Shadowy-Paddle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.4%

Resolved

Trades

1,020

lifetime

Volume

$5.96K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-08

last 07-07 23:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

63% — —

Other

27% 0% $-1

Politics

7% — —

Pop-Culture

2% — —

Sports

2% 50% $-10

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 team total home 0pt5	2	$336	179	179	+0	open	—	06-22 18:39
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	2	$242	125	125	+0	open	—	03-14 14:46
fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	3	$120	156	156	+0	open	—	07-07 17:40
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$119	157	15	+142	open	—	05-09 22:40
btc updown 5m 1773341100	3	$112	116	0	+116	open	—	03-12 18:49
fifwc usa aus 2026 06 19 team total home 1pt5	2	$111	62	62	+0	open	—	06-19 19:46
fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 team total home 2pt5	2	$111	61	61	+0	open	—	06-25 22:01
bitcoin up or down march 10 1pm et	2	$109	55	55	+0	open	—	03-10 17:59
btc updown 5m 1773346200	4	$106	120	0	+120	open	—	03-12 20:14
fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 total 5pt5	2	$102	61	61	+0	open	—	07-07 18:01
will kanye release bully by march 27	1	$100	113	0	+113	open	—	03-27 18:16
btc updown 5m 1773343200	6	$95	115	7	+109	open	—	03-12 19:24
btc updown 5m 1773261600	4	$87	98	8	+90	open	—	03-11 20:44
btc updown 5m 1773345600	5	$87	106	3	+103	open	—	03-12 20:04
btc updown 5m 1773261300	6	$83	93	5	+87	open	—	03-11 20:39
btc updown 5m 1773335100	9	$82	94	6	+88	open	—	03-12 17:09
btc updown 5m 1773334200	5	$80	84	2	+82	open	—	03-12 16:54
btc updown 5m 1773309300	3	$78	82	0	+82	open	—	03-12 10:00
btc updown 5m 1773309000	4	$78	90	0	+90	open	—	03-12 09:54
btc updown 5m 1773258600	7	$76	80	10	+71	open	—	03-11 19:54
btc updown 5m 1773262500	4	$74	86	2	+84	open	—	03-11 20:59
btc updown 5m 1773427200	4	$74	139	2	+137	open	—	03-13 18:44
btc updown 5m 1773305700	4	$74	83	0	+83	open	—	03-12 09:00
btc updown 5m 1773260400	4	$71	78	5	+73	open	—	03-11 20:24
btc updown 5m 1773260100	5	$71	78	6	+71	open	—	03-11 20:19
fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 total 3pt5	2	$70	41	41	+0	open	—	06-25 22:01
fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 btts	2	$70	49	49	+0	open	—	06-22 23:29
btc updown 5m 1773261000	4	$69	81	5	+77	open	—	03-11 20:34
btc updown 5m 1773307200	7	$69	80	0	+80	open	—	03-12 09:24
btc updown 5m 1773259800	4	$69	73	2	+71	open	—	03-11 20:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-07 23:01:37	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 extra time	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x5c8574…
07-07 21:23:43	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 extra time	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xa2bffc…
07-07 18:01:29	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 total 5pt5	Under	SELL	61	85¢	$52	0xf09627…
07-07 17:59:01	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	61	82¢	$50	0x688659…
07-07 17:40:22	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	Argentina	SELL	100	12¢	$12	0xac4169…
07-07 17:38:17	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 team to advance	Colombia	BUY	82	61¢	$50	0xd57e90…
07-07 17:31:58	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	Argentina	SELL	57	15¢	$8	0x9cfb2e…
07-07 17:09:47	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	156	64¢	$100	0x315e5b…
07-06 18:18:04	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 team to advance	Spain	BUY	91	66¢	$60	0x89b61b…
07-05 22:40:44	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 penalty shootout	No	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xd7b379…
07-05 11:19:20	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	22	68¢	$15	0x8fc770…
07-04 18:49:52	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 team total away 0pt5	Over	BUY	44	68¢	$30	0xe42fd2…
07-04 00:02:04	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x45e48c…
07-04 00:00:55	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 extra time	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xacd96c…
07-03 23:46:47	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 extra time	Yes	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xebe025…
07-03 23:45:55	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team total home 1pt5	Over	SELL	30	39¢	$12	0xef7698…
07-03 23:24:50	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 first half total 1pt5	Under	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xec4202…
07-03 22:49:46	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0x29aaf6…
