Grubby-Fire — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

91.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$15.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$267

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 05-20 09:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

74% — —

Crypto

21% — —

Other

3% 50% $-1

Tech

1% — —

Sports

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	4	$4.6K	3,354	1,775	+1,578	open	—	01-31 06:24
us strikes iran by february 14 2026	2	$3.1K	1,558	1,558	+0	open	—	02-15 06:25
will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	2	$3.0K	1,510	1,510	+0	open	—	02-06 12:47
us strikes iran by january 29 2026 183 883 657 383 499	2	$2.0K	1,500	487	+1,013	open	—	01-30 00:54
us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	1	$1.5K	1,563	0	+1,563	open	—	02-06 12:48
will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	2	$156	78	78	+0	open	—	01-12 09:48
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	2	$150	267	267	+0	open	—	01-31 06:23
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$140	153	0	+153	open	—	04-27 01:42
us strikes iran by january 13 2026 771	1	$140	146	0	+146	open	—	01-13 08:21
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?	2	$126	71	71	+0	open	—	04-27 01:40
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	2	$121	62	61	+0	open	—	04-27 01:40
Will Rayo Vallecano win the 2025–26 La Liga?	1	$58	0	58	-58	open	—	01-04 07:31
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	1	$45	45	0	+45	open	—	02-11 03:47
will progressive bulgaria pb win the most seats in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	2	$43	23	23	+0	open	—	04-16 13:45
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	2	$40	22	22	+0	open	—	04-01 06:39
cilia flores released from custody by january 9 2026	1	$36	38	0	+38	open	—	01-04 07:33
elon musk of tweets february 5 february 7 0 39	2	$35	35	0	+35	open	—	02-03 06:53
will solana reach 140 in march 2026	2	$34	17	17	+0	open	—	04-01 06:39
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	2	$34	18	18	+0	open	—	04-14 13:26
us x iran meeting by march 31 2026 363	2	$33	19	19	+0	open	—	04-01 06:39
Will PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	2	$32	17	17	+0	Yes	+$2	04-27 01:40
Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?	1	$28	28	0	+28	open	—	02-15 06:26
will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	2	$28	17	17	+0	open	—	04-05 12:44
nba dal phx 2026 02 10	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	02-11 03:45
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	1	$24	27	0	+27	open	—	04-01 06:40
will the slovenian democratic party sds win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 344	2	$21	23	23	+0	open	—	03-25 07:06
us x iran meeting by february 21 2026	1	$19	19	0	+19	open	—	02-19 11:54
will paul thomas anderson win best director at the 98th academy awards	1	$19	21	0	+21	open	—	03-10 02:32
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 5 748 625	1	$17	26	0	+26	open	—	03-04 05:33
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 15, 2026?	1	$17	18	0	+18	open	—	04-14 13:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-20 09:26:27	LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	KT Rolster	BUY	8	69¢	$5	0xa58b85…
05-03 06:45:36	Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	96¢	$11	0x699b01…
05-03 06:42:56	Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	95¢	$12	0xde5892…
05-03 06:42:02	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	No	BUY	1,500	0¢	$3	0xe696c7…
04-27 01:42:26	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	153	92¢	$140	0x832945…
04-27 01:40:48	Will PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	Yes	SELL	17	98¢	$17	0x5cabcf…
04-27 01:40:40	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	71	98¢	$70	0x4a5384…
04-27 01:40:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	No	SELL	61	100¢	$61	0xc57812…
04-16 13:47:20	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	71	79¢	$56	0xbb2471…
04-16 13:45:56	will progressive bulgaria pb win the most seats in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	23	99¢	$22	0xfa5426…
04-14 13:27:05	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 15, 2026?	No	BUY	18	95¢	$17	0xba5175…
04-14 13:26:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	No	BUY	62	97¢	$60	0x128025…
04-14 13:26:27	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xb9ed87…
04-05 12:44:39	will progressive bulgaria pb win the most seats in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	23	92¢	$21	0x8f524c…
04-05 12:44:07	will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	SELL	17	73¢	$13	0x57956b…
