:59
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	4	$60	46	46	+0	open	—	06-07 19:29
Spurs vs. Thunder	4	$54	69	69	+0	open	—	05-26 22:17
Spurs vs. Thunder	2	$40	30	30	+0	open	—	05-19 07:54
James Harden: Points O/U 18.5	2	$35	41	32	+9	Yes	+$4	05-11 23:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	7	$21	31	0	+31	open	—	05-15 14:59
Thunder vs. Spurs	1	$20	49	0	+49	open	—	05-28 15:50
Cavaliers vs. Pistons	1	$20	51	0	+51	Cavaliers	+$31	05-13 12:48
Pistons vs. Cavaliers	1	$19	31	0	+31	Cavaliers	+$12	05-09 16:59
Thunder vs. Spurs	2	$18	39	0	+39	open	—	05-22 17:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	9	$17	28	21	+7	Up	+$1	05-12 20:28
Valencia vs. Real Madrid	2	$16	45	0	+45	open	—	05-22 19:29
Spread: Thunder (-3.5)	2	$16	21	21	+0	open	—	05-22 17:55
Timberwolves vs. Spurs	2	$15	43	23	+20	Spurs	$-5	05-07 00:09
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)	1	$15	30	0	+30	open	—	05-24 14:43
Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 25.5	1	$15	27	0	+27	Yes	+$12	05-10 22:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	4	$15	14	10	+4	Down	+$1	05-12 22:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	4	$14	20	6	+14	Up	+$0	05-11 23:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	6	$13	26	10	+16	Up	$-1	05-13 17:34
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)	1	$13	26	0	+26	open	—	05-21 23:18
Knicks vs. Cavaliers	1	$13	29	0	+29	open	—	05-22 19:41
Cavaliers vs. Knicks	1	$12	21	0	+21	open	—	05-20 00:21
Cavaliers vs. Pistons	1	$12	32	0	+32	open	—	05-17 23:43
Thunder vs. Spurs	1	$12	27	0	+27	open	—	05-24 14:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	7	$12	14	12	+2	Down	+$2	05-12 08:29
nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	1	$11	31	0	+31	open	—	06-04 13:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	3	$11	43	10	+33	open	—	05-15 18:54
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$10	7	7	+0	open	—	05-09 10:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	6	$10	219	9	+210	Down	$-4	05-12 22:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-07 19:29:42	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	23	67¢	$15	0x9fff7a…
06-07 19:24:31	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	23	66¢	$15	0x8b8e4e…
06-07 19:22:52	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0x9b75a2…
06-07 19:11:25	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xc14e94…
06-06 22:46:07	btc updown 5m 1780785900	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x8ff6c1…
06-04 13:33:55	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Knicks	BUY	31	35¢	$11	0x453f03…
05-28 15:50:12	Thunder vs. Spurs	Thunder	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0x7884fb…
05-26 22:17:23	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	SELL	38	40¢	$15	0xe6e6d2…
05-26 17:19:55	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	38	40¢	$15	0x5cda6f…
05-26 00:41:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xf9fdd5…
05-26 00:41:14	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	SELL	32	37¢	$12	0x750016…
05-25 08:41:37	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	32	38¢	$12	0xb9e9d2…
05-24 14:44:03	Thunder vs. Spurs	Thunder	BUY	27	44¢	$12	0x7f5c43…
05-24 14:43:42	Spread: Knicks (-2.5)	Knicks	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x3fe70d…
05-23 09:43:58	Spread: Knicks (-6.5)	Knicks	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x0117e3…
05-22 19:41:26	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Knicks	BUY	29	45¢	$13	0xd2c3ac…
05-22 19:29:14	Valencia vs. Real Madrid	Valencia	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x7e694c…
05-22 17:55:21	Thunder vs. Spurs	Thunder	BUY	17	46¢	$8	0x592d2c…
05-22 17:55:09	Spread: Thunder (-3.5)	Thunder	SELL	21	37¢	$8	0x881676…
05-22 17:54:57	Valencia vs. Real Madrid	Valencia	BUY	31	49¢	$15	0x8a7376…
05-22 15:47:54	Thunder vs. Spurs	Thunder	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xd0a47a…
05-22 15:47:48	Spread: Thunder (-3.5)	Thunder	BUY	21	38¢	$8	0xf7ff60…
05-22 12:05:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xe620f2…
05-22 12:04:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x06b556…
05-22 12:00:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xa57685…
05-22 11:54:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x61e278…
05-22 11:53:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x6808b9…
05-21 23:22:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x3ac72e…
05-21 23:19:49	Spread: Knicks (-14.5)	Knicks	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x652c01…
05-21 23:18:53	Spread: Knicks (-5.5)	Knicks	BUY	26	50¢	$13	0x9e2b34…
05-20 00:21:39	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	21	58¢	$12	0x4dc88d…
05-19 07:54:26	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x4b86fe…
05-17 23:47:24	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x5071bc…
05-17 23:43:56	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	BUY	32	38¢	$12	0xe547ea…
05-17 23:40:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x4f8388…
05-17 23:40:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x1ce4a7…
05-17 23:22:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x0425e9…
05-17 23:21:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x0ebeea…
