Smart-Bongo — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

48.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.59K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-23

last 05-26 15:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

52% 0% —

Crypto

39% — —

Sports

5% 100% +$0

Politics

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	2	$490	246	245	+0	open	—	04-24 09:16
netanyahu out by march 31 854	1	$163	165	0	+165	open	—	03-24 19:29
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	2	$107	82	82	+0	open	—	05-26 15:46
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 520 539	7	$106	19,990	18,998	+992	open	—	04-04 18:33
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$83	360	360	+0	No	+$0	04-27 08:29
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 480 499	5	$72	18,038	18,038	+0	open	—	03-24 19:21
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	2	$56	28	28	+0	open	—	04-25 04:00
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?	5	$48	11,906	11,906	+0	No	+$0	04-24 08:47
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	3	$46	25	25	+0	open	—	04-23 11:32
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 460 479	5	$46	7,629	7,629	+0	open	—	03-24 19:21
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the next leader out before 2027?	3	$40	10,095	10,095	+0	No	+$0	04-24 09:57
Will Elon Musk post 740-759 tweets in April 2026?	2	$33	8,195	8,195	+0	open	—	04-16 11:45
Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026?	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	03-23 20:03
Will Nansen launch a token by March 31, 2026?	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	03-23 20:04
Over $100M committed to the Fluent public sale?	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	04-08 10:54
Will Dreamcash launch a token by March 31, 2026?	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	03-23 20:06
Fluent FDV above $500M one day after launch?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-16 15:37
Will Rabby launch a token by March 31, 2026?	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	03-23 20:05
Will Elon Musk post 720-739 tweets in April 2026?	2	$18	4,425	4,425	+0	open	—	04-16 11:45
Will Phantom launch a token by March 31, 2026?	1	$16	16	0	+16	open	—	03-23 20:05
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 500 519	2	$16	1,610	1,530	+80	open	—	04-17 08:43
Will Titan launch a token by March 31, 2026?	1	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	03-23 20:06
Will USD.AI launch a token on April 9?	1	$12	13	0	+13	open	—	04-08 10:55
Will Ventuals launch a token by March 31 2026?	1	$11	11	0	+11	open	—	03-23 20:06
Genius FDV above $300M one day after launch?	1	$10	12	0	+12	open	—	04-08 10:54
Will Theo launch a token by March 31 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-23 20:04
Will EdgeX launch a token by September 30, 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-23 20:02
Will Tempo launch a token by March 31 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-23 20:05
Will Pacifica launch a token by March 31 2026?	1	$8	8	0	+8	open	—	03-23 20:04
Will Tread launch a token by March 31, 2026?	1	$7	7	0	+7	open	—	03-23 20:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-26 15:46:30	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	82	68¢	$56	0x10f9c4…
05-25 12:51:36	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	82	62¢	$51	0x1d7a89…
04-27 08:29:18	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	360	12¢	$42	0xbacbd6…
04-25 04:00:34	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0xd55d5d…
04-24 11:56:06	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	360	12¢	$41	0xb6d037…
04-24 09:57:38	Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	240	0¢	$0	0xa99db1…
04-24 09:16:22	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	SELL	245	100¢	$245	0x44a8ff…
04-24 08:47:32	Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	9,855	0¢	$20	0x2a867d…
04-24 08:47:20	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5,933	0¢	$12	0x1c5af8…
04-24 08:42:32	Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10,095	0¢	$20	0xed6715…
04-24 08:42:10	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5,933	0¢	$12	0xf7de0d…
04-24 08:05:14	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5,473	0¢	$11	0x83f940…
04-24 04:17:28	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$1	0xf786a4…
04-23 14:35:28	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5,973	0¢	$12	0xfc3135…
04-23 11:32:14	Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	25	95¢	$24	0x629c64…
04-17 08:43:36	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 560 579	Yes	SELL	1,183	0¢	$2	0x29760c…
04-17 08:43:28	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 520 539	Yes	SELL	363	0¢	$1	0xab67b0…
04-17 08:43:20	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 500 519	Yes	SELL	1,530	0¢	$8	0xb844ae…
04-17 08:26:22	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 560 579	Yes	BUY	1,245	0¢	$2	0xe46a3a…
04-17 08:26:16	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 520 539	Yes	BUY	382	0¢	$2	0x0e800b…
