Cloudy-Translation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

84.8%

Resolved

Trades

130

lifetime

Volume

$3.28K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$25

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-11

last 06-12 03:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

68% 100% +$1

Other

30% 50% $-6

Sports

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
microstrategy sells any bitcoin by march 31 2026	1	$1.4K	1,380	0	+1,380	open	—	03-30 02:24
mex atl gua 2026 03 07 total 3pt5	2	$91	50	50	+0	open	—	03-08 05:25
fifwc kr cze 2026 06 11 total 3pt5	2	$86	52	52	+0	open	—	06-12 03:44
lal bil bar 2026 03 08 total 3pt5	2	$74	38	38	+0	open	—	03-07 23:36
btc updown 5m 1774400700	1	$74	7,375	0	+7,375	open	—	03-25 01:10
btc updown 5m 1774400400	1	$68	74	0	+74	open	—	03-25 01:04
mex maz leo 2026 03 06 maz	2	$61	33	33	+0	open	—	03-07 04:24
mex tol asl 2026 04 12 total 2pt5	2	$57	30	30	+0	open	—	04-13 02:58
mex tol jua 2026 03 08 total 3pt5	1	$50	54	0	+54	open	—	03-09 00:07
lal rea ray 2026 02 01 total 3pt5	2	$40	22	22	+0	open	—	02-01 15:11
btc updown 5m 1776384600	1	$36	3,643	0	+3,643	open	—	04-17 00:15
btc updown 5m 1774399800	1	$36	69	0	+69	open	—	03-25 00:55
mex que ame 2026 03 08 ame	2	$35	20	20	+0	open	—	03-08 01:16
btc updown 5m 1774399200	1	$34	36	0	+36	open	—	03-25 00:43
mex nec pum 2026 03 06 total 2pt5	1	$33	37	0	+37	open	—	03-07 04:28
btc updown 5m 1776302700	1	$32	37	0	+37	open	—	04-16 01:29
btc updown 5m 1776213900	1	$32	32	0	+32	open	—	04-15 00:49
btc updown 5m 1776124500	1	$30	32	0	+32	open	—	04-13 23:59
btc updown 5m 1776123900	1	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	04-13 23:49
btc updown 5m 1774404900	3	$29	54	15	+39	open	—	03-25 02:20
mex tig gua 2026 04 11 tig	1	$26	27	0	+27	open	—	04-12 00:45
mex pum ame 2026 03 21 pum	2	$25	51	0	+51	open	—	03-21 18:08
btc updown 5m 1775943600	1	$24	26	0	+26	open	—	04-11 21:44
mex san caz 2026 03 03 caz	2	$24	14	14	+0	open	—	03-04 03:51
mex pue leo 2026 04 10 total 3pt5	1	$23	24	0	+24	open	—	04-11 02:11
nfl ne den 2026 01 25	2	$23	13	13	+0	open	—	01-25 23:06
mex pue tig 2026 03 04 total 1pt5	2	$23	13	13	+0	open	—	03-05 02:25
btc updown 5m 1775871000	1	$23	23	0	+23	open	—	04-11 01:33
btc updown 5m 1775782800	1	$21	23	0	+23	open	—	04-10 01:03
mex atl asl 2026 02 21 atl	2	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	02-22 01:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-12 03:44:28	fifwc kr cze 2026 06 11 total 3pt5	Under	SELL	52	69¢	$36	0x54f4d7…
06-12 03:17:42	fifwc kr cze 2026 06 11 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0xa6c25b…
06-09 00:38:25	btc updown 5m 1780965300	Down	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0x053abd…
06-09 00:37:40	btc updown 5m 1780965300	Down	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x84c779…
06-07 15:54:30	btc updown 5m 1780847400	Up	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xa6273d…
06-06 15:44:22	btc updown 5m 1780760400	Up	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0x4126c3…
06-06 04:03:40	btc updown 5m 1780718400	Up	BUY	18	82¢	$15	0x6f043c…
06-06 03:59:55	btc updown 5m 1780718100	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x50a909…
06-05 01:14:28	btc updown 5m 1780621800	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x09b64d…
06-03 01:19:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x7511d7…
05-31 16:44:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x73ecb6…
05-31 16:44:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x746b52…
05-31 16:32:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x474010…
05-31 01:51:00	Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xddd2f2…
05-30 17:29:18	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0x4d387c…
05-30 01:49:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xf2fc21…
