Alienated-Smog — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$26

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

35.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$54

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 05-08 22:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 22% $-26

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	2	$7	25	25	+0	Up	+$3	05-08 22:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	2	$6	63	0	+63	Up	$-6	05-08 21:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	1	$5	500	0	+500	Down	$-5	05-08 20:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	1	$5	12	0	+12	Down	$-5	05-08 22:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	1	$5	19	0	+19	Down	$-5	05-08 21:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$1	05-08 22:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	05-08 21:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	3	$3	20	9	+11	Up	$-1	05-08 22:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Down	+$1	05-08 22:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	2	$3	129	0	+129	Up	$-3	05-08 21:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	1	$1	25	0	+25	Up	$-1	05-08 21:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	1	$1	10	0	+10	Down	$-1	05-08 21:47
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 6?	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	No	$-1	05-06 18:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	1	$1	5	0	+5	Up	$-1	05-08 22:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	1	$1	50	0	+50	Up	$-1	05-08 21:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	$-1	05-08 21:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	1	$1	8	0	+8	Down	$-1	05-08 21:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	1	$1	11	0	+11	Up	$-1	05-08 21:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-08 22:31:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x63d540…
05-08 22:24:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	SELL	25	20¢	$5	0x78775c…
05-08 22:22:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x3fa33a…
05-08 22:17:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	SELL	4	73¢	$3	0xc85963…
05-08 22:17:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xec2436…
05-08 22:13:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x0615fc…
05-08 22:13:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	9	15¢	$1	0xa55bc4…
05-08 22:12:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x8e6faa…
05-08 22:10:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x99beee…
05-08 22:06:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x0a0cc6…
05-08 22:03:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xa3cb6a…
05-08 21:59:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x05dc14…
05-08 21:50:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x36470c…
05-08 21:47:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xa5b14e…
05-08 21:45:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x70922b…
05-08 21:43:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xde1138…
05-08 21:39:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xcc6622…
05-08 21:39:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0xf00908…
05-08 21:33:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x844bd6…
05-08 21:18:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xfec414…
05-08 21:14:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xec940f…
05-08 21:08:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xf79f3a…
05-08 21:04:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xe37f49…
05-08 21:02:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x5e8c43…
05-08 20:54:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x726d0a…
05-06 18:00:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x7aa3a9…