05-17 23:19:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0x5ec9ee…
05-17 23:17:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x86a1d8…
05-17 23:16:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0x2038a2…
05-17 23:16:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0x436e1a…
05-17 23:10:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x56f086…
05-17 23:05:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x35a158…
05-16 21:47:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xd5663c…
05-16 21:47:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x9f4100…
05-16 21:09:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x667502…
05-16 20:42:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xbbbaf4…
05-16 20:41:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xc71666…
05-16 20:39:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x70bfeb…
05-16 20:39:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xb5771f…
05-16 20:37:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0x0d1c59…
05-16 20:36:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xd7a805…
05-16 20:35:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x97362a…
05-16 20:35:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x271529…
05-16 11:16:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	SELL	3	72¢	$2	0x728d31…
05-16 11:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x8f9346…
05-16 11:12:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x0bbf17…
05-16 11:12:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x48458c…
05-16 11:09:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xf24127…
05-16 11:08:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	SELL	4	51¢	$2	0xc4040c…
05-16 11:07:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x766939…
05-16 11:05:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x000ee6…
05-16 11:03:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	25	3¢	$1	0x9203cc…
05-16 11:02:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	SELL	18	7¢	$1	0xa186a7…
05-16 11:02:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	18	5¢	$1	0x49512e…
05-16 10:58:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xbe466d…
05-16 10:55:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x8f173c…
05-16 10:54:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x2e3797…
05-16 10:54:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	SELL	6	67¢	$4	0xeac486…
05-16 10:53:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x79492a…
05-15 21:51:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x41c642…
05-15 21:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x15dfba…
05-15 21:46:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x4356b7…
05-15 21:46:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xb9a2af…
05-15 21:45:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x7537f8…
05-15 21:44:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xc8c380…
05-15 21:43:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x2d7cd7…
05-15 21:42:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0x34c85e…
05-15 19:47:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x4629af…
05-15 19:36:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x0b6b9b…
05-15 19:29:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x1272a2…
05-15 19:28:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x275da8…
05-15 19:27:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x2c6f44…
05-15 19:26:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0xb596ee…
05-15 19:25:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xab99e9…
05-15 19:25:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x2d1a75…
05-15 18:59:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xc16215…
05-15 18:58:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x47ddf5…
05-15 18:55:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x903ad0…
05-15 18:54:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xd0ffe4…
05-15 18:54:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	10	87¢	$9	0x548d9e…
05-15 18:54:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xea8928…
05-15 18:20:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x785dbe…
05-15 18:16:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xaddd3a…
05-15 18:11:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xcc0758…
05-15 18:10:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x5cf38a…
05-15 15:23:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x175ef7…
05-15 15:12:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x280959…
05-15 15:11:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x69a6a7…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	184	$279.6K	7,350	06-06 22:48
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	176	$52.6K	6,212	06-06 22:49
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	163	$37.4K	5,034	06-06 22:48
(anonymous) 0xbf33…6bf7	160	$49.8K	7,624	06-06 22:49
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	160	$37.5K	9,869	06-06 22:49
Aromatic-Freedom 0xc547…7b30	160	$36.4K	1,519	06-06 22:47
Agile-Analogy 0x1015…bac8	160	$34.8K	6,462	06-06 22:49
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	160	$34.2K	8,903	06-06 22:49