04-17 08:26:08	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 500 519	Yes	BUY	1,610	0¢	$8	0xf6f2b8…
04-16 15:37:56	Fluent FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x09bfc9…
04-16 11:45:36	Will Elon Musk post 720-739 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	SELL	4,425	0¢	$9	0x5db8ae…
04-16 11:45:28	Will Elon Musk post 740-759 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	SELL	8,195	0¢	$16	0x57044f…
04-16 11:42:52	Will Elon Musk post 720-739 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,425	0¢	$9	0x80abd0…
04-16 11:42:42	Will Elon Musk post 740-759 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	8,195	0¢	$16	0x1ca4be…
04-10 20:15:37	Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0xe9c53c…
04-08 10:55:51	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	BUY	246	100¢	$245	0xb3c4dc…
04-08 10:55:29	Will USD.AI launch a token on April 9?	No	BUY	13	97¢	$12	0x625c93…
04-08 10:55:07	Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xda9a72…
04-08 10:54:57	Over $100M committed to the Fluent public sale?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x5d2a89…
04-08 10:54:41	Fluent FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x77cb1a…
04-08 10:54:25	Genius FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x060d46…
04-04 18:33:13	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 520 539	Yes	SELL	13,407	0¢	$27	0x762d5f…
04-04 18:28:33	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 520 539	Yes	BUY	14,111	0¢	$28	0xeacfcb…
04-04 10:33:09	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 520 539	Yes	SELL	5,592	0¢	$22	0x7c7b84…
04-04 10:30:37	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 520 539	Yes	BUY	5,779	0¢	$29	0xfc4699…
04-04 10:30:01	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 520 539	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xc6a203…
04-04 10:30:01	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 520 539	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x37abea…
04-04 10:30:01	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 520 539	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x29a22b…
04-04 10:27:49	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0x6e8dd9…
03-24 19:29:15	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	165	99¢	$163	0xe250c3…
03-24 19:21:29	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 480 499	Yes	SELL	1,342	0¢	$3	0x83f174…
03-24 19:21:13	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 460 479	Yes	SELL	1,287	0¢	$4	0xe58fb9…
03-24 19:18:03	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 480 499	Yes	SELL	8,658	0¢	$17	0x9cbb18…
03-24 19:17:47	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 460 479	Yes	SELL	3,756	0¢	$11	0xea2872…
03-24 19:14:57	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 460 479	Yes	BUY	5,043	0¢	$15	0x158ae5…
03-24 19:14:37	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 480 499	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$20	0x0adc57…
03-24 17:19:59	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 460 479	Yes	SELL	2,586	0¢	$8	0x974d14…
03-24 17:19:51	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 480 499	Yes	SELL	8,038	0¢	$16	0xd57646…
03-24 17:16:49	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 480 499	Yes	BUY	8,038	0¢	$16	0x5468b8…
03-24 17:16:37	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 460 479	Yes	BUY	2,586	0¢	$8	0x9c0c2b…
03-23 20:08:13	Will Oro launch a token by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf62378…
03-23 20:07:49	Will Hylo launch a token by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x98bc49…
03-23 20:07:37	Will Perena launch a token by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xdd9062…
03-23 20:07:25	Will Arc launch a token by March 31 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x4fe1e3…
03-23 20:07:07	Will Tread launch a token by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x58c098…
03-23 20:06:51	Will Titan launch a token by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xd9c7f4…
03-23 20:06:41	Will Ventuals launch a token by March 31 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x7293cb…
03-23 20:06:27	Will Dreamcash launch a token by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x0d5099…
03-23 20:05:55	Will Phantom launch a token by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x8ad5d2…
03-23 20:05:37	Will Rabby launch a token by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x7ed0c2…
03-23 20:05:25	Will Tempo launch a token by March 31 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xabcd74…
03-23 20:04:59	Will Nansen launch a token by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x34eb2a…
03-23 20:04:47	Will Theo launch a token by March 31 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x25398b…
03-23 20:04:03	Will Pacifica launch a token by March 31 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4ca931…
03-23 20:03:39	Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x1633cb…
03-23 20:02:31	Will EdgeX launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc13474…