Lean-Fold — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$7.82K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$81

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-15

last 04-21 10:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

52% 0% $-1

Sports

35% — —

Crypto

13% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	4	$420	211	211	+0	open	—	03-29 22:33
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	4	$404	202	202	+0	open	—	03-29 03:37
Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	4	$392	197	197	+0	open	—	03-29 14:56
Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	4	$384	192	192	+0	No	$-0	04-17 20:52
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	4	$294	147	147	+0	open	—	03-03 00:59
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$292	146	146	+0	open	—	03-05 13:44
Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$262	131	131	+0	open	—	02-17 18:45
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$234	117	117	+0	open	—	04-06 15:44
will fred couples win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$232	116	116	+0	open	—	03-25 04:34
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$232	116	116	+0	open	—	04-07 21:33
Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$230	115	115	+0	No	$-0	04-19 09:57
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	2	$220	110	110	+0	open	—	04-13 00:44
will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	2	$218	109	109	+0	open	—	03-14 09:00
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$206	103	103	+0	open	—	04-14 08:31
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$196	98	98	+0	open	—	04-08 05:16
Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$196	98	98	+0	No	$-0	03-29 11:10
will bitcoin dip to 30k in march 2026	2	$192	96	96	+0	open	—	03-26 23:53
Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	2	$188	94	94	+0	No	$-0	04-01 02:32
Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?	2	$188	94	94	+0	open	—	04-21 10:49
will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	2	$186	93	93	+0	open	—	03-22 02:23
will bitcoin dip to 20k in march 2026	2	$184	92	92	+0	open	—	03-16 03:47
will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	2	$182	91	91	+0	open	—	03-12 11:02
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$180	90	90	+0	open	—	03-01 16:22
Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$176	88	88	+0	open	—	04-15 14:47
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$174	87	87	+0	open	—	04-12 10:46
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?	2	$172	86	86	+0	open	—	04-01 11:51
Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	2	$170	85	85	+0	open	—	03-31 02:08
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$170	85	85	+0	open	—	03-16 18:11
will solana dip to 10 in march 2026	2	$166	83	83	+0	open	—	03-28 10:22
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$166	83	83	+0	open	—	04-06 20:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-21 10:49:14	Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	94	100¢	$94	0xe998f1…
04-21 09:03:26	Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0xaaaffa…
04-19 09:57:14	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	115	100¢	$115	0xba541c…
04-19 01:42:34	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x8abd83…
04-17 20:52:22	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	101	100¢	$101	0x6c5001…
04-17 17:43:14	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0xf8476e…
04-15 14:47:20	Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	88	100¢	$88	0xefd2b0…
04-15 03:04:18	Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0xf7972a…
04-14 08:31:13	Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	103	100¢	$103	0x99df5b…
04-14 05:06:57	Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0x822e91…
04-13 00:44:43	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	No	SELL	110	100¢	$110	0xdffb49…
04-12 16:43:05	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0xe8956c…
04-12 10:46:41	Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	87	100¢	$87	0xd2c182…
04-12 08:27:15	Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0x34e8e7…
04-08 05:16:37	Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	98	100¢	$98	0x3d13ab…
04-08 03:06:15	Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0xf0c920…
04-07 21:33:17	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	116	100¢	$116	0xef1498…
04-07 19:17:27	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0x8f82b6…
04-06 20:33:23	Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	83	100¢	$83	0x56a9e4…
04-06 17:25:49	Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	83	100¢	$83	0x50f638…
04-06 15:44:09	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	117	100¢	$117	0x5658e0…
04-06 13:04:31	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0x05b5b7…
04-04 19:05:47	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	91	100¢	$91	0x9e72eb…
04-04 12:33:25	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0x1e7542…
04-01 11:51:35	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?	No	SELL	86	100¢	$86	0x372410…
04-01 07:42:53	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?	No	BUY	86	100¢	$86	0x5cdf90…
04-01 02:32:05	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	94	100¢	$94	0x2d5b69…
03-31 22:39:03	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0x101a4b…
03-31 07:23:15	Based FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x2c6767…
03-31 02:08:37	Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	85	100¢	$85	0xdcaf26…
03-30 22:10:15	Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0x9d9386…
03-30 17:37:27	will crude oil cl hit low 70 by end of march 122 549 218 531 991 459	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9f169d…
03-29 22:33:46	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	103	100¢	$103	0x5097a6…
03-29 18:44:00	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0xd1b2f2…
03-29 14:56:32	Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	104	100¢	$104	0x0715bd…
