Jumpy-Instrument — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$14

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

95.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.24K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-11

last 06-29 22:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

53% 75% $-0

Other

45% 100% +$14

Politics

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$288	170	170	+0	open	—	04-12 19:40
andy burnham becomes an mp by june 30	1	$142	0	169	-169	open	—	06-09 08:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	2	$77	52	52	+0	open	—	05-16 13:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	2	$56	49	49	+0	open	—	05-14 22:26
Will Green Party win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	2	$54	40	40	+0	Yes	+$14	04-21 22:26
btc updown 5m 1776808800	2	$48	56	52	+3	open	—	04-21 22:04
btc updown 5m 1776027900	2	$41	21	21	+0	open	—	04-12 21:11
will the virginia redistricting referendum pass	1	$30	37	0	+37	open	—	04-21 23:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	1	$25	85	0	+85	open	—	05-16 13:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	1	$25	67	0	+67	open	—	05-16 13:50
fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 team to advance	2	$23	13	13	+0	open	—	06-28 21:00
btc updown 5m 1776029100	2	$23	14	13	+0	open	—	04-12 21:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	2	$23	14	13	+0	open	—	04-26 21:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	4	$21	18	18	+0	Up	+$1	05-08 22:45
btc updown 5m 1776810000	3	$21	27	16	+11	open	—	04-21 22:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	1	$20	58	0	+58	open	—	05-16 13:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	2	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	05-16 12:34
btc updown 5m 1776810600	2	$14	19	18	+1	open	—	04-21 22:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	2	$13	10	10	+0	Down	+$3	05-13 19:43
btc updown 5m 1776811200	2	$13	11	10	+0	open	—	04-21 22:42
btc updown 5m 1776889800	2	$13	10	9	+0	open	—	04-22 20:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	2	$12	11	11	+0	open	—	05-16 11:51
btc updown 5m 1776892200	2	$12	11	10	+0	open	—	04-22 21:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	2	$12	20	20	+0	open	—	05-16 11:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	2	$12	9	9	+0	open	—	05-14 22:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	2	$11	10	10	+0	open	—	05-16 16:26
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	2	$11	106	106	+0	open	—	04-20 22:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	05-08 22:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	2	$10	7	7	+0	open	—	04-26 21:21
btc updown 5m 1776809400	1	$10	40	0	+40	open	—	04-21 22:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-29 22:15:17	nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x8f8bc6…
06-28 21:00:53	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 team to advance	Canada	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x278d6e…
06-28 15:55:29	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 team to advance	Canada	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x667e6d…
06-21 19:46:37	starmer out by june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x63ccdd…
06-14 16:59:06	btc updown 5m 1781456100	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x6c0149…
06-14 16:54:13	btc updown 5m 1781455800	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x4633b6…
06-09 08:54:09	andy burnham becomes an mp by june 30	Yes	SELL	169	84¢	$142	0xb34f39…
05-16 16:26:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	10	59¢	$6	0x21dcfc…
05-16 16:25:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x94c45d…
05-16 13:55:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	58	35¢	$20	0xb91935…
05-16 13:50:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	67	37¢	$25	0x043276…
05-16 13:29:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	SELL	52	99¢	$52	0x054569…
05-16 13:27:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0xbd433b…
05-16 13:16:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	85	29¢	$25	0xe6fbaf…
05-16 12:34:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x00e112…
05-16 12:30:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x65f07b…
05-16 12:24:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x86408e…
05-16 12:23:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xfc536d…
05-16 11:57:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0xfcd933…
05-16 11:56:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x897e3b…
05-16 11:51:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	SELL	11	63¢	$7	0x7a1817…
05-16 11:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x804a99…
05-14 22:26:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	49	63¢	$31	0x58a4ed…
05-14 22:25:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x351907…
05-14 22:20:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	SELL	9	75¢	$7	0x5eaa8b…
05-14 22:20:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xb43452…
05-13 19:43:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	10	78¢	$8	0xe4873a…
05-13 19:42:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xa298cc…
05-13 17:01:30	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	156	3¢	$5	0x8e3364…
05-08 22:50:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xe0d109…
05-08 22:49:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x401f62…
05-08 22:45:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x531940…
05-08 22:44:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xdfe3f2…
05-08 22:42:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	10	42¢	$4	0x586df9…
