Drab-Mortality — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

50.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$204

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 07-25 19:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

62% 38% $-4

Tech

32% — —

Politics

5% 0% $-5

Other

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (14) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	3	$55	72	42	+30	open	—	07-24 08:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	3	$21	42	23	+19	Up	+$20	05-10 06:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	3	$14	94	74	+19	Up	$-5	05-10 07:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	2	$13	19	19	+0	Down	+$3	05-09 18:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	2	$12	32	32	+0	open	—	05-20 09:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	2	$11	16	16	+0	Down	+$1	05-09 18:48
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	2	$10	17	17	+0	open	—	05-20 09:18
will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	1	$10	36	0	+36	open	—	07-25 19:31
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	2	$8	14	14	+0	Up	$-2	05-10 06:58
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	1	$5	62	0	+62	No	$-5	05-09 18:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	1	$5	38	0	+38	Up	$-5	05-10 17:27
btc updown 5m 1785008700	1	$5	24	0	+24	open	—	07-25 19:49
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	1	$5	11	0	+11	Up	$-5	05-10 06:52
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	1	$5	34	0	+34	open	—	05-06 16:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	1	$5	14	0	+14	Down	$-5	05-10 07:12
Solana Up or Down - May 9, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	1	$5	18	0	+18	Down	$-5	05-09 18:54
Solana Up or Down - May 9, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	Down	+$2	05-09 18:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	1	$2	20	0	+20	Up	$-2	05-10 07:29
will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 30 2026	1	$2	133	0	+133	open	—	07-25 19:33
Solana Up or Down - May 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	2	$2	35	35	+0	Down	+$0	05-09 18:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	1	$2	52	0	+52	Up	$-2	05-10 06:49
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	1	$1	5	0	+5	open	—	05-09 19:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-25 19:49:33	btc updown 5m 1785008700	Down	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xa2db0d…
07-25 19:33:46	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 30 2026	Yes	BUY	133	1¢	$2	0x7dbd51…
07-25 19:31:43	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	Yes	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0xba81d2…
07-24 08:18:51	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	Yes	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x7bb617…
07-22 21:24:57	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	No	SELL	42	61¢	$25	0x0a78b9…
07-20 09:25:00	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231	No	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x043c6d…
05-20 09:18:50	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	SELL	17	32¢	$5	0x0d3d49…
05-20 09:18:29	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x37395b…
05-20 09:17:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	SELL	32	23¢	$7	0x5c85c7…
05-20 09:17:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	32	15¢	$5	0x0d675b…
05-10 17:27:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x75344c…
05-10 07:29:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x81d3b5…
05-10 07:12:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xb3bce6…
05-10 07:04:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	19	24¢	$5	0xcfddc2…
05-10 07:02:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	SELL	74	6¢	$4	0xf78baf…
05-10 07:02:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	74	7¢	$5	0x7b5cc4…
05-10 06:58:44	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	SELL	14	19¢	$3	0x3a1b08…
05-10 06:56:11	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x9fc338…
05-10 06:52:15	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x1ce68a…
05-10 06:49:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	52	3¢	$2	0xa8c24e…
05-10 06:44:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xfc3b62…
05-10 06:42:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	SELL	23	47¢	$11	0x3b23c1…
05-10 06:42:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xfd0d2b…
05-09 19:03:04	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x1223d9…
05-09 18:54:10	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xdf7132…
05-09 18:49:32	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	SELL	35	3¢	$1	0x7e5c9e…
05-09 18:49:18	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	35	2¢	$1	0x3439a8…
05-09 18:48:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	SELL	16	40¢	$6	0x1b4f70…
05-09 18:46:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x8be1d8…
05-09 18:44:01	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xfe9477…
05-09 18:33:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	SELL	19	44¢	$8	0xa49a24…
05-09 18:31:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xd03c84…
05-09 18:13:25	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xb76862…
05-06 16:22:51	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	15¢	$5	0x54d48b…