07-03 22:48:20	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 first half total 1pt5	Under	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x5b4b0e…
07-03 10:07:35	fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 team to advance	Egypt	BUY	48	60¢	$29	0xa52160…
07-03 00:59:31	fifwc che alg 2026 07 02 team to advance	Switzerland	BUY	45	66¢	$30	0xf50e73…
07-03 00:53:55	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 penalty shootout	Yes	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0xb75155…
07-03 00:45:34	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xa6579d…
07-01 22:45:20	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 team to advance	Belgium	SELL	17	98¢	$17	0x06f429…
07-01 21:59:14	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 team to advance	Belgium	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x411c8f…
07-01 21:42:01	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	8	51¢	$4	0x92a3de…
07-01 21:41:11	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xdf88ec…
07-01 21:37:11	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xc28fad…
07-01 17:14:58	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 team total home 0pt5	Over	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x4dd4cc…
06-26 20:52:28	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 team total home 1pt5	Over	SELL	1	11¢	$0	0x512ac3…
06-26 20:12:56	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x06c183…
06-26 19:31:37	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 team total home 0pt5	Over	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x928115…
06-26 10:45:05	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 team total home 0pt5	Over	BUY	21	71¢	$15	0x5cf2a0…
06-25 22:01:41	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 total 3pt5	Under	SELL	41	100¢	$40	0x76232d…
06-25 22:01:29	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 team total home 2pt5	Under	SELL	61	100¢	$61	0xf755dc…
06-25 21:50:10	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	41	74¢	$30	0x83b283…
06-25 21:47:13	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 team total home 2pt5	Under	BUY	61	82¢	$50	0xd66ff3…
06-23 21:57:14	fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 corners second half total 3pt5	Over	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xe35477…
06-23 21:16:20	fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 corners first half total 3pt5	Over	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x2fa452…
06-23 18:43:22	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 total 4pt5	Over	SELL	21	56¢	$12	0x572fef…
06-23 17:34:14	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xb45222…
06-23 12:28:46	fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 corners second half total 3pt5	Over	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x1f1ee3…
06-23 12:28:38	fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 corners first half total 3pt5	Over	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x617bb6…
06-23 01:30:41	fifwc nor sen 2026 06 22 goals antonio nusa gte1	Yes	SELL	11	3¢	$0	0x0341bf…
06-23 01:09:01	fifwc nor sen 2026 06 22 goals erling haaland gte1	Yes	SELL	41	99¢	$41	0x5dc8ac…
06-22 23:53:52	fifwc nor sen 2026 06 22 goals antonio nusa gte1	Yes	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x4a909e…
06-22 23:53:38	fifwc nor sen 2026 06 22 goals erling haaland gte1	Yes	BUY	41	51¢	$21	0xb1899e…
06-22 23:29:50	fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 btts	No	SELL	49	78¢	$38	0xffa8d4…
06-22 18:56:50	fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 btts	No	BUY	49	65¢	$32	0x82a545…
06-22 18:39:41	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 team total home 0pt5	Over	SELL	179	100¢	$179	0x4b05cd…
06-22 12:05:43	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 team total home 0pt5	Over	BUY	179	88¢	$157	0x971957…
06-21 18:24:14	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 btts	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x7a796e…
06-21 17:17:53	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x4ab1ef…
06-21 16:06:23	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 btts	No	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x943305…
06-21 10:48:01	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x125ed4…
06-21 01:55:32	fifwc ecu kor 2026 06 20 total 0pt5	Under	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xe9f370…
06-21 01:29:44	fifwc ecu kor 2026 06 20 total 0pt5	Under	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x14aead…
06-19 23:12:40	fifwc sco mar 2026 06 19 first half total 1pt5	Under	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x36bc90…
06-19 22:20:34	fifwc sco mar 2026 06 19 first half total 1pt5	Under	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x2749b5…