05-28 01:48:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xf0b3c9…
05-26 00:23:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x6574e5…
05-26 00:18:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x9714c3…
05-25 02:12:42	Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	19	94¢	$18	0xda1a6f…
05-23 16:24:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x05e218…
05-22 03:06:53	CF Cruz Azul vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	17	82¢	$14	0x31dd06…
05-21 01:33:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x9c327e…
05-20 02:19:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x02a343…
05-10 16:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x85a98c…
05-10 02:45:21	CD Guadalajara vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0x9f81d3…
05-06 01:11:14	Tigres de la UANL vs. Nashville SC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	9	77¢	$7	0x2b4af2…
05-06 01:03:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xdc2ef7…
05-05 00:38:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0x81e040…
05-04 03:04:00	Deportivo Toluca FC vs. CF Pachuca: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x2029cb…
05-04 03:02:26	Deportivo Toluca FC vs. CF Pachuca: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	14	33¢	$5	0xb3d659…
05-03 20:17:08	Deportivo Toluca FC vs. CF Pachuca: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	14	57¢	$8	0x31bd84…
05-03 20:11:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x1e47eb…
05-03 20:04:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x6750bd…
04-17 00:15:04	btc updown 5m 1776384600	Up	BUY	3,643	1¢	$36	0xbe1622…
04-16 01:29:56	btc updown 5m 1776302700	Up	BUY	37	87¢	$32	0x431112…
04-15 00:49:24	btc updown 5m 1776213900	Down	BUY	32	99¢	$32	0x540541…
04-13 23:59:01	btc updown 5m 1776124500	Down	BUY	32	96¢	$30	0x2a866e…
04-13 23:49:47	btc updown 5m 1776123900	Down	BUY	30	98¢	$30	0x17cdfc…
04-13 02:58:01	mex tol asl 2026 04 12 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x20700a…
04-13 02:26:03	mex tol asl 2026 04 12 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	30	91¢	$27	0xfcaf84…
04-12 00:45:45	mex tig gua 2026 04 11 tig	Yes	BUY	27	95¢	$26	0x13d472…
04-11 21:44:55	btc updown 5m 1775943600	Up	BUY	26	92¢	$24	0x9135ff…
04-11 02:11:21	mex pue leo 2026 04 10 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	24	97¢	$23	0x2caf7e…
04-11 01:33:59	btc updown 5m 1775871000	Up	BUY	23	98¢	$23	0x8a02b3…
04-10 01:03:59	btc updown 5m 1775782800	Down	BUY	23	90¢	$21	0x6caaf3…
04-09 01:59:55	btc updown 5m 1775699700	Down	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xd7603b…
04-08 01:03:59	btc updown 5m 1775610000	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xfd5f20…
04-04 01:49:33	mex pue jua 2026 04 03 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xeb85a2…
03-30 02:24:54	microstrategy sells any bitcoin by march 31 2026	No	BUY	1,380	100¢	$1,377	0x2ba7da…
03-27 00:37:45	btc updown 5m 1774571700	Down	BUY	9	96¢	$9	0x9b8b22…
03-27 00:37:25	btc updown 5m 1774571700	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x60fd75…
03-27 00:19:29	btc updown 5m 1774570500	Up	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x8b5cab…
03-25 03:54:51	btc updown 5m 1774410600	Up	BUY	33	35¢	$12	0x54efea…
03-25 02:26:59	btc updown 5m 1774405500	Down	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x9d1cde…
03-25 02:20:41	btc updown 5m 1774404900	Down	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x01f803…
03-25 02:18:59	btc updown 5m 1774404900	Down	BUY	15	60¢	$9	0xbd173c…
03-25 02:16:57	btc updown 5m 1774404900	Up	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x121728…
03-25 01:59:05	btc updown 5m 1774403700	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xd575b0…
03-25 01:10:23	btc updown 5m 1774400700	Down	BUY	7,375	1¢	$74	0xd4e52f…