04-01 06:40:45	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	No	BUY	18	90¢	$16	0x1656f8…
04-01 06:40:33	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	No	BUY	27	89¢	$24	0xdc8545…
04-01 06:40:19	will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	17	87¢	$15	0x34a7fb…
04-01 06:39:47	us x iran meeting by march 31 2026 363	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x5d0ee0…
04-01 06:39:39	will solana reach 140 in march 2026	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x897ee8…
04-01 06:39:31	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x0979e9…
03-25 07:06:35	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	No	BUY	22	86¢	$19	0x51863c…
03-25 07:06:27	us x iran meeting by march 31 2026 363	No	BUY	19	72¢	$14	0xe0e2ff…
03-25 07:06:05	will the slovenian democratic party sds win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 344	Yes	SELL	23	1¢	$0	0x536572…
03-10 02:32:43	will solana reach 140 in march 2026	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x9b1838…
03-10 02:32:25	will paul thomas anderson win best director at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	21	92¢	$19	0xecde83…
03-04 05:33:39	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 5 748 625	No	BUY	26	65¢	$17	0x4265da…
02-27 03:57:52	Fabric FDV above $700M one day after launch?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x76d1a2…
02-27 03:57:24	will the slovenian democratic party sds win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 344	Yes	BUY	23	92¢	$21	0xb7b3b4…
02-19 11:54:28	us forces seize another oil tanker by february 21 2026	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x7e7721…
02-19 11:54:08	us x iran meeting by february 21 2026	No	BUY	19	98¢	$19	0x3ea47b…
02-16 03:46:35	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x0debea…
02-15 06:26:47	Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?	No	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0x196f04…
02-15 06:26:33	Will PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	Yes	BUY	17	87¢	$15	0x3a801e…
02-15 06:25:59	us strikes iran by february 14 2026	No	SELL	1,558	100¢	$1,556	0x9d709c…
02-14 12:54:59	us strikes iran by february 14 2026	No	BUY	1,558	100¢	$1,551	0x1f43ce…
02-11 03:47:17	Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x657825…
02-11 03:45:31	nba dal phx 2026 02 10	Suns	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0xd9f108…
02-06 12:48:03	us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	No	BUY	1,563	99¢	$1,545	0xeff42b…
02-06 12:47:43	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	No	SELL	1,510	100¢	$1,504	0xea869d…
02-03 06:53:26	elon musk of tweets february 5 february 7 0 39	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xcefb17…
02-03 06:46:44	elon musk of tweets february 5 february 7 0 39	No	BUY	5	99¢	$4	0xd68264…
02-03 04:22:42	spx opens up or down on february 3 2026	Up	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xf76ae5…
02-03 04:21:54	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	No	BUY	1,510	100¢	$1,504	0xc8423a…
01-31 06:24:08	us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	No	BUY	512	95¢	$486	0x108ae8…
01-31 06:23:50	us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	No	BUY	1,066	95¢	$1,013	0x96f743…
01-31 06:23:18	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	SELL	267	0¢	$0	0x030801…
01-30 00:54:42	us strikes iran by january 29 2026 183 883 657 383 499	No	SELL	487	99¢	$484	0x327e05…
01-30 00:08:10	us strikes iran by january 29 2026 183 883 657 383 499	No	BUY	1,500	99¢	$1,488	0x3f00b9…
01-29 23:44:42	us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	No	SELL	1,775	84¢	$1,491	0xd1ca10…
01-29 06:49:38	us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	No	BUY	1,775	91¢	$1,615	0x6a4de6…
01-29 06:48:52	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	267	56¢	$150	0x30f517…
01-29 06:48:32	will solana reach 150 in january 2026	Yes	SELL	11	0¢	$0	0x4931f8…
01-13 08:21:37	us strikes iran by january 13 2026 771	No	BUY	146	96¢	$140	0x9b56fc…
01-12 09:48:42	will solana reach 150 in january 2026	Yes	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0x7ea38c…
01-12 09:48:04	will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	No	SELL	78	100¢	$78	0xf39fdc…
01-04 07:33:51	will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	No	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0x97d87b…
01-04 07:33:03	cilia flores released from custody by january 9 2026	No	BUY	38	96¢	$36	0x8d4ddd…
01-04 07:31:27	Will Rayo Vallecano win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	58	100¢	$58	0x2b24b7…