Red-Glue — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$48

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

89.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$430

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-15

last 06-18 22:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

40% — —

Sports

36% 50% +$48

Politics

20% — —

Other

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1771173300	4	$93	67	67	+1	open	—	02-15 16:40
will canada win the mens ice hockey gold medal at the 2026 winter olympics	3	$85	93	93	+0	open	—	02-20 23:21
will trump say job 20 times during the 2026 state of the union address 563	1	$50	72	0	+72	open	—	02-24 23:35
btc updown 5m 1771630200	2	$31	29	29	+0	open	—	02-20 23:34
ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	1	$25	125	0	+125	open	—	06-12 19:46
ufc cha1 max1 2026 03 07	1	$25	64	0	+64	open	—	02-24 23:34
btc updown 5m 1771282800	2	$20	44	0	+44	open	—	02-16 23:02
will trump say epstein during the 2026 state of the union address 269	2	$20	111	0	+111	open	—	02-24 23:33
will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 797	3	$14	50	0	+50	open	—	06-18 22:50
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	1	$13	62	0	+62	Sean Strickland	+$49	04-25 13:23
will trump say iq during the 2026 state of the union address	1	$10	37	0	+37	open	—	02-24 23:36
btc updown 5m 1771858500	2	$10	16	0	+16	open	—	02-23 14:57
btc updown 5m 1771629900	2	$10	17	17	+0	open	—	02-20 23:29
ufc sea2 ant 2026 02 21	1	$7	24	0	+24	open	—	02-22 03:47
btc updown 5m 1771784100	2	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	02-22 18:20
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	1	$2	111	0	+111	open	—	02-23 14:53
Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?	1	$2	18	0	+18	open	—	05-13 21:52
will trump say america or american 25 times during the 2026 state of the union address 819	1	$2	77	0	+77	open	—	02-24 23:37
Will Sean Strickland become UFC champion in 2026?	2	$2	7	7	+0	Yes	$-0	04-25 12:14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	1	$1	67	0	+67	open	—	05-10 07:31
btc updown 5m 1771629600	1	$1	14	0	+14	open	—	02-20 23:25
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	1	$1	10	0	+10	open	—	03-08 14:47
btc updown 5m 1771630800	1	$1	6	0	+6	open	—	02-20 23:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-18 22:50:08	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 797	No	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xc6ca29…
06-18 11:42:23	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 797	No	BUY	25	27¢	$7	0xb69864…
06-17 16:33:08	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 797	No	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x1a8355…
06-12 19:46:28	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	Justin Gaethje	BUY	125	20¢	$25	0x8f8015…
05-13 21:52:53	Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?	Yes	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0xf0839f…
05-10 07:31:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	67	1¢	$1	0xf01e1d…
04-25 13:23:34	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	BUY	62	21¢	$13	0x9efd55…
04-25 12:14:24	Will Sean Strickland become UFC champion in 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	8¢	$1	0xdddb3f…
04-06 17:54:03	Will Sean Strickland become UFC champion in 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x815e9d…
03-08 14:47:19	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x771d06…
02-24 23:37:04	will trump say america or american 25 times during the 2026 state of the union address 819	No	BUY	77	3¢	$2	0x67af5f…
02-24 23:36:02	will trump say iq during the 2026 state of the union address	Yes	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xce6a25…
02-24 23:35:16	will trump say job 20 times during the 2026 state of the union address 563	Yes	BUY	72	69¢	$50	0x76a595…
02-24 23:34:30	ufc cha1 max1 2026 03 07	Charles Oliveira	BUY	64	39¢	$25	0x733033…
02-24 23:33:14	will trump say epstein during the 2026 state of the union address 269	Yes	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0xa3dfcb…
02-24 23:30:58	will trump say epstein during the 2026 state of the union address 269	Yes	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x05a8d5…
02-23 14:57:34	btc updown 5m 1771858500	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xd8386b…
02-23 14:56:08	btc updown 5m 1771858500	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x6b304f…
02-23 14:53:22	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	111	2¢	$2	0x0dfee3…
02-22 18:20:04	btc updown 5m 1771784100	Down	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0xd0a72b…
02-22 18:19:16	btc updown 5m 1771784100	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xdfa818…
02-22 03:47:50	ufc sea2 ant 2026 02 21	Strickland	BUY	24	29¢	$7	0x992769…
02-20 23:43:22	btc updown 5m 1771630800	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x24612c…
02-20 23:34:44	btc updown 5m 1771630200	Down	SELL	29	70¢	$20	0x35c93d…
02-20 23:32:56	btc updown 5m 1771630200	Down	BUY	29	38¢	$11	0x59f6e9…
02-20 23:29:24	btc updown 5m 1771629900	Down	SELL	17	52¢	$9	0x75cc6b…
02-20 23:27:26	btc updown 5m 1771629900	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x51e314…
02-20 23:25:04	btc updown 5m 1771629600	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xac8916…
02-20 23:21:52	will canada win the mens ice hockey gold medal at the 2026 winter olympics	No	SELL	47	47¢	$22	0x722651…
02-16 23:02:13	btc updown 5m 1771282800	Down	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x75def8…
02-16 23:01:27	btc updown 5m 1771282800	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xceaab8…
02-16 22:59:27	will canada win the mens ice hockey gold medal at the 2026 winter olympics	No	SELL	47	44¢	$20	0x5900bb…
02-15 16:50:39	will canada win the mens ice hockey gold medal at the 2026 winter olympics	No	BUY	93	46¢	$43	0x9ea4cf…
02-15 16:40:33	btc updown 5m 1771173300	Down	SELL	43	99¢	$42	0xeb5ebc…
02-15 16:37:55	btc updown 5m 1771173300	Down	BUY	43	67¢	$29	0xd39d5b…
02-15 16:36:29	btc updown 5m 1771173300	Down	SELL	24	49¢	$12	0x94e4fe…
02-15 16:35:39	btc updown 5m 1771173300	Down	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x49589a…