Shocking-Chance — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$92

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-02

last 05-16 16:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 50% $-3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (10) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	5	$69	100	100	+0	open	—	05-14 16:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	05-14 16:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	3	$3	4	1	+3	Up	+$0	05-09 21:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	1	$1	11	0	+11	open	—	05-16 09:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-02 19:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	1	$1	100	0	+100	Up	$-1	05-09 22:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	Down	$-1	05-10 14:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	$-1	05-10 11:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Down	+$0	05-12 17:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-16 16:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-14 20:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-02 19:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	1	$1	11	0	+11	open	—	05-14 17:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	+$1	05-10 11:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-04 16:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	$-1	05-09 20:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Up	+$0	05-10 09:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-02 19:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Down	+$0	05-10 20:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	1	$0	5	0	+5	Down	$-0	05-10 16:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-16 16:35:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x7f3620…
05-16 09:42:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x6fee6d…
05-14 20:32:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xe4813e…
05-14 17:18:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x0a58f6…
05-14 16:59:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x8fc66c…
05-14 16:59:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xf05adc…
05-14 16:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	50	93¢	$46	0x5a1b23…
05-14 16:57:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	30	6¢	$2	0xfaa2a1…
05-14 16:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x296ade…
05-14 16:44:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	92¢	$3	0xfdb992…
05-14 16:44:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x39c5fe…
05-12 17:49:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4dc7cf…
05-10 20:04:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x8477e7…
05-10 16:18:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xa98645…
05-10 14:17:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xda2f2f…
05-10 11:16:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x63d887…
05-10 11:13:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x44c4a2…
05-10 09:49:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x9fb048…
05-09 22:35:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xacc3f1…
05-09 21:03:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xf5dc86…
05-09 21:01:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	SELL	1	51¢	$1	0x0642ca…
05-09 21:00:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x3f3a1e…
05-09 20:52:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xb30edc…
05-04 16:45:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x827bd2…
05-02 19:38:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x9ff5a3…
05-02 19:28:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xf4cfc9…
05-02 19:19:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xc521c1…