03-25 01:04:51	btc updown 5m 1774400400	Down	BUY	74	92¢	$68	0xe42343…
03-25 00:55:01	btc updown 5m 1774399800	Down	BUY	69	52¢	$36	0x9f1f9f…
03-25 00:43:05	btc updown 5m 1774399200	Up	BUY	36	95¢	$34	0x340476…
03-23 01:52:57	mex jua tig 2026 03 22 tig	No	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xba76c8…
03-22 21:21:53	lal rea mad 2026 03 22 rea	Yes	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0xf6ff91…
03-21 18:08:27	mex pum ame 2026 03 21 pum	No	BUY	23	66¢	$15	0xbb4d95…
03-21 18:08:01	mex pum ame 2026 03 21 pum	Yes	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x28b9bf…
03-21 01:38:23	mex maz caz 2026 03 20 caz	Yes	BUY	18	60¢	$11	0x238f58…
03-14 21:23:31	btc updown 5m 1773523200	Up	BUY	15	63¢	$10	0xbb2385…
03-14 21:21:13	btc updown 5m 1773522900	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xeaa96b…
03-14 21:18:17	btc updown 5m 1773522900	Up	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xd88f33…
03-14 21:10:39	btc updown 5m 1773522300	Down	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x5a32e0…
03-14 21:08:19	btc updown 5m 1773522300	Down	BUY	9	87¢	$8	0xeed1bb…
03-14 21:06:43	btc updown 5m 1773522000	Down	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xcba0e1…
03-14 21:03:47	btc updown 5m 1773522000	Down	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x52c6b8…
03-14 20:58:39	btc updown 5m 1773521700	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xa940db…
03-14 20:51:27	btc updown 5m 1773521400	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xaa1a41…
03-14 20:39:51	btc updown 5m 1773520500	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x6b7488…
03-09 00:07:21	mex tol jua 2026 03 08 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	54	92¢	$50	0x09b410…
03-08 05:25:59	mex atl gua 2026 03 07 total 3pt5	Under	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xd0fbed…
03-08 01:56:05	mex atl gua 2026 03 07 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	50	82¢	$41	0x357608…
03-08 01:16:51	mex que ame 2026 03 08 ame	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$19	0x04528c…
03-07 23:37:03	mex que ame 2026 03 08 ame	Yes	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0x395bd5…
03-07 23:36:23	lal bil bar 2026 03 08 total 3pt5	Under	SELL	38	100¢	$38	0x6ead05…
03-07 21:21:55	lal bil bar 2026 03 08 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	38	97¢	$37	0x084caa…
03-07 04:28:39	mex nec pum 2026 03 06 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	37	89¢	$33	0x16fb94…
03-07 04:24:29	mex maz leo 2026 03 06 maz	Yes	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0x8edaa5…
03-07 02:16:47	mex maz leo 2026 03 06 maz	Yes	BUY	33	87¢	$28	0x156ed4…
03-05 02:57:47	mex pue tig 2026 03 04 total 3pt5	Over	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xc2eabd…
03-05 02:30:45	mex pue tig 2026 03 04 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x2ad31d…
03-05 02:25:03	mex pue tig 2026 03 04 total 1pt5	Over	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xd70e83…
03-05 00:03:41	mex pue tig 2026 03 04 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x5658a5…
03-04 03:56:25	mex pum tol 2026 03 03 tol	Yes	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xa646c8…
03-04 03:51:49	mex san caz 2026 03 03 caz	Yes	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x63be93…
03-04 00:52:25	mex san caz 2026 03 03 caz	Yes	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x9d68af…
02-28 04:52:53	mex tij pum 2026 02 27 draw	Yes	BUY	9	67¢	$6	0xd9bcd3…
02-28 04:30:45	mex tij pum 2026 02 27 pum	Yes	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x57f234…
02-23 00:38:22	mex pum mon1 2026 02 22 pum	Yes	BUY	12	96¢	$11	0x5a48c8…
02-22 14:44:26	lal get sev 2026 02 22 btts	No	BUY	4	89¢	$4	0x5e9d3c…
02-22 04:30:00	mex caz gua 2026 02 21 caz	Yes	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0xe7c47d…