03-29 11:10:56	Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0x591df6…
03-29 11:10:38	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	98	100¢	$98	0xb91a4b…
03-29 07:22:50	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0x64badf…
03-29 03:37:36	Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	107	100¢	$107	0x8a8126…
03-28 10:22:31	Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	107	100¢	$107	0xcb6afb…
03-28 10:22:13	will solana dip to 10 in march 2026	No	SELL	83	100¢	$83	0x98b72b…
03-27 23:55:19	will solana dip to 10 in march 2026	No	BUY	83	100¢	$83	0xd8e1e5…
03-27 12:08:17	Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	95	100¢	$95	0x08b50d…
03-27 05:59:57	Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x6554a8…
03-26 23:53:31	will bitcoin dip to 30k in march 2026	No	SELL	96	100¢	$96	0xc5a496…
03-26 17:43:37	will bitcoin dip to 30k in march 2026	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x659c75…
03-25 04:34:45	will fred couples win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	116	100¢	$116	0x7ea92a…
03-24 22:23:19	will fred couples win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0x157865…
03-24 22:23:03	Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	92	100¢	$92	0x276472…
03-24 16:08:03	Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0xcf5e45…
03-23 21:34:19	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	107	100¢	$107	0xc8f789…
03-23 15:23:41	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	107	100¢	$107	0xa6b349…
03-22 08:31:01	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	81	100¢	$81	0xa6d0ff…
03-22 02:24:05	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0xa7c2ec…
03-22 02:23:47	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	No	SELL	93	100¢	$93	0xcf4067…
03-21 13:11:01	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	No	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0x4566f9…
03-20 15:18:17	will byeong hun an win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	81	100¢	$81	0x83a2e1…
03-19 11:06:19	will byeong hun an win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0xb2cd7e…
03-16 18:11:35	Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	85	100¢	$85	0xbf3f1a…
03-16 10:57:37	Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0xba4697…
03-16 03:47:19	will bitcoin dip to 20k in march 2026	No	SELL	92	100¢	$92	0x0e9198…
03-15 13:31:35	will bitcoin dip to 20k in march 2026	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0x300421…
03-14 09:00:37	will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	No	SELL	109	100¢	$109	0x9f0816…
03-13 10:49:35	will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	No	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0x4f2742…
03-12 11:02:33	will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	SELL	91	100¢	$91	0x6b1ac9…
03-12 03:26:21	will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0x2817b0…
03-07 16:36:19	nba gsw okc 2026 03 07	Warriors	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xc93781…
03-05 13:45:03	nba tor min 2026 03 05	Timberwolves	BUY	47	68¢	$32	0x287552…
03-05 13:44:31	nba lal den 2026 03 05	Nuggets	BUY	40	64¢	$26	0x79e01c…
03-05 13:44:09	Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xdc3e02…
03-05 04:55:07	Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x13989c…
03-04 20:35:17	nba por mem 2026 03 04	Trail Blazers	BUY	49	80¢	$39	0xd92b1b…
03-04 13:40:07	Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	68	100¢	$68	0xb93918…
03-04 06:32:51	Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	68	100¢	$68	0xd694fe…
03-03 18:39:35	nba nyk tor 2026 03 03	Raptors	BUY	25	44¢	$11	0x9064fa…
03-03 18:39:03	nba phx sac 2026 03 03	Kings	BUY	44	24¢	$11	0xa39456…
03-03 09:10:57	nba bkn mia 2026 03 03	Heat	BUY	33	86¢	$28	0x56711a…
03-03 00:59:37	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	64	100¢	$64	0xbc79dc…
03-02 18:20:01	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	64	100¢	$64	0x38ea22…
03-02 09:27:29	nba lac gsw 2026 03 02	Warriors	BUY	38	46¢	$17	0x79e560…
03-02 09:26:59	nba den uta 2026 03 02	Jazz	BUY	38	16¢	$6	0x3acfbf…
03-02 02:25:17	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	83	100¢	$83	0x0ad0ac…
03-01 19:46:15	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	83	100¢	$83	0xf122cb…
03-01 16:22:09	Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0x28fb5f…
03-01 12:52:41	Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xd12c4d…
03-01 12:52:25	Will Espanyol win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	79	100¢	$79	0x9a9d7a…
03-01 00:43:21	Will Espanyol win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0xba20bb…
02-24 18:38:10	ethereum above 2100 on february 25	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x792fdf…
02-24 18:37:50	Fabric FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x7954d5…
02-24 18:37:26	bitcoin above 72k on february 25	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xee5951…
02-22 19:28:10	Backpack FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x5262b7…
02-22 02:29:24	Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0x2331d0…
02-17 18:45:33	Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	131	100¢	$131	0xa4e97a…
02-15 20:55:09	Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	131	100¢	$131	0x09a16f…
02-15 20:54:51	Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	96	100¢	$96	0x71247c…
02-15 01:30:47	Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0xfea822…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	41	$6.86K	8,519	04-27 02:25
Spirited-Motion 0x70b6…aa2f	35	$558	786	04-10 13:54
Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9	33	$107.3K	1,561	03-09 10:16
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	32	$34.9K	715	04-27 23:42
Real-Veteran 0xe8dd…ec86	30	$4.34M	59,427	04-28 09:31
Well-Documented-Hit 0x30ce…6b2b	30	$818.6K	50,592	04-09 19:50
Probable-Farrow 0x6814…a9e7	30	$525.4K	33,241	04-21 23:39
Different-Ecclesia 0xb6fa…abcf	30	$394.6K	6,879	04-26 11:22