05-08 22:41:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x812cdb…
05-08 22:37:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x1172bf…
04-28 21:49:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0x62469b…
04-28 21:45:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x6a20ff…
04-28 21:42:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x187cf6…
04-26 21:21:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x781483…
04-26 21:19:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0x4a581b…
04-26 21:07:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x1dad2b…
04-26 21:04:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	SELL	13	97¢	$13	0x675ddb…
04-26 21:02:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0xfa1387…
04-25 12:56:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xea10a2…
04-22 21:13:56	btc updown 5m 1776892200	Down	SELL	10	67¢	$7	0x37335f…
04-22 21:11:18	btc updown 5m 1776892200	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xcbb179…
04-22 21:08:16	btc updown 5m 1776891900	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x0ff6f0…
04-22 20:34:00	btc updown 5m 1776889800	Down	SELL	9	82¢	$8	0x6d3579…
04-22 20:31:52	btc updown 5m 1776889800	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x2f6aa2…
04-21 23:02:04	will the virginia redistricting referendum pass	Yes	BUY	37	82¢	$30	0x9f9e56…
04-21 22:42:38	btc updown 5m 1776811200	Up	SELL	10	74¢	$8	0x1b486d…
04-21 22:42:04	btc updown 5m 1776811200	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xfccdfa…
04-21 22:34:52	btc updown 5m 1776810600	Up	SELL	18	48¢	$9	0x9f47f2…
04-21 22:33:40	btc updown 5m 1776810600	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x20b155…
04-21 22:29:44	btc updown 5m 1776810300	Down	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0x99f714…
04-21 22:26:18	Will Green Party win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	SELL	40	85¢	$34	0xd2608b…
04-21 22:24:02	btc updown 5m 1776810000	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xa3c518…
04-21 22:23:34	btc updown 5m 1776810000	Down	SELL	16	74¢	$12	0x9f248f…
04-21 22:21:12	btc updown 5m 1776810000	Down	BUY	17	24¢	$4	0xfc03ae…
04-21 22:11:22	btc updown 5m 1776809400	Down	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xaaa02d…
04-21 22:04:00	btc updown 5m 1776808800	Down	SELL	52	72¢	$38	0xb3d41b…
04-21 22:03:04	btc updown 5m 1776808800	Down	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0xb7233b…
04-21 21:56:30	btc updown 5m 1776808500	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xe82e38…
04-21 21:53:12	btc updown 5m 1776808200	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x78c677…
04-20 22:19:30	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	106	5¢	$6	0x747856…
04-19 21:36:08	Will Green Party win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xc665ae…
04-19 21:31:06	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	106	5¢	$5	0xeeb2e8…
04-17 21:21:42	will the communist party of india marxist cpim win the most seats in the 2026 kerala legislative assembly election	Yes	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x1d1ddf…
04-16 21:13:36	btc updown 5m 1776373800	Down	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x9be95a…
04-16 21:11:54	btc updown 5m 1776373800	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xe0cc2c…
04-15 22:09:58	btc updown 5m 1776290700	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$3	0x91d2c6…
04-15 22:05:24	btc updown 5m 1776290700	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xb8fb35…
04-15 22:01:56	btc updown 5m 1776290400	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xd046c8…
04-14 22:01:16	btc updown 5m 1776204000	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x66f10e…
04-14 21:48:46	btc updown 5m 1776203100	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x523af3…
04-14 21:41:06	btc updown 5m 1776202800	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xdd0abd…
04-14 21:28:06	btc updown 5m 1776201900	Down	SELL	7	19¢	$1	0xdf7566…
04-14 21:27:30	btc updown 5m 1776201900	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x720c9d…
04-13 22:43:09	btc updown 5m 1776120000	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x78c075…
04-13 22:42:01	Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x5dc10f…
04-13 22:41:33	Will Jorge Nieto finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	34	6¢	$2	0x60d561…
04-13 22:00:49	btc updown 5m 1776117600	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xdc7535…
04-13 21:55:53	btc updown 5m 1776117300	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xd10941…
04-13 21:47:47	btc updown 5m 1776116700	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x56a02a…
04-12 22:25:45	btc updown 5m 1776032700	Up	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x80ad0d…
04-12 22:14:55	btc updown 5m 1776031800	Down	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x085143…
04-12 21:30:41	btc updown 5m 1776029100	Down	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0xb7f931…
04-12 21:29:05	btc updown 5m 1776029100	Down	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0xb6fa5e…
04-12 21:20:41	btc updown 5m 1776028800	Down	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x402332…
04-12 21:11:27	btc updown 5m 1776027900	Down	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0xe26d63…
04-12 21:09:13	btc updown 5m 1776027900	Down	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x6271d0…
04-12 19:40:51	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	170	99¢	$167	0x8c197a…
04-11 18:57:11	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	170	71¢	$120	0xf4c521…