Adolescent-Labour — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

84.0%

Resolved

Trades

413

lifetime

Volume

$4.82K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

$31

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 07-09 09:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

82% 100% +$10

Politics

9% 0% $-5

Other

8% — —

Sports

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 205 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No		+22	$21	97¢	$21	+$0	07-09 09:56
Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026?	No		-10	$-10	96¢	$-10	+$0	06-08 05:55

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	4	$369	212	212	+0	open	—	05-23 15:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	6	$314	269	205	+64	open	—	05-19 19:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	21	$309	477	32	+445	open	—	05-20 10:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	23	$275	380	0	+380	open	—	05-20 09:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	17	$245	331	0	+331	open	—	05-20 09:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	8	$215	272	0	+272	open	—	05-20 09:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	9	$206	184	67	+117	open	—	05-19 19:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	11	$181	261	96	+165	open	—	05-20 09:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	7	$150	99	74	+25	open	—	05-19 19:34
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	11	$144	190	30	+160	open	—	06-23 06:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	10	$138	190	18	+171	open	—	05-20 10:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	19	$130	185	86	+99	open	—	05-20 10:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	11	$121	159	121	+38	open	—	05-19 17:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	12	$120	155	0	+155	open	—	05-20 10:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	8	$114	156	9	+147	open	—	05-20 09:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	5	$101	142	83	+60	open	—	05-20 10:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	1	$100	101	0	+101	open	—	05-19 17:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	16	$100	148	0	+148	open	—	05-20 10:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	5	$94	83	42	+42	open	—	05-19 19:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	5	$87	92	9	+83	open	—	05-19 21:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	7	$86	96	27	+69	open	—	05-30 09:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	8	$70	44	44	+0	open	—	05-20 10:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	9	$62	50	45	+5	open	—	05-19 17:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	13	$61	83	14	+70	open	—	05-20 10:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	8	$55	122	71	+51	open	—	05-20 10:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	6	$48	61	48	+13	open	—	05-19 17:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	9	$47	45	15	+30	open	—	05-20 10:24
will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt4t by june 30 98	2	$47	50	0	+50	open	—	06-25 16:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	5	$45	76	0	+76	open	—	05-19 19:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	8	$45	57	0	+57	open	—	05-20 10:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-09 09:56:44	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	22	96¢	$21	0xb770ac…
07-05 20:07:56	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	Mexico	BUY	25	47¢	$12	0x279fb9…
07-05 18:03:44	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 team to advance	Brazil	BUY	25	70¢	$18	0xcc513d…
07-05 17:36:14	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xc9a26f…
07-05 17:11:52	will brazil reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134475	Yes	BUY	25	70¢	$18	0x52a268…
07-05 16:53:19	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	25	59¢	$15	0xbeebc3…
07-02 06:52:37	fifwc che alg 2026 07 02 team to advance	Algeria	BUY	36	33¢	$12	0x051c87…
06-28 14:54:04	will ghana reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120782	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x844e9e…
06-28 13:17:49	will paraguay reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120749	No	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0x798072…
06-28 08:50:05	will ghana reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120782	Yes	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0xe377f0…
06-28 08:41:23	will south africa reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120737	Yes	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0xae1e55…
06-25 16:08:31	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt4t by june 30 98	No	BUY	30	93¢	$28	0x74c14d…
06-25 12:21:56	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt35t by june 30	No	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x94f102…
06-25 10:58:10	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt5t by june 30	No	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0xcbf809…
06-24 11:20:44	will algeria reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120773	No	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xd596d8…
06-24 11:20:38	will iran reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120760	No	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xb6f7b2…
06-23 06:21:46	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x953413…
06-22 16:12:28	Will Colombia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xc422ad…
06-22 12:15:28	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	No	BUY	40	89¢	$36	0x56af73…
06-22 11:49:02	btc updown 5m 1782128700	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x6ee9a4…
06-21 12:19:20	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 spread home 1pt5	Argentina	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0x4ed12c…
06-20 22:12:55	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x20f810…
06-20 17:16:43	fifwc ecu kor 2026 06 20 spread home 2pt5	Ecuador	BUY	8	43¢	$4	0xc86c04…
06-20 17:12:29	fifwc ecu kor 2026 06 20 spread home 2pt5	Ecuador	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xd2f042…
06-19 20:38:31	Will Colombia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	25	97¢	$24	0xb64cac…
06-08 06:27:00	bitcoin up or down on june 8 2026	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x2fa814…
