Wretched-Thong — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

90.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$94

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-26

last 06-06 13:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

84% 67% +$1

Other

14% 100% +$2

Politics

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	2	$10	11	11	+0	open	—	04-30 18:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	4	$8	7	7	+0	Down	+$1	05-13 13:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	2	$7	12	12	+1	open	—	04-27 03:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	3	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	05-03 20:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	2	$4	2	2	+0	Down	+$0	05-13 13:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	05-03 02:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	2	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	05-03 20:22
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Kolkata Knight Riders	1	$3	5	0	+5	Royal Challengers Bangalore	+$2	05-13 13:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	2	$3	6	0	+6	open	—	05-03 20:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	2	$3	7	0	+7	open	—	05-03 18:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	04-27 22:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	3	$3	4	2	+2	open	—	05-03 18:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-01 16:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-01 19:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	2	$2	4	4	+0	open	—	04-27 22:14
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?	1	$2	42	0	+42	open	—	04-26 17:39
James Comey arrested by April 29?	2	$2	8	0	+8	open	—	04-29 16:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	2	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	05-03 20:15
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Mumbai Indians	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	05-14 17:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	2	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	04-30 21:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	2	$2	6	0	+6	open	—	05-03 20:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Down	$-0	05-13 14:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	04-27 22:24
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	1	$1	130	0	+130	open	—	04-30 21:43
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $650b and $660b on April 30?	1	$1	6	0	+6	open	—	04-27 18:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	05-01 19:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	1	$1	100	0	+100	open	—	04-26 18:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-02 17:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	04-27 03:06
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Sunrisers Hyderabad	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	04-28 20:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-06 13:17:12	btc updown 5m 1780751700	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xf7409e…
06-01 04:37:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x27d6de…
05-14 17:19:07	Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Mumbai Indians	Punjab Kings	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xc08d51…
05-13 14:18:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	29¢	$1	0x619fe8…
05-13 14:18:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x3c50f8…
05-13 13:43:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	3	67¢	$2	0x7ad823…
05-13 13:42:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	3	66¢	$2	0xd4721d…
05-13 13:40:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xa216b6…
05-13 13:40:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xa20fff…
05-13 13:39:16	Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Kolkata Knight Riders	Royal Challengers Bangalore	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x3cc96f…
05-13 13:38:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xb3f519…
05-13 13:37:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x676fe7…
05-03 20:41:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xd734a3…
05-03 20:41:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x605981…
05-03 20:36:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x38f0cd…
05-03 20:35:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xc8895c…
05-03 20:35:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x51f6a0…
05-03 20:22:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xc28b79…
05-03 20:21:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x4a3710…
05-03 20:15:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x156c0d…
05-03 20:15:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x3b81e8…
05-03 20:07:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x350106…
05-03 20:07:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x9c7053…
05-03 18:44:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0xda5eff…
05-03 18:41:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x55490a…
05-03 18:40:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x57f482…
05-03 18:38:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x5aced5…
05-03 18:37:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x6e4978…
05-03 02:18:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x253a1a…
05-03 02:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x560dcd…
05-02 20:35:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x08abf8…
05-02 17:56:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x1f4898…
05-01 19:31:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x1d5907…
05-01 19:30:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x61db0e…
05-01 19:27:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x1b49d5…
05-01 16:01:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	92¢	$1	0xf161f6…
05-01 16:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xb8312d…
04-30 21:45:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xc0ec77…
04-30 21:45:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x78c306…
04-30 21:43:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	No	BUY	130	1¢	$1	0xa92653…
04-30 18:09:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	SELL	11	41¢	$5	0xbf9a23…
04-30 18:06:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xfafead…
04-29 16:18:58	James Comey arrested by April 29?	No	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xb1e5a1…
04-29 13:07:20	James Comey arrested by April 29?	No	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x0079b0…
04-28 21:35:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xceb444…
04-28 20:50:20	Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Sunrisers Hyderabad	Sunrisers Hyderabad	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x97cb30…
04-27 22:24:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	SELL	2	25¢	$1	0xf0e025…
04-27 22:21:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x6c5e37…
04-27 22:20:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xd093d3…
04-27 22:17:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x5e517d…
04-27 22:14:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	4	25¢	$1	0x7cbbd5…
04-27 22:13:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xbb6d38…
04-27 18:24:38	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $650b and $660b on April 30?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x0cf545…
04-27 03:14:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	SELL	12	14¢	$2	0x1aabb1…
04-27 03:12:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xa63135…
04-27 03:06:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x2e611b…
04-27 02:49:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x012310…
04-26 18:25:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xe68ed6…
04-26 18:19:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xca74d3…
04-26 18:11:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x03a0ce…
04-26 17:39:22	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?	Yes	BUY	42	5¢	$2	0x378539…
04-26 17:24:48	Will Trump say "The War Is Over" this week? (April 20 - 26)	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xa0a264…
04-26 17:13:02	Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru	Royal Challengers Bengaluru	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x545a1f…
04-26 17:01:54	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0x232aae…