Shadowy-Paddle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.4%

Resolved

Trades

954

lifetime

Volume

$4.42K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-08

last 06-16 23:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

85% — —

Politics

9% — —

Pop-Culture

2% — —

Sports

2% 50% $-10

Other

1% 0% $-1

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	2	$242	125	125	+0	open	—	03-14 14:46
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$119	157	15	+142	open	—	05-09 22:40
btc updown 5m 1773341100	3	$112	116	0	+116	open	—	03-12 18:49
bitcoin up or down march 10 1pm et	2	$109	55	55	+0	open	—	03-10 17:59
btc updown 5m 1773346200	4	$106	120	0	+120	open	—	03-12 20:14
will kanye release bully by march 27	1	$100	113	0	+113	open	—	03-27 18:16
btc updown 5m 1773343200	6	$95	115	7	+109	open	—	03-12 19:24
btc updown 5m 1773261600	4	$87	98	8	+90	open	—	03-11 20:44
btc updown 5m 1773345600	5	$87	106	3	+103	open	—	03-12 20:04
btc updown 5m 1773261300	6	$83	93	5	+87	open	—	03-11 20:39
btc updown 5m 1773335100	9	$82	94	6	+88	open	—	03-12 17:09
btc updown 5m 1773334200	5	$80	84	2	+82	open	—	03-12 16:54
btc updown 5m 1773309300	3	$78	82	0	+82	open	—	03-12 10:00
btc updown 5m 1773309000	4	$78	90	0	+90	open	—	03-12 09:54
btc updown 5m 1773258600	7	$76	80	10	+71	open	—	03-11 19:54
btc updown 5m 1773262500	4	$74	86	2	+84	open	—	03-11 20:59
btc updown 5m 1773427200	4	$74	139	2	+137	open	—	03-13 18:44
btc updown 5m 1773305700	4	$74	83	0	+83	open	—	03-12 09:00
btc updown 5m 1773260400	4	$71	78	5	+73	open	—	03-11 20:24
btc updown 5m 1773260100	5	$71	78	6	+71	open	—	03-11 20:19
btc updown 5m 1773261000	4	$69	81	5	+77	open	—	03-11 20:34
btc updown 5m 1773307200	7	$69	80	0	+80	open	—	03-12 09:24
btc updown 5m 1773259800	4	$69	73	2	+71	open	—	03-11 20:14
btc updown 5m 1773340800	5	$56	66	7	+59	open	—	03-12 18:44
btc updown 15m 1773434700	5	$55	91	90	+1	open	—	03-13 20:54
btc updown 5m 1773434400	2	$55	71	0	+71	open	—	03-13 20:44
btc updown 5m 1773346500	4	$53	86	33	+53	open	—	03-12 20:19
btc updown 5m 1773426600	7	$50	55	4	+51	open	—	03-13 18:34
btc updown 15m 1773148500	13	$48	40	37	+3	open	—	03-10 13:30
btc updown 5m 1773431100	9	$48	66	61	+4	open	—	03-13 19:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-16 23:06:07	fifwc irq nor 2026 06 16 team total home 1pt5	Under	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x408ac4…
06-16 23:04:37	fifwc irq nor 2026 06 16 btts	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x7beb82…
06-16 21:12:05	fifwc irq nor 2026 06 16 btts	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x0ac1da…
06-15 14:23:09	fifwc bel egy 2026 06 15 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x68605c…
05-10 00:23:03	Fight to Go the Distance?	No	BUY	21	68¢	$14	0xb2aabf…
05-10 00:22:32	UFC 328: Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)	Yaroslav Amosov	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x86991a…
05-09 23:02:54	UFC 328: Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)	Yaroslav Amosov	BUY	11	64¢	$7	0xa85c9a…
05-09 23:01:11	UFC 328: Roman Kopylov vs. Marco Tulio (Middleweight, Early Prelims)	Roman Kopylov	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xd33799…
05-09 22:44:30	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Khamzat Chimaev	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x85f4c9…
05-09 22:43:18	UFC 328: Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)	Yaroslav Amosov	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xa9d05b…
05-09 22:40:56	UFC 328: Roman Kopylov vs. Marco Tulio (Middleweight, Early Prelims)	Roman Kopylov	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0xac5997…
05-09 22:40:25	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	15	71¢	$11	0x766b06…
04-26 13:38:02	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	157	69¢	$108	0x718fa5…
04-19 10:55:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xf6bbd2…
04-08 13:59:53	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x65bbc9…
04-07 21:58:27	nba mia tor 2026 04 07 total 238pt5	Under	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xd734ec…