06-08 05:55:07	Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x82b2e1…
06-02 09:44:56	Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev	Alexander Zverev	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x588095…
06-02 09:44:44	Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev	Alexander Zverev	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x332840…
06-01 17:43:40	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	No	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0xd53c2c…
06-01 16:07:32	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	No	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x4086e3…
06-01 15:48:04	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	No	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xc69111…
06-01 15:30:38	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	No	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x948973…
06-01 09:00:21	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	SELL	30	33¢	$10	0x7fdff7…
05-31 18:05:56	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	No	BUY	30	61¢	$18	0x59bec5…
05-31 18:01:33	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	30	35¢	$10	0x29563e…
05-31 16:04:22	The Polymarket Open: Big John vs. Cheddy	John	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xcec550…
05-31 09:51:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	SELL	8	83¢	$6	0x374683…
05-31 09:51:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xf6c9b1…
05-31 09:51:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	SELL	11	46¢	$5	0xe34e99…
05-31 09:50:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x38a132…
05-31 09:49:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xfc7a39…
05-31 09:49:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xca1f1f…
05-31 09:49:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xf1cca6…
05-30 09:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	31	79¢	$25	0x9710b9…
05-30 09:04:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	31	80¢	$25	0x1e4d7c…
05-30 09:04:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x8adff8…
05-30 09:03:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	SELL	8	70¢	$6	0xba17cb…
05-30 09:03:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xdce511…
05-30 09:01:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	SELL	19	78¢	$15	0x619eb5…
05-30 09:00:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x9aa0a8…
05-29 11:56:28	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	73¢	$7	0xbe62e9…
05-23 15:57:32	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	11	65¢	$7	0x57510c…
05-23 08:07:17	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x3b869d…
05-23 08:06:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x7efbbc…
05-23 07:57:36	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	No	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0x7a8c2f…
05-23 07:57:29	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	1	3¢	$0	0xe6191d…
05-23 07:57:18	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0x650e13…
05-20 10:54:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	60	42¢	$25	0x44c9c9…
05-20 10:54:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	SELL	83	26¢	$21	0xf82b8b…
05-20 10:52:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0xf897b5…
05-20 10:52:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	38	66¢	$25	0xebf067…
05-20 10:52:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x44ba69…
05-20 10:49:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0x4ef746…
05-20 10:49:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	34	74¢	$25	0x5f5c89…
05-20 10:49:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0x3d9761…
05-20 10:49:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0xa7d10e…
05-20 10:49:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x2a2857…
05-20 10:49:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x291187…
05-20 10:48:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xcb24b6…
05-20 10:46:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	SELL	18	68¢	$13	0x26034d…
05-20 10:46:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xf68d8a…
05-20 10:46:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x1fccfa…
05-20 10:43:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xf486e1…
05-20 10:43:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x85ff5d…
05-20 10:43:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x2d29dd…
05-20 10:42:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0xaa049a…
05-20 10:42:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xb58db8…
05-20 10:42:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x57020e…
05-20 10:42:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xbe86bd…
05-20 10:41:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xc696a3…
05-20 10:41:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x8b5ab0…
05-20 10:41:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x4d89c0…
05-20 10:41:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xea3086…
05-20 10:41:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x2fa864…
05-20 10:40:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x04c873…
05-20 10:40:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xbb3e45…
05-20 10:40:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x2713c4…
05-20 10:40:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xba3c73…
05-20 10:38:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	SELL	35	97¢	$34	0xbaf42b…
05-20 10:38:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xc58ab8…
05-20 10:38:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x32fcfd…
05-20 10:37:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xceb24e…
05-20 10:37:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xa72d2f…
05-20 10:37:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x8798ad…
05-20 10:36:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	SELL	9	72¢	$7	0x0fa15b…
05-20 10:35:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xc9fd8a…
05-20 10:34:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x0b55c4…
05-20 10:34:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x3bea3b…
05-20 10:34:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x5cc4d4…