Ill-Informed-Finisher — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

126

lifetime

Volume

$8.76K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$70

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-09

last 04-17 19:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Sports

50% — —

Other

32% 0% $-0

Crypto

12% — —

Politics

6% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Vancouver Canucks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	4	$448	224	224	+0	open	—	02-13 01:17
Will the New York Rangers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	4	$348	174	174	+0	open	—	03-13 22:00
Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League?	3	$344	122	223	-100	open	—	02-22 03:02
Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	4	$314	158	158	+0	No	$-0	04-04 22:14
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$306	153	153	+0	open	—	04-07 23:53
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	4	$280	140	140	+0	open	—	04-12 18:23
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	4	$266	133	133	+0	open	—	03-19 20:22
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	4	$230	115	115	+0	open	—	04-01 23:45
Will Girona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$224	112	112	+0	open	—	02-14 12:19
Will Crystal Palace win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$222	111	111	+0	open	—	02-10 21:43
Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$196	98	98	+0	open	—	03-05 18:54
Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$192	96	96	+0	open	—	03-06 08:34
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$192	96	96	+0	open	—	02-12 00:30
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?	2	$180	90	90	+0	open	—	03-12 14:18
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	2	$180	90	90	+0	open	—	04-17 07:03
Will Sunderland win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$178	89	89	+0	open	—	02-28 10:31
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?	2	$176	88	88	+0	open	—	04-08 07:06
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$172	86	86	+0	open	—	04-15 04:08
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	2	$168	84	84	+0	open	—	03-04 16:17
will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	2	$162	81	81	+0	open	—	03-22 09:44
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 120 139	2	$162	81	81	+0	open	—	03-27 06:02
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	2	$160	80	80	+0	open	—	03-23 17:55
Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$158	79	79	+0	No	$-0	04-05 23:50
Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	2	$158	79	79	+0	open	—	04-06 23:04
will ethereum reach 3200 in march 2026	2	$158	79	79	+0	open	—	03-28 09:59
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	2	$158	79	79	+0	open	—	04-13 18:44
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	2	$156	78	78	+0	open	—	03-22 22:33
will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	2	$152	76	76	+0	open	—	03-29 04:05
Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	2	$148	74	74	+0	open	—	03-25 01:59
Will the Washington Wizards win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$148	74	74	+0	open	—	03-02 10:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-17 19:29:04	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	71	100¢	$71	0x93bb61…
04-17 16:36:00	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	71	100¢	$71	0xec5fa0…
04-17 07:03:16	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0x8dea93…
04-17 01:42:04	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x87c3b3…
04-15 09:50:58	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	No	SELL	64	100¢	$64	0x720418…
04-15 05:53:26	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	No	BUY	64	100¢	$64	0x479fe0…
04-15 04:08:36	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	86	100¢	$86	0xe451ce…
04-14 21:51:22	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	86	100¢	$86	0xd24229…
04-13 18:44:09	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	No	SELL	79	100¢	$79	0x9280cd…
04-13 15:11:51	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	No	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0x1db212…
04-12 18:23:05	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	78	100¢	$78	0xa055f9…
04-12 14:00:51	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0x3a01b8…
04-08 07:06:19	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?	No	SELL	88	100¢	$88	0xce62ec…
04-08 05:10:13	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x19f2f0…
04-07 23:53:25	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	87	100¢	$87	0xad93ce…
04-07 20:50:15	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0xeaacb9…
04-06 23:04:23	Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	SELL	79	100¢	$79	0x24102c…
04-06 16:07:35	Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0x29b9f4…
04-05 23:50:09	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	79	100¢	$79	0x40dd6f…
04-05 13:39:49	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0x493bd9…
04-05 12:16:33	Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	73	100¢	$73	0xc5f0e9…
04-05 03:39:29	Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	73	100¢	$73	0xb4bc87…
04-04 22:14:37	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	77	100¢	$77	0x231c45…
04-04 19:36:59	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0xe2df53…
04-04 01:41:57	Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	66	100¢	$66	0x492d0c…
04-03 23:33:37	Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	66	100¢	$66	0x5792fa…
04-01 23:45:03	Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	58	100¢	$58	0x6a4ac3…
04-01 18:34:37	Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0xf1ba13…
04-01 02:48:15	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	62	100¢	$62	0x694cba…
03-31 22:29:25	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0xc9b7c6…
03-31 12:06:05	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1e94bd…
03-30 17:18:21	will ethereum dip to 1200 in march 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x6e7a7b…
03-30 17:18:03	will solana dip to 10 in march 2026	No	SELL	67	100¢	$67	0x670626…
03-30 09:36:38	will solana dip to 10 in march 2026	No	BUY	67	100¢	$67	0x449b52…
03-30 05:25:54	Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	57	100¢	$57	0xc97070…
03-30 01:13:14	Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	57	100¢	$57	0x1c56ba…
