Insubstantial-Furnace — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$84

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

48.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$567

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-22

last 05-10 00:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Sports

71% 25% $-81

Crypto

29% 21% $-3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	4	$71	45	45	+0	Down	+$19	05-08 17:10
Thunder vs. Lakers	2	$54	217	0	+217	Thunder	$-54	05-10 00:44
Timberwolves vs. Spurs	2	$54	125	125	+0	Timberwolves	+$4	05-04 21:25
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets	1	$50	263	0	+263	open	—	04-27 21:45
Lakers vs. Thunder	3	$44	232	125	+107	Thunder	$-16	05-05 18:24
Lakers vs. Rockets	2	$40	154	0	+154	open	—	04-24 22:11
Hawks vs. Knicks	1	$35	113	0	+113	open	—	04-28 22:11
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves	1	$30	111	0	+111	open	—	05-01 02:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	2	$26	21	21	+0	Up	+$16	05-08 17:15
Magic vs. Pistons	1	$25	109	0	+109	open	—	04-29 22:03
Raptors vs. Cavaliers	1	$15	56	0	+56	open	—	05-03 18:56
Magic vs. Pistons	1	$15	56	0	+56	open	—	05-03 18:56
Rockets vs. Lakers	1	$15	25	0	+25	open	—	04-29 22:04
Cavaliers vs. Pistons	1	$15	59	0	+59	Pistons	$-15	05-06 01:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	1	$10	125	0	+125	Up	$-10	05-06 00:12
nba hou lal 2026 04 21	2	$10	30	0	+30	open	—	04-22 02:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	2	$8	27	0	+27	Down	+$13	05-06 00:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	2	$7	18	0	+18	Down	$-0	05-05 22:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	1	$6	17	0	+17	Up	$-6	05-07 15:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	1	$5	250	0	+250	Down	$-5	05-04 20:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	1	$5	12	0	+12	open	—	04-24 21:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	1	$5	100	0	+100	Up	$-5	05-08 17:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	1	$5	500	0	+500	Down	$-5	05-06 00:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	1	$5	38	0	+38	Down	$-5	05-04 23:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	1	$5	83	0	+83	Up	$-5	05-04 22:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	1	$5	26	0	+26	Down	$-5	05-07 15:52
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	Up	$-2	05-04 23:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	1	$1	8	0	+8	Up	$-1	05-08 16:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-10 00:44:10	Thunder vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	17	23¢	$4	0x507504…
05-10 00:43:37	Thunder vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0x79e169…
05-08 17:18:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x81894b…
05-08 17:15:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x407dab…
05-08 17:13:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x70bfa3…
05-08 17:10:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	45	99¢	$45	0xbf7056…
05-08 17:09:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	16	90¢	$14	0x4cc044…
05-08 17:06:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	18	33¢	$6	0x755131…
05-08 17:05:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0x4a8156…
05-08 16:57:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x5010a9…
05-07 15:52:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x0e1437…
05-07 15:45:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	17	36¢	$6	0x1d6502…
05-06 01:23:58	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	BUY	59	25¢	$15	0x561724…
05-06 00:24:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xe2c1e1…
05-06 00:16:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x680446…
05-06 00:16:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xfeb289…
05-06 00:12:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x099274…
05-05 22:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xc0de15…
05-05 22:12:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0xbe6f34…
05-05 18:24:38	Lakers vs. Thunder	Lakers	BUY	107	14¢	$15	0x461e01…
05-04 23:22:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x616416…
05-04 23:13:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x147f3f…
05-04 22:03:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0xea580b…
05-04 21:26:30	Lakers vs. Thunder	Lakers	SELL	125	11¢	$14	0x831470…
05-04 21:25:40	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	SELL	125	23¢	$29	0xa29c06…
05-04 20:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x0d9df9…
05-04 17:11:04	Lakers vs. Thunder	Lakers	BUY	125	12¢	$15	0xdc308b…
05-04 17:10:50	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	BUY	125	20¢	$25	0xaaef14…
05-03 18:56:10	Raptors vs. Cavaliers	Raptors	BUY	56	27¢	$15	0x8220c5…
05-03 18:56:06	Magic vs. Pistons	Magic	BUY	56	27¢	$15	0x8e9544…
05-01 02:13:24	Nuggets vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	111	27¢	$30	0x0917bf…
04-29 22:04:06	Rockets vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	25	61¢	$15	0xaa7b01…
04-29 22:03:58	Magic vs. Pistons	Magic	BUY	109	23¢	$25	0x9a0ba8…
04-28 22:11:14	Hawks vs. Knicks	Hawks	BUY	113	31¢	$35	0x7971da…
04-27 21:45:42	Timberwolves vs. Nuggets	Timberwolves	BUY	263	19¢	$50	0xec80ec…
04-24 22:11:48	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	115	26¢	$30	0xa58bfd…
04-24 21:11:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x660f4b…
04-24 21:09:10	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x9cf1fb…
04-22 02:41:38	nba hou lal 2026 04 21	Lakers	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x6297a8…
04-22 01:59:28	nba hou lal 2026 04 21	Lakers	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x7ebdc5…