Tricky-Follower — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$14

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

79.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.34K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-23

last 05-12 08:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Other

80% 88% $-15

Tech

12% — —

Crypto

7% — —

Sports

1% 100% +$1

Politics

1% 0% —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (10) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	10	$411	206	206	+0	open	—	04-17 08:43
ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 bay1	6	$121	111	75	+36	open	—	04-15 10:02
dota2 heroic vp 2026 04 20	2	$116	59	59	+0	open	—	04-20 11:25
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$91	46	46	+0	open	—	04-17 08:39
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$91	55	55	+0	open	—	04-18 10:58
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	2	$91	46	46	+0	open	—	04-17 08:40
Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?	2	$91	47	47	+0	open	—	04-17 08:42
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	4	$72	39	39	+0	open	—	04-17 08:20
cs2 ts7 vit 2026 04 19	1	$45	59	0	+59	open	—	04-19 08:51
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A	1	$25	27	0	+27	BetBoom Team	$-25	05-12 08:00
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	1	$22	24	0	+24	Team Falcons	+$2	05-11 07:52
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Fisher College (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	1	$22	23	0	+23	PARIVISION	+$1	05-10 08:03
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs The Huns Esports (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	1	$21	22	0	+22	Spirit	+$1	05-09 08:14
LoL: T1 vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	1	$19	21	0	+21	T1	+$2	05-08 07:10
Counter-Strike: ALGO Esports vs SINQU (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Group C	1	$17	19	0	+19	ALGO Esports	+$2	05-07 07:18
cs2 vit red9 2026 04 13	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-13 07:19
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	1	$8	9	0	+9	Hanwha Life Esports	+$1	05-06 08:47
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs	1	$7	8	0	+8	Hanwha Life Esports	+$1	05-05 07:31
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs FC Famalicão Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stage	1	$7	8	0	+8	open	—	05-04 07:58
LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs DetonatioN FocusMe (BO3) - LCP Regular Season	1	$6	7	0	+7	open	—	05-03 09:11
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	2	$6	35	35	+0	Yes	+$0	04-27 07:57
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs	1	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	05-02 08:49
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	1	$5	6	0	+6	Yes	+$1	03-23 09:42
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-29 13:03
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs HyperSpirit (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #1 Group Stage	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-30 08:23
LoL: Team Vitality vs Solary (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs	1	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	04-28 10:54
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	3	$3	4	0	+4	open	—	04-12 08:53
lal bar cel 2026 04 22 bar	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	04-22 08:05
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$2	3	3	+0	open	—	04-17 08:27
ucl fcb1 atm1 2026 04 08 fcb1	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	04-06 09:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 08:00:13	Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A	Vitality	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0x8db7f9…
05-11 07:52:12	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	Team Falcons	BUY	24	91¢	$22	0x9a01dc…
05-10 08:03:58	Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Fisher College (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	PARIVISION	BUY	23	95¢	$22	0x3888f0…
05-09 08:14:36	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs The Huns Esports (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	Spirit	BUY	22	96¢	$21	0xb607ec…
05-08 07:10:29	LoL: T1 vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	T1	BUY	21	90¢	$19	0x1eea25…
05-07 07:18:40	Counter-Strike: ALGO Esports vs SINQU (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Group C	ALGO Esports	BUY	19	89¢	$17	0xc72cdf…
05-06 08:47:52	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	9	93¢	$8	0xdfb860…
05-05 07:31:14	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	8	93¢	$7	0x9bc302…
05-04 07:58:56	Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs FC Famalicão Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stage	Walczaki	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0xdfb788…
05-03 09:11:36	LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs DetonatioN FocusMe (BO3) - LCP Regular Season	Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0x7988b5…
05-02 08:49:40	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs	Vitality	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0xbbc367…