03-29 08:15:26	will trump visit china by march 31	No	SELL	58	100¢	$58	0x28978f…
03-29 04:05:46	will trump visit china by march 31	No	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0x448d2a…
03-29 04:05:28	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	SELL	76	100¢	$76	0x98c9b8…
03-28 22:59:40	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0xbfc294…
03-28 09:59:49	will ethereum reach 3200 in march 2026	No	SELL	79	100¢	$79	0xa51792…
03-28 03:43:31	will ethereum reach 3200 in march 2026	No	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0xbb6730…
03-27 21:12:33	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	66	100¢	$66	0xbb3560…
03-27 18:23:13	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	66	100¢	$66	0x37c895…
03-27 06:02:35	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 120 139	No	SELL	81	100¢	$81	0xef1e74…
03-26 23:32:07	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 120 139	No	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0xd4b457…
03-26 23:31:51	will zach johnson win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	71	100¢	$71	0x7557b5…
03-26 17:02:19	will zach johnson win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	71	100¢	$71	0xcf6825…
03-26 17:01:57	will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	No	SELL	61	100¢	$61	0xe91af3…
03-26 10:35:01	will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	No	BUY	61	100¢	$61	0x8bc8b0…
03-26 10:34:45	Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	69	100¢	$69	0x7171a8…
03-26 04:02:55	Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	69	100¢	$69	0xf1b34c…
03-25 21:30:25	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	80	99¢	$80	0x64b194…
03-25 14:49:11	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0xe66c37…
03-25 08:25:29	will bitcoin dip to 25k in march 2026	No	SELL	59	100¢	$59	0x5b913a…
03-25 07:28:15	will bitcoin dip to 25k in march 2026	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x133027…
03-25 07:25:37	will bitcoin dip to 25k in march 2026	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xc35cad…
03-25 01:59:47	Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	74	100¢	$74	0x1f34c1…
03-24 19:43:57	Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	74	100¢	$74	0xc0c61b…
03-24 13:11:43	will tom kim win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	62	100¢	$62	0x34e386…
03-24 06:42:11	will tom kim win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0xe256cd…
03-24 00:20:29	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	71	100¢	$71	0x80e374…
03-23 17:55:17	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	71	100¢	$71	0xb5d14e…
03-23 17:55:01	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	80	100¢	$80	0x00f663…
03-23 11:29:07	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x94c2fe…
03-22 22:33:59	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	78	100¢	$78	0xd7e3dd…
03-22 16:06:11	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0xf6b327…
03-22 09:44:29	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	No	SELL	81	100¢	$81	0x0c9a24…
03-22 03:20:41	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	No	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0xc1dce8…
03-21 02:43:51	Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	69	100¢	$69	0xb532e4…
03-20 18:48:03	Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	69	100¢	$69	0x6c43bb…
03-19 20:22:03	Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	65	100¢	$65	0x830594…
03-19 12:37:53	Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	65	100¢	$65	0xbb484b…
03-19 04:49:27	Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	68	100¢	$68	0x483f6b…
03-18 13:04:03	Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	68	100¢	$68	0x889ca1…
03-17 21:31:37	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	73	100¢	$73	0x836f8d…
03-17 13:46:45	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	73	100¢	$73	0x833dc1…
03-16 16:01:19	will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	No	SELL	63	100¢	$63	0xb9ee93…
03-15 16:57:07	will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	No	BUY	63	100¢	$63	0xdd125e…
03-13 22:00:15	Will the New York Rangers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	58	100¢	$58	0x73688f…
03-13 15:54:15	Will the New York Rangers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0xaab650…
03-12 21:07:21	nba dal mem 2026 03 12	Grizzlies	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x2d2707…
03-12 21:06:51	nba phx ind 2026 03 12	Pacers	BUY	25	23¢	$6	0x79d7fc…
03-12 14:18:01	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?	No	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0xeedca2…
03-12 05:50:33	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xfd31bb…
03-10 17:22:35	nba mem phi 2026 03 10	Grizzlies	BUY	28	42¢	$12	0x887121…
03-07 15:23:29	nba orl min 2026 03 07	Magic	BUY	29	31¢	$9	0x101a7f…
03-07 15:23:01	nba uta mil 2026 03 07	Jazz	BUY	48	23¢	$11	0x182938…
03-06 08:34:51	Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	96	100¢	$96	0xfe011e…
03-06 01:14:31	Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0xa3c5ac…
03-05 18:54:53	Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	98	100¢	$98	0xbd3287…
03-05 18:27:43	Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0xad29d9…
03-04 16:17:35	Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	84	100¢	$84	0x9dd102…
03-04 11:36:41	Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	84	100¢	$84	0x2decee…
03-03 21:47:05	nba mem min 2026 03 03	Grizzlies	BUY	47	14¢	$7	0x399f22…
03-03 21:46:33	nba bkn mia 2026 03 03	Heat	BUY	53	85¢	$45	0x07c232…
03-03 14:00:03	nba okc chi 2026 03 03	Thunder	BUY	33	80¢	$26	0x6e4435…
03-03 13:59:33	nba nyk tor 2026 03 03	Raptors	BUY	37	43¢	$16	0x999f78…
03-03 13:59:13	Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0x4c0db2…
03-03 05:29:55	Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	62	100¢	$62	0x9dc71a…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	51	$15.6K	11,864	04-27 02:25
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	45	$54.9K	802	04-27 23:41
Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9	42	$299.1K	4,054	03-13 02:12
Well-Documented-Hit 0x30ce…6b2b	39	$1.00M	50,735	04-09 19:50
Different-Ecclesia 0xb6fa…abcf	39	$526.1K	8,150	04-26 03:32
Real-Veteran 0xe8dd…ec86	38	$5.16M	60,246	04-28 09:31
Quick-Behaviour 0x1d8c…757a	38	$385.5K	5,110	04-28 05:34
Spotted-Concept 0x090a…0fa6	38	$217.5K	2,930	04-25 09:57