Vital-Deviance — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$13

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$17.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$444

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-18

last 06-02 04:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Sports

38% 100% +$1

Politics

38% — —

Other

24% 100% +$13

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	11	$6.7K	4,594	4,594	+0	No	+$1	03-19 09:24
will tisza win 70 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	5	$3.4K	1,760	1,760	+0	open	—	03-19 14:08
will fidesz kdnp win 130 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	4	$3.1K	1,611	1,609	+2	open	—	03-19 14:39
will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	3	$3.1K	1,624	1,624	+0	open	—	03-19 15:42
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?	6	$494	2,412	2,412	+0	No	+$12	03-19 15:27
will wei yi win the 2026 fide candidates tournament	2	$423	2,115	2,115	+0	open	—	03-19 08:55
will there be between 40 and 50 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	3	$61	922	922	+0	open	—	03-19 04:03
Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-1.5)	1	$17	18	0	+18	open	—	05-19 07:23
Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-2.5)	1	$16	17	0	+17	Newcastle United FC	+$1	05-10 07:52
j1100 cer fag 2026 03 18 spread home 1pt5	1	$16	63	0	+63	open	—	03-18 08:37
Georgia vs. Romania: O/U 4.5	1	$15	17	0	+17	open	—	06-02 04:25
Sport Boys Association vs. CD Comerciantes Unidos: O/U 4.5	1	$9	10	0	+10	open	—	05-30 11:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-02 04:25:21	Georgia vs. Romania: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	17	90¢	$15	0x84e762…
05-30 11:16:23	Sport Boys Association vs. CD Comerciantes Unidos: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x1c7505…
05-19 07:23:35	Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-1.5)	Manchester City FC	BUY	18	92¢	$17	0x3da181…
05-10 07:52:38	Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-2.5)	Newcastle United FC	BUY	17	95¢	$16	0x48421f…
03-19 15:42:53	will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	No	SELL	1,624	96¢	$1,556	0x0d3f48…
03-19 15:36:23	will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	No	BUY	1,326	96¢	$1,270	0x8da033…
03-19 15:36:23	will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	No	BUY	298	96¢	$285	0x6a964f…
03-19 15:27:17	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	14	10¢	$1	0xd2f85e…
03-19 15:27:17	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1,538	11¢	$161	0x6bc781…
03-19 15:27:17	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	860	10¢	$90	0x15fee4…
03-19 15:20:35	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	475	10¢	$48	0xe41e64…
03-19 15:20:35	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,572	10¢	$157	0xbc7f3f…
03-19 15:20:35	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	365	10¢	$36	0x348909…
03-19 14:39:11	will fidesz kdnp win 130 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	No	SELL	25	97¢	$24	0xcb0ccc…
03-19 14:39:11	will fidesz kdnp win 130 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	No	SELL	889	97¢	$864	0x848878…
03-19 14:39:11	will fidesz kdnp win 130 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	No	SELL	695	97¢	$676	0x710b77…
03-19 14:30:19	will fidesz kdnp win 130 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	No	BUY	1,611	97¢	$1,563	0x4483ef…
03-19 14:08:23	will tisza win 70 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	No	SELL	1,760	96¢	$1,690	0x1ea022…
03-19 13:58:21	will tisza win 70 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	No	BUY	720	96¢	$688	0xe6299b…
03-19 13:58:21	will tisza win 70 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	No	BUY	354	96¢	$338	0x35d204…
03-19 13:58:21	will tisza win 70 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x309cdb…
03-19 13:58:19	will tisza win 70 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	No	BUY	586	96¢	$560	0x019083…
03-19 09:24:55	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	Yes	SELL	1,138	6¢	$63	0x939fa3…
03-19 09:18:19	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	Yes	BUY	1,138	6¢	$64	0xe6d3e8…
03-19 09:11:51	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	SELL	315	94¢	$298	0x98c822…
03-19 09:11:51	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	SELL	414	94¢	$391	0x867d5e…
03-19 09:11:51	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	SELL	950	94¢	$898	0x26b107…
03-19 09:03:27	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	BUY	893	94¢	$843	0x56add3…
03-19 09:03:27	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	BUY	786	94¢	$742	0x451058…
03-19 08:55:27	will wei yi win the 2026 fide candidates tournament	Yes	SELL	2,115	10¢	$212	0x97495d…
03-19 08:48:13	will wei yi win the 2026 fide candidates tournament	Yes	BUY	2,115	10¢	$212	0x1de1f6…
03-19 06:02:01	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	SELL	1,361	94¢	$1,285	0xd4ac0d…
03-19 06:02:01	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	SELL	416	94¢	$393	0x69f4be…
03-19 05:56:05	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	BUY	347	94¢	$328	0xe251df…
03-19 05:56:05	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	BUY	1,430	94¢	$1,350	0xda330b…
03-19 04:03:55	will there be between 40 and 50 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	Yes	SELL	481	3¢	$16	0xe40039…
03-19 04:03:55	will there be between 40 and 50 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	Yes	SELL	441	3¢	$15	0x4a4d48…
03-19 03:55:07	will there be between 40 and 50 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	Yes	BUY	922	3¢	$30	0xe71ca4…
03-18 08:37:39	j1100 cer fag 2026 03 18 spread home 1pt5	Cerezo Ōsaka	BUY	63	25¢	$16	0x545e1f…