Selfish-Mud — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$14.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$208

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-24

last 04-28 20:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

59% 0% $-2

Crypto

23% — —

Sports

15% — —

Politics

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	4	$1.2K	612	612	+0	open	—	03-23 14:29
Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	4	$1.1K	533	533	+0	No	$-1	03-24 09:52
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	4	$1.1K	533	533	+0	No	$-1	04-15 22:41
Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	4	$982	492	492	+0	open	—	04-27 19:31
Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	2	$606	304	304	+0	No	$-0	03-30 13:04
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$606	303	303	+0	open	—	03-30 20:56
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$604	303	303	+0	open	—	03-22 22:21
will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	2	$587	294	294	+0	open	—	03-27 13:41
will bitcoin reach 110k in march 2026	2	$566	283	283	+0	open	—	03-25 17:33
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$564	283	283	+0	open	—	03-29 09:15
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$540	271	271	+0	open	—	04-02 17:40
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	2	$517	260	260	+0	open	—	02-27 17:53
will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	2	$512	256	256	+0	open	—	03-26 10:28
will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	2	$510	256	256	+0	open	—	03-25 06:36
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	2	$490	245	245	+0	open	—	04-19 08:10
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	2	$480	240	240	+0	open	—	03-23 03:42
Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$478	240	240	+0	open	—	03-31 08:36
Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$472	236	236	+0	No	$-0	04-04 18:49
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$458	229	229	+0	open	—	04-16 12:18
will ethereum dip to 400 in march 2026	2	$430	215	215	+0	open	—	03-27 08:17
will charl schwartzel win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$416	208	208	+0	open	—	04-06 11:43
Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$404	203	203	+0	No	$-0	04-05 11:19
nba was gsw 2026 03 27	1	$46	52	0	+52	open	—	03-27 20:19
will ethereum reach 2500 march 9 15	1	$44	44	0	+44	open	—	03-14 18:54
nba dal orl 2026 03 05	1	$42	55	0	+55	open	—	03-05 10:29
Will Ethereum dip to $600 in April?	1	$41	41	0	+41	open	—	04-28 20:03
nba ind por 2026 03 08	1	$39	50	0	+50	open	—	03-08 13:51
nba det sas 2026 03 05	1	$32	53	0	+53	open	—	03-05 10:29
nba atl bos 2026 03 27	1	$31	46	0	+46	open	—	03-27 20:19
nba nyk hou 2026 03 31	1	$23	45	0	+45	open	—	03-31 19:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-28 20:03:20	Will Ethereum dip to $600 in April?	No	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0xcb728e…
04-27 19:31:16	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	195	100¢	$195	0x86a61f…
04-27 11:38:40	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	195	100¢	$195	0x72b806…
04-19 08:10:30	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	SELL	245	100¢	$245	0xb9206a…
04-19 05:59:34	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	245	100¢	$245	0xd6c3e3…
04-16 12:18:08	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	229	100¢	$229	0x58ec4d…
04-16 09:20:16	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	229	100¢	$229	0xb37989…
04-15 22:41:34	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	252	100¢	$252	0x226da7…
04-15 17:43:58	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	253	100¢	$252	0xc43c5d…
04-06 11:43:27	will charl schwartzel win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	208	100¢	$208	0x0cde0c…
04-06 08:12:31	will charl schwartzel win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	208	100¢	$208	0xbbf858…
04-05 11:19:13	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	203	100¢	$202	0x7ed795…
04-05 02:38:45	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	203	100¢	$202	0x4efe63…
04-04 18:49:21	Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	236	100¢	$236	0xecec0c…
04-04 15:39:29	Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	236	100¢	$236	0x3dc88c…
04-02 17:40:59	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	271	100¢	$270	0xbafec3…
04-02 14:44:13	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	271	100¢	$270	0x93b674…
