Definitive-Independent — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$95

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

53.7%

Resolved

Trades

311

lifetime

Volume

$2.28K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-25

last 05-10 01:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 39% $-95

Politics

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 200 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	3	$210	383	0	+383	open	—	04-25 03:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	9	$161	100	98	+3	open	—	04-25 03:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	5	$87	48	47	+1	open	—	04-25 17:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	8	$80	66	64	+2	open	—	04-25 18:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	6	$75	76	44	+32	open	—	04-25 23:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	7	$71	52	51	+1	open	—	04-25 05:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	8	$61	44	43	+1	open	—	04-25 04:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	6	$61	68	66	+2	open	—	04-25 03:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	7	$60	43	42	+1	open	—	04-25 19:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	6	$52	48	47	+2	open	—	04-25 06:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	5	$46	73	20	+53	open	—	04-25 23:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	8	$46	37	25	+12	open	—	05-03 16:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	4	$39	26	25	+1	open	—	04-25 04:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	5	$37	36	18	+18	open	—	04-25 06:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	5	$37	23	23	+0	Down	+$5	05-09 03:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	6	$36	35	24	+11	open	—	05-03 16:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	5	$35	43	42	+1	open	—	04-25 17:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	3	$35	20	20	+0	open	—	04-25 23:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	6	$35	23	22	+1	open	—	04-25 06:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	6	$34	28	27	+1	open	—	04-25 03:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	3	$34	24	24	+0	open	—	04-25 06:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	5	$33	27	27	+0	Down	+$1	05-09 16:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	5	$33	19	19	+0	open	—	04-25 04:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	4	$32	32	31	+1	open	—	04-25 19:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	4	$32	17	17	+0	open	—	04-25 07:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	6	$31	53	2	+51	open	—	04-25 03:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	4	$31	20	20	+0	open	—	04-25 04:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	4	$30	18	18	+0	Down	+$6	05-09 18:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	5	$30	37	15	+22	open	—	04-25 04:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	5	$30	61	0	+61	Up	$-30	05-10 00:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-10 01:11:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xc060b0…
05-10 01:11:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xab6dae…
05-10 01:09:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	SELL	29	4¢	$1	0x2af3d4…
05-10 01:08:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x8f388c…
05-10 01:07:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xdf5b28…
05-10 01:06:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xe042b3…
05-10 01:02:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x7c86b4…
05-10 00:57:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x403996…
05-10 00:56:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x0d196f…
05-10 00:55:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x23584b…
05-10 00:55:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x674825…
05-10 00:55:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xbf2120…
05-10 00:53:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x84f02e…
05-10 00:52:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xf436c0…
05-10 00:45:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xe8f396…
05-10 00:43:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	9	3¢	$0	0x3b4db8…
05-10 00:41:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x6e5913…
05-09 23:33:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x825954…
05-09 23:32:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x9b8a45…
05-09 23:31:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x3d5a30…
05-09 23:29:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0x491f53…
05-09 23:28:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xd4cf8e…
05-09 23:27:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x133dc7…
05-09 23:27:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x6247bf…
05-09 23:27:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x2968eb…
05-09 23:26:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xf28585…
05-09 19:49:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	SELL	14	1¢	$0	0x552061…
05-09 19:49:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xafc6c2…
05-09 19:48:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xd03158…
05-09 19:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x5702e9…
05-09 19:45:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x932f0f…
05-09 19:43:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x3e8ff3…
05-09 19:43:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x232a86…
05-09 19:42:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	SELL	8	23¢	$2	0x4022a4…
05-09 19:41:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xa50961…
05-09 19:07:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xcfcfd3…
05-09 19:06:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xe99c0b…
05-09 19:06:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xc0e47e…
05-09 19:04:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe9852b…
05-09 19:04:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x9d0575…
05-09 19:03:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x3973d4…
05-09 19:03:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	9	43¢	$4	0x7aea4a…
05-09 19:02:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x1cdf9f…
05-09 19:01:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xb66c2a…
05-09 18:57:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x6bb58b…
05-09 18:57:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x5482b7…
05-09 18:57:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x434f89…
05-09 18:55:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x2e6596…
05-09 18:54:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0xd8bb24…
05-09 18:53:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	SELL	12	14¢	$2	0x3f05b3…
05-09 18:53:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x006d6f…
05-09 18:51:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	SELL	10	41¢	$4	0x34ea31…
05-09 18:51:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xa52ffe…
05-09 18:50:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x7328fd…
05-09 18:50:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0xa096af…
05-09 18:47:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0xa88832…
05-09 18:46:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x781f5b…
05-09 18:46:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xeb29cd…
05-09 18:43:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x859f3d…
05-09 18:39:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xf6d2f3…
05-09 18:36:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x5f19b7…
05-09 18:36:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x183c03…
05-09 16:04:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	SELL	13	98¢	$13	0x6f6868…
05-09 16:04:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xefdc6a…
05-09 16:03:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xb4a746…
05-09 16:03:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xc16c46…
05-09 16:02:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x04de26…
05-09 16:02:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x6f47bc…
05-09 16:02:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x629feb…
05-09 16:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x9fb74b…
05-09 15:59:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x3449e9…
05-09 15:59:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	20	49¢	$10	0xf49282…
05-09 15:56:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xdb5102…
05-09 15:55:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x1600d2…
05-09 15:55:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	8¢	$0	0x1dd031…
05-09 15:53:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xebee3e…
05-09 15:50:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x6cfab5…
05-09 15:50:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x42434b…
05-09 14:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xa7da9e…
05-09 14:57:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xe27894…
05-09 13:50:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xd2f76e…
05-09 13:46:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x644575…
05-09 03:17:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x671bbf…
05-09 03:14:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xd95116…
05-09 03:14:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	22¢	$1	0x1b4cab…
05-09 03:13:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x206af6…
05-09 03:06:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xd9896a…
05-09 03:06:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x892d38…
05-09 03:05:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xf46f06…
05-09 03:01:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x96673b…
05-09 03:00:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x89ccec…
05-09 02:58:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xdbc981…
05-09 02:57:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	12¢	$0	0x20a4ce…
05-09 02:56:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x02fc43…
05-09 02:55:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xdc5484…
05-03 16:05:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xb6ce9a…
05-03 16:03:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x41f992…
05-03 16:03:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	SELL	16	45¢	$7	0x04e675…
05-03 16:01:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x38eab0…
05-03 16:01:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x0b7741…