Authentic-Quartet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

108

lifetime

Volume

$26.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$248

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-22

last 04-17 13:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

58% 0% $-2

Sports

37% — —

Politics

4% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	4	$1.3K	650	650	+0	open	—	03-30 05:36
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$1.3K	632	632	+0	open	—	04-13 09:29
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	4	$1.2K	609	609	+0	open	—	04-16 10:03
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	4	$1.2K	590	590	+0	open	—	03-04 17:03
will sergio garcia win the 2026 masters tournament	7	$1.1K	567	567	+0	open	—	04-08 06:19
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	4	$1.1K	560	560	+0	open	—	04-03 02:13
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$1.1K	561	561	+0	open	—	03-12 15:16
Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	4	$1.1K	555	555	+0	open	—	03-31 04:14
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	4	$993	499	499	+0	open	—	04-02 06:48
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$768	386	386	+0	No	$-0	03-25 16:59
Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	2	$738	370	370	+0	No	$-0	03-25 04:09
will rasmus hojgaard win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$736	369	369	+0	open	—	03-22 11:52
Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$732	367	367	+0	No	$-0	03-25 10:34
will zach johnson win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$714	358	358	+0	open	—	03-27 08:12
Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?	2	$710	356	356	+0	open	—	04-17 13:20
will fred couples win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$674	338	338	+0	open	—	03-30 13:59
Will the Chicago Blackhawks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$671	337	337	+0	open	—	02-27 12:10
will f1 win best picture at the 98th academy awards 948	2	$652	327	327	+0	open	—	03-05 00:59
Will Espanyol win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$652	326	326	+0	open	—	03-05 16:55
Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$650	326	326	+0	No	$-0	04-10 13:16
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$650	325	325	+0	open	—	04-16 15:45
Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	2	$642	322	322	+0	open	—	03-12 00:02
Will Betis win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$630	316	316	+0	open	—	02-28 14:03
Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?	2	$626	314	314	+0	open	—	04-14 15:57
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$620	311	311	+0	open	—	04-05 11:41
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$616	308	308	+0	open	—	04-08 20:15
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$614	308	308	+0	open	—	04-07 12:18
Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$608	304	304	+0	open	—	03-02 09:46
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	2	$578	290	290	+0	open	—	04-14 04:48
Will Real Sociedad win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$574	287	287	+0	open	—	02-23 19:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-17 13:20:52	Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	356	100¢	$355	0x779a8c…
04-17 10:00:32	Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	356	100¢	$355	0x1676c8…
04-16 15:45:18	Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	325	100¢	$325	0xc9ca8c…
04-16 11:41:30	Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	325	100¢	$325	0x57c1ef…
04-16 10:03:46	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	314	100¢	$314	0x99584a…
04-16 06:32:12	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	314	100¢	$314	0x3e9356…
04-14 15:57:59	Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	314	99¢	$313	0x39ecff…
04-14 11:14:33	Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	314	100¢	$313	0xfb235d…
04-14 04:48:59	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	SELL	290	100¢	$289	0x87fe84…
04-13 20:40:19	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	290	100¢	$289	0xc68128…
04-13 09:29:49	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	284	100¢	$283	0x971f81…
04-13 06:30:13	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	284	100¢	$283	0x795a53…
04-10 13:16:05	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	326	100¢	$325	0x61695a…