03-31 19:23:37	nba nyk hou 2026 03 31	Knicks	BUY	45	52¢	$23	0x0775a1…
03-31 19:23:09	nba por lac 2026 03 31	Clippers	BUY	25	67¢	$17	0x3926aa…
03-31 08:36:59	Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	240	100¢	$239	0xd9638a…
03-31 04:23:41	Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	240	100¢	$239	0x5fedda…
03-30 20:57:25	nba phi mia 2026 03 30	76ers	BUY	33	56¢	$18	0x70fe8b…
03-30 20:56:59	nba det okc 2026 03 30	Pistons	BUY	35	16¢	$6	0x442b52…
03-30 20:56:25	nba phx mem 2026 03 30	Suns	BUY	25	87¢	$22	0x7dc1c4…
03-30 20:56:05	Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	303	100¢	$303	0x8c2937…
03-30 17:03:49	Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	303	100¢	$303	0x5ab25f…
03-30 13:04:56	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	304	100¢	$303	0x977cb2…
03-30 09:08:54	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	304	100¢	$303	0xa82655…
03-29 09:15:36	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	283	100¢	$282	0x9bfe62…
03-29 05:20:14	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	283	100¢	$282	0x25c240…
03-27 20:19:43	nba atl bos 2026 03 27	Celtics	BUY	46	67¢	$31	0x1cb63b…
03-27 20:19:11	nba was gsw 2026 03 27	Warriors	BUY	52	88¢	$46	0x809669…
03-27 13:41:01	will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	No	SELL	294	100¢	$293	0x0cae1a…
03-27 08:41:51	will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	No	BUY	294	100¢	$293	0x3f474a…
03-27 08:17:35	will ethereum dip to 400 in march 2026	No	SELL	215	100¢	$215	0x91995c…
03-27 02:52:17	will ethereum dip to 400 in march 2026	No	BUY	215	100¢	$215	0x767f6f…
03-26 10:28:01	will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	No	SELL	256	100¢	$256	0xfce4f9…
03-26 04:53:23	will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	No	BUY	256	100¢	$256	0xca57b3…
03-25 22:04:53	nba okc bos 2026 03 25	Thunder	BUY	27	56¢	$15	0x084224…
03-25 22:04:25	nba mil por 2026 03 25	Bucks	BUY	49	15¢	$7	0x806c70…
03-25 17:33:51	will bitcoin reach 110k in march 2026	No	SELL	283	100¢	$283	0x3c0553…
03-25 12:07:49	will bitcoin reach 110k in march 2026	No	BUY	283	100¢	$283	0x0259ab…
03-25 06:36:45	will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	No	SELL	256	100¢	$255	0xa42085…
03-25 01:09:17	will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	No	BUY	256	100¢	$255	0x16c8f6…
03-24 09:52:09	Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	259	100¢	$258	0x09634c…
03-24 04:16:29	Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	259	100¢	$258	0xab84fc…
03-23 14:29:51	will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	SELL	321	100¢	$321	0xf11de4…
03-23 09:06:25	will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	321	100¢	$321	0x7b656f…
03-23 03:42:27	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	SELL	240	100¢	$240	0xc9f166…
03-22 22:21:21	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	240	100¢	$240	0x131281…
03-22 22:21:03	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	303	100¢	$302	0xc7b022…
03-22 20:37:45	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	303	100¢	$302	0xf04356…
03-22 17:00:17	Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	275	100¢	$274	0xd82c90…
03-22 11:39:47	Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	275	100¢	$274	0x351cd8…
03-22 00:31:45	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	297	100¢	$296	0xb83f1d…
03-21 18:20:07	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	297	100¢	$296	0x98adf1…
03-16 15:37:27	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	281	100¢	$280	0x5c3f5d…
03-15 03:39:09	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	281	100¢	$280	0x11c25b…
03-14 18:54:21	will ethereum reach 2500 march 9 15	No	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0xcafe6a…
03-08 13:51:11	nba ind por 2026 03 08	Trail Blazers	BUY	50	78¢	$39	0x841256…
03-05 10:29:57	nba dal orl 2026 03 05	Magic	BUY	55	77¢	$42	0x3b39a9…
03-05 10:29:33	nba bkn mia 2026 03 05	Nets	BUY	39	14¢	$5	0xb1afb7…
03-05 10:29:01	nba det sas 2026 03 05	Spurs	BUY	53	60¢	$32	0x5f3666…
03-02 14:34:33	will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	SELL	290	100¢	$290	0x25aaa5…
03-01 14:55:13	will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	290	100¢	$290	0xe4417d…
02-27 17:53:17	Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	260	100¢	$258	0x7ae1d0…
02-24 22:56:42	Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	260	100¢	$259	0x8ea040…