Grim-Checking — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$32

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

45.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$309

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-13

last 05-16 05:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 14% $-32

Politics

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 42 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	2	$44	39	39	+0	Down	+$34	05-13 19:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	2	$34	29	29	+0	Down	+$24	05-13 19:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	2	$34	29	29	+0	Down	+$24	05-13 20:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	3	$22	158	158	+0	Down	$-18	05-13 21:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	2	$20	16	16	+0	open	—	05-14 07:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	3	$12	306	56	+250	Down	$-8	05-13 19:12
Will Trump say "Japan" or "Korea" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$10	37	0	+37	open	—	05-14 08:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	2	$8	19	19	+0	Down	$-2	05-13 19:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	3	$8	34	0	+34	Down	$-8	05-13 23:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	2	$6	28	0	+28	Down	$-6	05-13 21:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	3	$6	70	0	+70	Down	$-6	05-14 00:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	1	$5	20	0	+20	Down	$-5	05-13 20:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	1	$5	500	0	+500	Down	$-5	05-13 18:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	1	$5	500	0	+500	Down	$-5	05-13 18:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	1	$5	125	0	+125	Down	$-5	05-13 19:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	1	$5	62	0	+62	Up	$-5	05-13 18:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	1	$5	14	0	+14	open	—	05-14 07:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	1	$5	19	0	+19	Down	$-5	05-13 20:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	1	$5	62	0	+62	open	—	05-13 19:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	1	$5	167	0	+167	Up	$-5	05-13 19:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	1	$5	21	0	+21	Down	$-5	05-13 19:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	1	$5	38	0	+38	Down	$-5	05-13 20:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	1	$5	19	0	+19	open	—	05-13 19:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	3	$5	17	0	+17	Up	$-1	05-14 00:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	3	$4	20	0	+20	Up	$-4	05-13 22:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	2	$4	44	0	+44	Down	$-4	05-13 21:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	1	$3	75	0	+75	Down	$-3	05-13 19:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	1	$3	8	0	+8	Up	$-3	05-14 01:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	1	$3	9	0	+9	open	—	05-16 05:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	1	$3	8	0	+8	Down	+$5	05-14 00:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-16 05:11:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0xf1a41e…
05-16 05:08:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x98df1a…
05-16 04:56:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xe375de…
05-14 09:02:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x50b297…
05-14 09:02:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xfcb1fa…
05-14 08:28:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x56c015…
05-14 08:03:24	Will Trump say "Japan" or "Korea" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x0dc3e3…
05-14 07:40:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	SELL	16	99¢	$15	0xef1dc0…
05-14 07:36:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xb521eb…
05-14 07:21:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xe77539…
05-14 07:15:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0x94781a…
05-14 07:14:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xa8a149…
05-14 01:17:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x87e9b1…
05-14 01:00:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x8fe9c9…
05-14 00:37:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x05e0c1…
05-14 00:32:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x337a0e…
05-14 00:30:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x758097…
05-14 00:28:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x1db602…
05-14 00:27:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x3a6aca…
05-14 00:24:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xe3c68b…
05-14 00:22:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0xd5fb93…
05-14 00:16:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x5deee8…
05-13 23:12:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xb2c462…
05-13 23:04:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xe9ebf5…
05-13 23:03:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x9ed77f…
05-13 22:55:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x1de9bd…
05-13 22:55:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x5592c1…
05-13 22:52:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xec929f…
05-13 22:51:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xa57321…
05-13 22:51:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x52ac9f…
05-13 21:32:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x4895a1…
05-13 21:31:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xef4262…
05-13 21:28:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x6ca092…
05-13 21:22:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x23cf4e…
05-13 21:17:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	31	7¢	$2	0x37752f…
05-13 21:06:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x8c5e9a…
05-13 21:05:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x8d0da9…
05-13 21:03:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	SELL	158	1¢	$2	0x2ca7c5…
05-13 21:02:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	130	8¢	$10	0x2ff184…
05-13 21:02:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0xafd53d…
05-13 20:57:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x3c6f1c…
05-13 20:53:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x5efe34…
05-13 20:48:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x493043…
05-13 20:15:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0x72f958…
05-13 20:12:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xbfb499…
05-13 19:56:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0xdad244…
05-13 19:26:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xb040b9…
05-13 19:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xdb94c3…
05-13 19:23:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	19	17¢	$3	0x13d79c…
05-13 19:21:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x9c17ea…
05-13 19:19:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x4f2ef6…
05-13 19:15:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	39	99¢	$39	0xabe115…
05-13 19:14:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	39	13¢	$5	0x1a3ec8…
05-13 19:12:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x0879bf…
05-13 19:11:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	56	3¢	$2	0x3155db…
05-13 19:08:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x421642…
05-13 19:07:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x307896…
05-13 19:03:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	75	4¢	$3	0xa50c12…
05-13 19:00:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0x2d0ea3…
05-13 18:57:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xabac7a…
05-13 18:54:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x2d7ae4…
05-13 18:49:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x8f70ee…
05-13 18:44:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x52d6b2…
05-13 18:42:34	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 15?	Yes	BUY	42	2¢	$1	0x71442d…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	40	$14.3K	2,005	05-16 05:14
Vengeful-Utilization 0x652c…2af0	40	$12.3K	844	05-16 05:14
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	40	$10.1K	2,550	05-16 05:14
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	40	$9.13K	2,360	05-16 05:14
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	40	$9.08K	1,229	05-16 05:13
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	40	$8.11K	1,017	05-16 05:13
Agile-Analogy 0x1015…bac8	40	$7.97K	1,436	05-16 05:12
Altruistic-Grief 0xa280…3343	40	$6.22K	1,109	05-16 05:14