06-19 21:02:29	fifwc usa aus 2026 06 19 btts	Yes	SELL	13	1¢	$0	0xb3f926…
06-19 19:46:16	fifwc usa aus 2026 06 19 team total home 1pt5	Over	SELL	62	99¢	$61	0x9ed860…
06-19 19:20:17	fifwc usa aus 2026 06 19 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	62	81¢	$50	0x5ca199…
06-19 19:17:59	fifwc usa aus 2026 06 19 btts	Yes	BUY	13	54¢	$7	0x427ac2…
06-17 22:09:38	fifwc uzb col 2026 06 17 first half total 0pt5	Under	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x2e877d…
06-17 22:04:34	fifwc gha pan 2026 06 17 total 1pt5	Under	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x00eee8…
06-17 22:04:22	fifwc gha pan 2026 06 17 total 0pt5	Under	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x84083d…
06-16 23:06:07	fifwc irq nor 2026 06 16 team total home 1pt5	Under	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x408ac4…
06-16 23:04:37	fifwc irq nor 2026 06 16 btts	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x7beb82…
06-16 21:12:05	fifwc irq nor 2026 06 16 btts	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x0ac1da…
06-15 14:23:09	fifwc bel egy 2026 06 15 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x68605c…
05-10 00:23:03	Fight to Go the Distance?	No	BUY	21	68¢	$14	0xb2aabf…
05-10 00:22:32	UFC 328: Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)	Yaroslav Amosov	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x86991a…
05-09 23:02:54	UFC 328: Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)	Yaroslav Amosov	BUY	11	64¢	$7	0xa85c9a…
05-09 23:01:11	UFC 328: Roman Kopylov vs. Marco Tulio (Middleweight, Early Prelims)	Roman Kopylov	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xd33799…
05-09 22:44:30	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Khamzat Chimaev	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x85f4c9…
05-09 22:43:18	UFC 328: Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)	Yaroslav Amosov	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xa9d05b…
05-09 22:40:56	UFC 328: Roman Kopylov vs. Marco Tulio (Middleweight, Early Prelims)	Roman Kopylov	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0xac5997…
05-09 22:40:25	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	15	71¢	$11	0x766b06…
04-26 13:38:02	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	157	69¢	$108	0x718fa5…
04-19 10:55:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xf6bbd2…
04-08 13:59:53	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x65bbc9…
04-07 21:58:27	nba mia tor 2026 04 07 total 238pt5	Under	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xd734ec…
04-05 16:54:53	Will 2–3 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	4	76¢	$3	0x148021…
04-01 15:10:09	Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x0c999d…
04-01 15:09:31	Will 2–3 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x3530a3…
03-31 16:41:49	nba dal mil 2026 01 25 spread home 2pt5	Mavericks	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0xa332f2…
03-29 22:01:06	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x429d23…
03-27 18:16:41	will kanye release bully by march 27	No	BUY	113	89¢	$100	0x164db9…
03-24 19:54:51	will one piece season 2 be the top us netflix show this week 927	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xab858f…
03-22 17:26:53	Will Karoline Leavitt be less than 5 minutes late to the next press briefing?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xc97ee5…
03-21 15:36:21	ufc mov ler 2026 03 21	Lerone Murphy	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xa40ce0…
03-21 15:35:41	ufc mic32 sam2 2026 03 21	Michael Page	BUY	14	64¢	$9	0x0da2aa…
03-19 20:41:49	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x56f0f5…
03-19 19:54:55	will trump say emperor or king during events with japanese pm	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x3386cf…
03-18 17:41:41	will claude by anthropic be 2 free app in the us apple app store on march 20	No	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xffb347…
03-18 17:41:21	khamenei of tweets march 20 march 27 2026 0 19	Yes	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x547b91…
03-18 17:40:15	will one piece season 2 be the top us netflix show this week 927	No	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0xf20c66…
03-17 19:52:15	sp 500 all time high by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	14	14¢	$2	0x4d603f…
03-16 21:15:49	will elon musks net worth be between 670b and 680b on march 31	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x478112…
03-16 21:15:43	will elon musks net worth be between 650b and 660b on march 31	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xe5aade…