04-10 10:10:59	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	326	100¢	$325	0x12b004…
04-08 20:15:15	Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	308	100¢	$308	0x0d3e65…
04-08 15:48:11	Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	308	100¢	$308	0xb18f6a…
04-08 06:19:19	will sergio garcia win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	334	100¢	$333	0xeb2d2b…
04-08 03:33:53	will sergio garcia win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	334	100¢	$333	0xecaa7d…
04-07 12:18:43	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	308	100¢	$307	0xb19f23…
04-07 03:55:35	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	308	100¢	$307	0x97d27c…
04-05 22:45:39	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	294	100¢	$294	0x1718cb…
04-05 19:37:15	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	294	100¢	$294	0xa76bb1…
04-05 13:41:35	Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	287	100¢	$286	0x7249de…
04-05 11:42:17	Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	287	100¢	$286	0x406232…
04-05 11:41:55	Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	311	100¢	$310	0x593a16…
04-05 05:31:39	Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	311	100¢	$310	0xaf6d66…
04-03 02:13:43	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	262	100¢	$261	0xaa6686…
04-02 23:04:55	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	262	100¢	$261	0xb59f1f…
04-02 06:48:19	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	234	99¢	$233	0x1e2f9c…
04-02 03:07:37	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	234	100¢	$233	0x272a6a…
03-31 14:22:43	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	54	100¢	$54	0xaf4ec3…
03-31 10:27:09	will silver si hit high 95 by end of march	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xe1474f…
03-31 04:14:01	Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	256	100¢	$255	0x45649a…
03-30 23:50:57	Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	256	100¢	$255	0xce8157…
03-30 19:37:15	will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xedd5fa…
03-30 13:59:19	will fred couples win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	338	100¢	$337	0xf63646…
03-30 09:47:54	will fred couples win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	338	100¢	$337	0x06ed5e…
03-30 05:36:36	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	368	100¢	$367	0x468170…
03-30 01:24:24	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	368	100¢	$367	0xf09c96…
03-29 12:47:12	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	348	100¢	$347	0x2ce1d4…
03-29 08:33:44	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	348	100¢	$347	0xb35d18…
03-27 08:12:07	will zach johnson win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	358	100¢	$357	0x0a40ae…
03-27 01:45:05	will zach johnson win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	358	100¢	$357	0xc61286…
03-25 16:59:41	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	386	100¢	$384	0xa87b6f…
03-25 10:35:05	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	386	100¢	$384	0x5bf8e5…
03-25 10:34:49	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	367	100¢	$366	0x5ef39e…
03-25 04:09:21	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	367	100¢	$366	0x874618…
03-25 04:09:05	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	370	100¢	$369	0x30522c…
03-24 21:58:43	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	370	100¢	$369	0x95f824…
03-24 15:27:41	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	265	99¢	$264	0xe94626…
03-24 08:53:09	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	265	100¢	$264	0xadf6a0…
03-24 02:29:03	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	282	100¢	$281	0xf4db73…
03-23 20:04:57	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	282	100¢	$281	0x3d9945…
03-22 11:52:31	will rasmus hojgaard win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	369	100¢	$368	0x4e1d33…
03-22 05:30:19	will rasmus hojgaard win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	369	100¢	$368	0x46d662…
03-22 05:30:03	Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	299	100¢	$298	0x9d6818…
03-21 22:47:35	Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	299	100¢	$298	0x52b5cd…
03-21 22:47:19	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	299	100¢	$298	0xdc4668…