04-05 16:54:53	Will 2–3 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	4	76¢	$3	0x148021…
04-01 15:10:09	Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x0c999d…
04-01 15:09:31	Will 2–3 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x3530a3…
03-31 16:41:49	nba dal mil 2026 01 25 spread home 2pt5	Mavericks	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0xa332f2…
03-29 22:01:06	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x429d23…
03-27 18:16:41	will kanye release bully by march 27	No	BUY	113	89¢	$100	0x164db9…
03-24 19:54:51	will one piece season 2 be the top us netflix show this week 927	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xab858f…
03-22 17:26:53	Will Karoline Leavitt be less than 5 minutes late to the next press briefing?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xc97ee5…
03-21 15:36:21	ufc mov ler 2026 03 21	Lerone Murphy	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xa40ce0…
03-21 15:35:41	ufc mic32 sam2 2026 03 21	Michael Page	BUY	14	64¢	$9	0x0da2aa…
03-19 20:41:49	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x56f0f5…
03-19 19:54:55	will trump say emperor or king during events with japanese pm	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x3386cf…
03-18 17:41:41	will claude by anthropic be 2 free app in the us apple app store on march 20	No	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xffb347…
03-18 17:41:21	khamenei of tweets march 20 march 27 2026 0 19	Yes	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x547b91…
03-18 17:40:15	will one piece season 2 be the top us netflix show this week 927	No	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0xf20c66…
03-17 19:52:15	sp 500 all time high by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	14	14¢	$2	0x4d603f…
03-16 21:15:49	will elon musks net worth be between 670b and 680b on march 31	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x478112…
03-16 21:15:43	will elon musks net worth be between 650b and 660b on march 31	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xe5aade…
03-16 21:12:57	sp 500 all time high by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x5d24e6…
03-14 20:00:29	ufc bru cha15 2026 03 14	Charles Johnson	BUY	13	60¢	$8	0xbf9599…
03-14 19:58:49	ufc chr8 myk 2026 03 14	Myktybek Orolbai	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xc0e90a…
03-14 15:33:57	will trump say ceasefire this week march 22	Yes	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xaf63ea…
03-14 15:02:57	will netanyahu tweet again by saturday	No	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xff1fd0…
03-14 14:46:01	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	No	SELL	125	98¢	$122	0x07755e…
03-13 22:03:45	will one battle after another win exactly 7 awards at the oscars	No	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xbff748…
03-13 21:56:07	eth updown 5m 1773438900	Down	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0xe815b6…
03-13 21:51:45	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	No	BUY	125	96¢	$120	0x01bc6e…
03-13 20:54:37	btc updown 15m 1773434700	Down	SELL	67	7¢	$5	0x80781f…
03-13 20:53:07	btc updown 15m 1773434700	Up	SELL	22	92¢	$21	0xfef479…
03-13 20:50:07	btc updown 15m 1773434700	Down	BUY	47	21¢	$10	0xfa4f7b…
03-13 20:47:59	btc updown 15m 1773434700	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xeffea8…
03-13 20:47:05	btc updown 15m 1773434700	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x775d07…
03-13 20:44:23	btc updown 5m 1773434400	Down	BUY	59	85¢	$50	0x312ef3…
03-13 20:40:21	btc updown 5m 1773434400	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x428938…
03-13 20:39:27	btc updown 5m 1773434100	Up	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0xa810b8…
03-13 20:39:21	btc updown 5m 1773434100	Down	BUY	13	46¢	$6	0x860227…
03-13 20:37:23	btc updown 5m 1773434100	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x4a2852…
03-13 20:35:09	btc updown 5m 1773434100	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x334a18…
03-13 20:34:25	btc updown 5m 1773433800	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x6f53fc…
