Winged-Bell — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$66

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

41.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$12.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$254

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 06-22 02:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

43% — —

Other

40% — —

Sports

17% 50% $-66

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	2	$2.4K	1,290	1,290	+0	open	—	02-13 12:08
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	3	$1.4K	1,392	0	+1,392	open	—	03-09 06:23
netanyahu out by march 31 854	18	$1.4K	1,403	0	+1,403	open	—	03-16 08:14
Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	1	$1.3K	1,373	0	+1,373	open	—	03-05 06:51
will silver si hit low 65 by end of february 598 917 186 187 154 235 433 943	1	$1.3K	1,327	0	+1,327	open	—	02-23 06:42
will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	1	$1.2K	1,277	0	+1,277	open	—	02-14 12:29
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	1	$1.1K	1,174	0	+1,174	open	—	01-14 12:12
cilia flores released from custody by january 9 2026	3	$1.1K	1,120	0	+1,120	open	—	01-05 07:41
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	1	$234	346	0	+346	open	—	04-08 02:02
Timberwolves vs. Spurs	5	$148	238	0	+238	Timberwolves	$-148	05-05 03:38
cbb uconn mich 2026 04 06	3	$131	180	0	+180	open	—	04-06 11:58
nba phx lal 2026 04 10	1	$112	254	0	+254	open	—	04-10 08:08
Golden Knights vs. Ducks	1	$108	216	0	+216	open	—	05-14 07:19
Knicks vs. Hawks	1	$105	224	0	+224	open	—	04-24 06:19
nba gsw lac 2026 04 15	1	$104	306	0	+306	open	—	04-15 06:17
Seattle Mariners vs. Chicago White Sox	1	$104	185	0	+185	Seattle Mariners	+$82	05-08 07:45
mlb bal sea 2026 06 16	1	$72	123	0	+123	open	—	06-16 07:23
mlb hou tor 2026 06 22	1	$68	145	0	+145	open	—	06-22 02:33
mlb bos tb 2026 06 08	1	$65	133	0	+133	open	—	06-08 06:06
nhl car las 2026 06 06	1	$56	115	0	+115	open	—	06-05 05:58
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	1	$10	12	0	+12	open	—	03-16 03:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-22 02:33:14	mlb hou tor 2026 06 22	Houston Astros	BUY	145	47¢	$68	0xdd6a8e…
06-16 07:23:33	mlb bal sea 2026 06 16	Seattle Mariners	BUY	123	59¢	$72	0xbeecb2…
06-08 06:06:42	mlb bos tb 2026 06 08	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	133	49¢	$65	0x1162e9…
06-05 05:58:55	nhl car las 2026 06 06	Golden Knights	BUY	115	49¢	$56	0x0db508…
05-14 07:19:55	Golden Knights vs. Ducks	Ducks	BUY	216	50¢	$108	0x5ca7b4…
05-08 07:45:42	Seattle Mariners vs. Chicago White Sox	Seattle Mariners	BUY	185	56¢	$104	0x797212…
05-05 03:38:32	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	116	62¢	$72	0x701ca5…
05-05 03:38:30	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	13	62¢	$8	0xcd6f20…
05-05 03:38:30	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	12	62¢	$7	0x1f4f56…
05-05 03:38:28	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	24	62¢	$15	0x312827…
05-05 03:38:26	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	73	62¢	$45	0x250adf…
04-24 06:19:36	Knicks vs. Hawks	Hawks	BUY	224	47¢	$105	0x3d83c2…
04-15 06:17:50	nba gsw lac 2026 04 15	Warriors	BUY	306	34¢	$104	0xebff59…
04-10 08:08:43	nba phx lal 2026 04 10	Lakers	BUY	254	44¢	$112	0xecb07d…
04-08 02:02:05	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	346	68¢	$234	0x072c60…
04-06 11:58:03	cbb uconn mich 2026 04 06	Michigan Wolverines	BUY	172	73¢	$126	0xeb5e9a…
04-06 11:57:15	cbb uconn mich 2026 04 06	Michigan Wolverines	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x55b3e6…
04-06 11:55:11	cbb uconn mich 2026 04 06	Michigan Wolverines	BUY	0	73¢	$0	0xc6fbb6…
03-16 08:14:21	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	282	97¢	$273	0x1eb1bb…
03-16 08:14:07	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	190	97¢	$184	0x7ab78f…
03-16 08:13:41	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	0	97¢	$0	0x6e8ffa…
03-16 08:13:29	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x1f84ab…
03-16 08:13:23	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	167	97¢	$162	0x224065…
03-16 08:12:27	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	0	97¢	$0	0x225fe7…
03-16 08:12:15	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	0	97¢	$0	0xecd9ea…
03-16 08:12:13	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	34	97¢	$33	0xe31e8a…
03-16 08:12:07	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	90	97¢	$87	0xae933c…
03-16 08:12:07	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x595300…
03-16 08:11:23	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	0	97¢	$0	0x89abd2…
03-16 08:11:19	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	70	97¢	$68	0x364eb5…
03-16 08:11:17	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	45	97¢	$43	0xcd82cb…
03-16 08:11:17	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0xa2bdab…
03-16 08:10:51	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	333	97¢	$323	0x8e4b7e…
03-16 08:10:31	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	0	97¢	$0	0xd1e8a1…
03-16 08:10:15	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	33	97¢	$32	0xe2f9de…
03-16 08:09:07	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	57	97¢	$55	0xf435ac…
03-16 03:51:37	Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	BUY	12	88¢	$10	0x36a0c2…
03-09 06:23:25	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	36	98¢	$35	0x9b8f1a…
03-09 06:16:45	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	48	98¢	$47	0xc0e77b…
03-09 06:16:33	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	1,308	98¢	$1,281	0x0a19fe…
03-05 06:51:21	Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	1,373	97¢	$1,327	0xb15a55…
02-23 06:42:26	will silver si hit low 65 by end of february 598 917 186 187 154 235 433 943	No	BUY	1,327	96¢	$1,277	0x81e797…
02-14 12:29:19	will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	1,277	95¢	$1,213	0xfcc0c0…
02-13 12:08:41	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1,290	94¢	$1,213	0x1def6f…
01-30 03:32:02	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	1,290	91¢	$1,174	0xcc0bb3…
01-14 12:12:52	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	1,174	95¢	$1,120	0x6672a3…
01-05 07:41:07	cilia flores released from custody by january 9 2026	No	BUY	45	98¢	$44	0x5a478f…
01-05 07:34:23	cilia flores released from custody by january 9 2026	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0xb5f43c…
01-05 07:31:17	cilia flores released from custody by january 9 2026	No	BUY	1,036	98¢	$1,010	0xb33a44…