04-30 08:23:06	Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs HyperSpirit (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #1 Group Stage	Walczaki	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x7d8231…
04-29 13:03:08	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A	Vitality	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xfae4e2…
04-28 10:54:42	LoL: Team Vitality vs Solary (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs	Team Vitality	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x1d2b44…
04-27 07:57:16	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	35	8¢	$3	0x84c904…
04-23 11:11:46	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	8¢	$3	0xa4dfbe…
04-22 08:05:30	lal bar cel 2026 04 22 bar	Yes	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xcff20d…
04-20 11:25:12	dota2 heroic vp 2026 04 20	Heroic	SELL	59	98¢	$58	0x62612a…
04-20 11:24:22	dota2 heroic vp 2026 04 20	Heroic	BUY	59	100¢	$59	0xf3a3a3…
04-19 08:51:02	cs2 ts7 vit 2026 04 19	Vitality	BUY	59	76¢	$45	0x13d320…
04-18 10:58:38	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	55	84¢	$46	0xf5aaff…
04-17 08:47:38	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	55	83¢	$45	0x5d56b7…
04-17 08:43:56	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	46	100¢	$45	0x6389f3…
04-17 08:43:46	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	46	100¢	$45	0x400e22…
04-17 08:43:40	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	46	100¢	$45	0xfab3d7…
04-17 08:43:28	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0x9957f0…
04-17 08:42:16	Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	47	97¢	$46	0x1c2be2…
04-17 08:41:58	Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	47	97¢	$46	0x7a8fe3…
04-17 08:40:34	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	SELL	46	99¢	$46	0xe9f6c0…
04-17 08:40:18	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	46	99¢	$46	0x0bc0b2…
04-17 08:39:50	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	46	99¢	$46	0x264f63…
04-17 08:39:34	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	46	99¢	$46	0xbc512c…
04-17 08:39:02	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	46	100¢	$46	0x2ee007…
04-17 08:38:52	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0xf997e1…
04-17 08:27:24	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	3	44¢	$1	0x027098…
04-17 08:20:32	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	39	93¢	$36	0xd0a925…
04-17 08:20:22	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	94¢	$34	0x82eb56…
04-16 09:15:24	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0x0b9a96…
04-16 09:15:18	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xf4f518…
04-16 09:14:28	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0x569c38…
04-16 09:14:18	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xf598b6…
04-15 10:02:54	ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 bay1	Yes	BUY	35	66¢	$23	0x2ca1d1…
04-15 09:58:32	ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 bay1	Yes	SELL	37	65¢	$24	0x995cfb…
04-15 09:45:56	ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 bay1	Yes	BUY	37	66¢	$25	0x172946…
04-15 09:44:58	ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 bay1	Yes	SELL	38	65¢	$25	0xcdefc7…
04-15 09:44:24	ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 bay1	Yes	BUY	23	66¢	$15	0x17f82a…
04-13 07:19:23	cs2 vit red9 2026 04 13	Vitality	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xd5789e…
04-12 08:56:41	ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 bay1	Yes	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x6d949d…
04-12 08:53:03	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x269ad0…
04-08 15:16:09	ucl fcb1 atm1 2026 04 08 draw	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xb1c521…
04-08 15:15:41	ucl psg1 liv1 2026 04 08 psg1	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xb41afe…
04-07 07:55:45	ucl rma1 bay1 2026 04 07 rma1	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x6ff2a7…
04-06 09:27:35	ucl fcb1 atm1 2026 04 08 fcb1	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x4faa76…
04-06 09:25:17	will michigan win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xcac654…
04-04 08:54:35	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x4f4c1b…
04-02 13:41:13	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x867d31…
03-27 11:22:39	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x4fa39e…
03-27 08:27:57	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x3c4201…
03-26 11:19:23	cbb tx pur 2026 03 26	Purdue Boilermakers	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x04dd71…
03-25 09:12:19	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x97f3a3…
03-24 08:44:47	will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x652113…
03-24 08:44:07	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x37d9c9…
03-24 08:42:51	Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x3a3f85…
03-23 09:45:21	cs2 prv vit 2026 03 23	Vitality	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x4766f4…
03-23 09:42:39	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x5d3d3e…
03-23 09:41:49	cs2 navi aur1 2026 03 23	Natus Vincere	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xd46f52…