03-21 05:23:51	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	299	100¢	$298	0xd47a11…
03-17 16:18:35	Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	266	100¢	$266	0xbe4fdb…
03-17 08:36:25	Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	266	100¢	$266	0x4060cf…
03-13 17:30:55	will bugonia win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	269	100¢	$269	0x573bd5…
03-13 11:15:27	will bugonia win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	269	100¢	$269	0x4b4657…
03-12 23:52:33	nba bos okc 2026 03 12	Celtics	BUY	52	28¢	$15	0xd13c2a…
03-12 23:52:07	nba den sas 2026 03 12	Nuggets	BUY	38	38¢	$14	0x9b91b6…
03-12 23:51:37	nba chi lal 2026 03 12	Bulls	BUY	54	17¢	$9	0x3f71d2…
03-12 15:16:35	Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	269	100¢	$268	0x6383ac…
03-12 06:47:43	Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	269	100¢	$268	0x0fe8ec…
03-12 00:02:49	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	322	100¢	$321	0x724116…
03-11 15:02:13	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	322	100¢	$321	0x7410ec…
03-10 19:52:29	nba cha por 2026 03 10	Hornets	BUY	25	59¢	$15	0xb0a84f…
03-10 19:52:05	nba dal atl 2026 03 10	Hawks	BUY	29	79¢	$23	0xfbe29a…
03-10 19:51:33	nba chi gsw 2026 03 10	Bulls	BUY	51	33¢	$17	0x3de7f4…
03-08 22:28:59	nba chi sac 2026 03 08	Kings	BUY	25	45¢	$11	0x1396f9…
03-08 22:28:33	nba hou sas 2026 03 08	Spurs	BUY	51	67¢	$34	0x2695fd…
03-08 22:28:01	nba was nop 2026 03 08	Wizards	BUY	42	18¢	$8	0x89e5d3…
03-07 13:30:39	nba orl min 2026 03 07	Timberwolves	BUY	53	70¢	$37	0x3964c9…
03-05 16:55:29	Will Espanyol win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	326	100¢	$326	0x653dfd…
03-05 00:59:41	Will Espanyol win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	326	100¢	$326	0xda9073…
03-05 00:59:25	will f1 win best picture at the 98th academy awards 948	No	SELL	327	100¢	$326	0x59638a…
03-04 17:03:19	will f1 win best picture at the 98th academy awards 948	No	BUY	327	100¢	$326	0x722a89…
03-04 17:03:03	Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	340	100¢	$339	0xcfca36…
03-04 10:03:53	Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	340	100¢	$339	0x70684f…
03-03 18:55:11	nba mem min 2026 03 03	Timberwolves	BUY	50	87¢	$44	0xb85732…
03-03 10:29:27	nba mem min 2026 03 03	Timberwolves	BUY	35	89¢	$31	0x1bb741…
03-03 10:28:59	nba phx sac 2026 03 03	Suns	BUY	36	80¢	$29	0x4f11ec…
03-03 10:28:25	nba sas phi 2026 03 03	Spurs	BUY	32	74¢	$24	0x3384a7…
03-02 09:46:27	Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	304	100¢	$304	0xc2f1b1…
03-02 03:13:33	Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	304	100¢	$304	0x501492…
03-01 21:04:23	will sergio garcia win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	233	100¢	$232	0x30769a…
03-01 18:24:53	will sergio garcia win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	83	100¢	$83	0x1f2fc6…
03-01 18:07:17	will sergio garcia win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	83	100¢	$83	0x0e721b…
03-01 17:56:25	will sergio garcia win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0xf7d05d…
03-01 17:41:39	will sergio garcia win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x80a023…
03-01 12:48:51	will denny mccarthy win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	242	100¢	$241	0x495ad2…
03-01 00:47:35	will denny mccarthy win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	242	100¢	$241	0xa0c601…
02-28 14:03:59	Will Betis win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	316	100¢	$315	0x01ec97…
02-28 02:34:57	Will Betis win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	316	100¢	$315	0x7634a4…
02-27 12:10:43	Will the Chicago Blackhawks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	337	100¢	$335	0xcc523c…
02-27 04:09:08	Will the Chicago Blackhawks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	337	100¢	$336	0xdeddd2…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	39	$8.53K	7,223	04-27 02:25
Probable-Farrow 0x6814…a9e7	38	$648.4K	37,687	04-21 23:40
Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9	38	$225.3K	2,495	03-13 04:41
Real-Veteran 0xe8dd…ec86	34	$4.33M	62,260	04-28 09:54
Well-Documented-Hit 0x30ce…6b2b	34	$800.6K	55,019	04-09 19:47
Different-Ecclesia 0xb6fa…abcf	34	$430.6K	10,492	04-27 18:23
Quick-Behaviour 0x1d8c…757a	34	$229.1K	3,638	04-28 05:36
(anonymous) 0x4df7…522d	34	$79.6K	820	03-25 10:47