Confused-Hearthside — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

54.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$254

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-11

last 05-12 19:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 48% +$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 44 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	1	$29	64	0	+64	Up	$-29	05-12 19:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	1	$22	40	0	+40	Down	+$18	05-12 18:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	1	$18	38	0	+38	Up	+$20	05-12 17:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	1	$14	26	0	+26	Up	+$12	05-12 16:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	1	$12	24	0	+24	Up	$-12	05-12 18:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	1	$10	20	0	+20	Down	$-10	05-12 19:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	2	$9	5	5	+0	Down	+$1	05-11 23:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	2	$8	61	0	+61	Down	$-8	05-12 19:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	1	$8	16	0	+16	Down	+$8	05-12 16:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	3	$7	8	4	+4	Up	+$2	05-12 14:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	1	$6	12	0	+12	Down	+$6	05-12 18:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	1	$5	11	0	+11	Down	+$6	05-12 14:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Up	+$5	05-11 23:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Up	+$5	05-12 14:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Down	+$5	05-12 19:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Down	$-5	05-12 16:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	Down	$-5	05-12 14:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Up	$-5	05-12 17:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Up	+$5	05-12 18:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	Up	$-5	05-12 18:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	1	$4	8	0	+8	Down	$-4	05-12 16:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	1	$4	8	0	+8	Up	$-4	05-11 23:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	1	$3	7	0	+7	Down	+$4	05-11 23:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	1	$3	5	0	+5	Down	+$2	05-12 14:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	3	$3	4	2	+2	Down	+$1	05-11 22:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Down	+$1	05-11 22:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	Up	+$2	05-12 19:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	Down	$-2	05-12 14:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	Down	$-2	05-11 23:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	Up	$-2	05-12 18:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 19:45:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	64	45¢	$29	0xedc0c5…
05-12 19:40:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x8755f8…
05-12 19:37:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	37	8¢	$3	0x76b889…
05-12 19:36:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x0a5fc5…
05-12 19:30:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x3315c3…
05-12 19:26:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x7e3ba5…
05-12 19:19:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x96f5af…
05-12 19:16:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x563ce4…
05-12 19:10:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x365cdb…
05-12 19:01:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xa56b2e…
05-12 18:47:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x75bfa8…
05-12 18:39:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x005a43…
05-12 18:34:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xeea2fd…
05-12 18:26:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	40	54¢	$22	0xafffc9…
05-12 18:19:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	24	51¢	$12	0x3d0ecf…
05-12 18:10:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x898bf0…
05-12 18:06:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x5665c2…
05-12 18:02:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0x3480c0…
05-12 17:55:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x9958b3…
05-12 17:51:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xa89f29…
05-12 17:45:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x29cf66…
05-12 17:42:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x6fcacb…
05-12 17:25:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	38	47¢	$18	0xe4c7aa…
05-12 17:14:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xfba1ce…
05-12 17:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x4e895f…
05-12 16:59:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	26	54¢	$14	0x4f9abd…
05-12 16:44:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xf2d3f2…
05-12 16:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0x5bc53e…
05-12 16:15:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x08287a…
05-12 16:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xfc69a0…
05-12 16:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xbccc76…
05-12 15:55:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x8a7c16…
05-12 15:49:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x868a65…
05-12 14:50:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xa0e6d1…
05-12 14:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x237b39…
05-12 14:29:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	11	49¢	$5	0xe986c8…
05-12 14:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xd8c3ef…
05-12 14:20:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x7f4d09…
05-12 14:15:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xd57b94…
05-12 14:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xdb9dac…
05-12 14:04:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xc1143d…
05-12 14:04:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	4	52¢	$2	0x48dc36…
05-12 14:03:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x472ad2…
05-12 13:58:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xa557a3…
05-11 23:50:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0xa063b3…
05-11 23:44:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xedfbcc…
05-11 23:32:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x129d98…
05-11 23:29:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xb6cd7d…
05-11 23:27:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x0dd213…
05-11 23:19:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0xc7b536…
05-11 23:14:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x472d6b…
05-11 23:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x7d853a…
05-11 23:04:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xebcaea…
05-11 22:59:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x80564f…
05-11 22:56:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x8ffcf2…
05-11 22:55:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x0bbd7f…
05-11 22:49:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x6f413b…
05-11 22:39:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x14974d…
05-11 22:34:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x669c5a…
05-11 22:24:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x5c889a…
05-11 22:18:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x9756ec…
05-11 22:15:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x65d942…
05-11 22:08:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xd86b97…