03-13 20:34:23	btc updown 5m 1773433800	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x419055…
03-13 20:34:21	btc updown 5m 1773433800	Up	SELL	18	26¢	$5	0x052306…
03-13 20:34:13	btc updown 5m 1773433800	Down	SELL	16	73¢	$12	0xb70022…
03-13 20:31:11	btc updown 5m 1773433800	Up	BUY	18	49¢	$9	0xb856de…
03-13 20:30:35	btc updown 5m 1773433800	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xd280d7…
03-13 20:30:19	btc updown 5m 1773433800	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xb0b4e1…
03-13 20:28:29	btc updown 5m 1773433500	Up	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x310007…
03-13 20:27:51	btc updown 5m 1773433500	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xe281fc…
03-13 20:27:29	btc updown 5m 1773433500	Up	SELL	3	10¢	$0	0x0a5fa6…
03-13 20:27:07	btc updown 5m 1773433500	Down	SELL	3	89¢	$2	0xdc7b49…
03-13 20:26:15	btc updown 5m 1773433500	Down	BUY	3	57¢	$1	0x4a5b86…
03-13 20:25:31	btc updown 5m 1773433500	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xafe2fb…
03-13 20:24:29	btc updown 5m 1773433200	Up	SELL	14	31¢	$4	0xa81146…
03-13 20:24:25	btc updown 5m 1773433200	Down	BUY	23	66¢	$15	0xd25062…
03-13 20:23:45	btc updown 5m 1773433200	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x943b4f…
03-13 20:22:55	btc updown 5m 1773433200	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x4368c2…
03-13 20:22:15	btc updown 5m 1773433200	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x56390a…
03-13 20:20:15	btc updown 5m 1773433200	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x4c364a…
03-13 20:19:27	btc updown 5m 1773432900	Down	SELL	17	2¢	$0	0xacaff9…
03-13 20:17:51	btc updown 5m 1773432900	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xeddede…
03-13 20:15:33	btc updown 5m 1773432900	Down	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0x13276f…
03-13 20:15:17	btc updown 5m 1773432900	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xb32992…
03-13 20:14:21	btc updown 5m 1773432600	Down	SELL	10	5¢	$1	0xa40e74…
03-13 20:14:15	btc updown 5m 1773432600	Up	BUY	13	95¢	$12	0x8c187d…
03-13 20:12:13	btc updown 5m 1773432600	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x2bcbec…
03-13 20:10:49	btc updown 5m 1773432600	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x403648…
03-13 20:09:07	btc updown 5m 1773432300	Up	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0xb72e15…
03-13 20:05:49	btc updown 5m 1773432300	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x83a7be…
03-13 20:04:23	btc updown 5m 1773432000	Up	BUY	25	61¢	$15	0x36bafc…
03-13 20:04:17	btc updown 5m 1773432000	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x09db0d…
03-13 20:03:55	btc updown 5m 1773432000	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xa9e05d…
03-13 20:02:53	btc updown 5m 1773432000	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x270467…
03-13 20:01:53	btc updown 5m 1773432000	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x83386a…
03-13 20:01:37	btc updown 5m 1773432000	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x8907bb…
03-13 20:01:27	btc updown 5m 1773432000	Up	SELL	11	49¢	$5	0xcc36a2…
03-13 20:00:41	btc updown 5m 1773432000	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x6fa2a6…
03-13 19:59:39	btc updown 5m 1773431700	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x91b7cc…
03-13 19:59:17	btc updown 5m 1773431700	Up	SELL	11	9¢	$1	0x2afde7…
03-13 19:59:01	btc updown 5m 1773431700	Down	BUY	12	88¢	$11	0xd39b74…
03-13 19:58:43	btc updown 5m 1773431700	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x55b0d8…
03-13 19:58:05	btc updown 5m 1773431700	Down	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0xc6ee4f…
03-13 19:58:01	btc updown 5m 1773431700	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xb964b5…
03-13 19:56:25	btc updown 5m 1773431700	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x8f9e9e…
03-13 19:54:21	btc updown 5m 1773431400	Down	SELL	7	7¢	$0	0x3afee6…
03-13 19:54:15	btc updown 5m 1773431400	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x4cc1ef…