Mealy-Complicity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

333

lifetime

Volume

$9.52K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$29

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 08-10 07:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Sports

48% 0% $-1

Other

31% — —

Politics

16% — —

Tech

3% — —

Crypto

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	21	$613	316	316	+0	No	$-0	03-02 18:35
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	14	$454	237	237	+0	open	—	03-01 01:07
will marty supreme win best picture at the 98th academy awards	10	$347	178	178	+0	open	—	03-01 01:10
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	14	$336	172	172	-0	open	—	02-27 18:52
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	10	$312	160	160	+0	open	—	02-27 08:43
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?	8	$259	133	133	+0	open	—	02-27 08:40
Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?	6	$238	122	122	+0	open	—	03-02 15:28
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	6	$229	120	120	+0	open	—	02-27 02:15
Will the Orlando Magic win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	8	$208	107	107	+0	open	—	03-02 09:48
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	5	$207	88	131	-42	open	—	03-02 04:22
us strikes iran by february 17 2026 833	4	$195	100	100	+0	open	—	02-13 13:16
Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	11	$188	96	96	+0	open	—	03-01 01:05
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$185	95	95	+0	open	—	02-26 10:00
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$183	93	93	+0	No	$-0	02-09 10:28
will finland win the mens ice hockey gold medal at the 2026 winter olympics	4	$181	95	95	+0	open	—	02-13 13:27
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	4	$177	94	94	+0	open	—	02-26 06:33
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	8	$175	91	91	-0	open	—	03-01 11:06
Will France win Eurovision 2026?	5	$172	90	90	+0	open	—	03-01 06:42
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?	4	$169	88	88	+0	open	—	03-01 06:41
will the us next strike iran on march 6 2026 et	5	$161	84	84	+0	open	—	02-27 08:41
will xander schauffele win the 2026 masters tournament	4	$159	83	83	+0	open	—	03-02 18:34
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	4	$158	82	82	+0	open	—	02-27 08:57
Will the Detroit Red Wings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	6	$154	79	79	+0	open	—	02-27 08:24
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	6	$149	77	77	+0	open	—	01-13 04:18
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	8	$146	76	76	+0	open	—	02-27 00:34
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	4	$133	68	68	+0	open	—	03-02 14:07
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	6	$132	71	71	+0	open	—	03-02 17:11
Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	8	$129	66	66	+0	open	—	02-27 00:28
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	9	$124	64	64	+0	open	—	02-01 16:04
will silver si hit high 170 by end of february 258 575 377	2	$105	54	54	+0	open	—	02-06 14:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 07:55:15	Will Candace Owens announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	SELL	6	93¢	$6	0x863c76…
08-10 00:53:16	Will Candace Owens announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0xd99343…
03-02 18:35:41	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	SELL	28	97¢	$27	0x9476a0…
03-02 18:35:13	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	BUY	28	97¢	$27	0x70faf8…
03-02 18:34:49	will xander schauffele win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	34	97¢	$33	0xd1ed10…
03-02 18:34:15	will xander schauffele win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	34	97¢	$33	0x55ef5c…
03-02 18:32:35	Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0x519bd8…
03-02 18:32:09	Will Sadegh Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	SELL	25	92¢	$23	0xf21055…
03-02 17:29:57	Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xc9fded…
03-02 17:18:21	Will Sadegh Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	BUY	25	91¢	$22	0x5a080d…
03-02 17:11:11	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	35	92¢	$32	0x7bfeba…
03-02 17:10:47	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	35	92¢	$32	0x87ea67…
03-02 17:09:35	Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	32	98¢	$32	0x93ee12…
03-02 17:09:05	Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	32	98¢	$32	0x9ccb17…
03-02 17:08:17	Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	30	92¢	$27	0xfe8dde…
03-02 17:07:49	Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	30	92¢	$27	0x616a7d…
03-02 17:07:21	Will Sadegh Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	SELL	16	92¢	$15	0x0b4bac…
03-02 17:06:51	Will Sadegh Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	BUY	16	91¢	$14	0xf0626a…
03-02 17:06:07	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	No	SELL	38	90¢	$34	0x94f311…
03-02 17:05:35	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	No	BUY	38	90¢	$34	0x131970…
03-02 15:28:35	Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	37	98¢	$36	0x27b804…
03-02 15:28:03	Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	37	98¢	$36	0x71c323…
03-02 14:07:47	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	38	97¢	$36	0xf55378…
03-02 14:07:09	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	38	97¢	$37	0xd19707…
03-02 12:30:57	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	SELL	29	97¢	$28	0x6b6775…
03-02 12:30:27	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	BUY	29	97¢	$28	0x923a71…
03-02 12:27:05	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	SELL	36	97¢	$35	0x3dc5ab…
03-02 12:26:31	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	BUY	36	97¢	$35	0xf5dd27…
03-02 09:48:53	Will the Orlando Magic win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	No	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x40b646…
03-02 09:48:07	Will the Orlando Magic win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xea88d1…
03-02 09:46:29	Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	40	97¢	$38	0x6fcc55…
03-02 09:46:01	Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$38	0x62d048…
03-02 08:13:19	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	No	SELL	36	97¢	$35	0x04e50c…
03-02 08:12:47	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	No	BUY	36	97¢	$35	0xa89252…
03-02 08:11:11	will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	No	SELL	35	97¢	$34	0xdc3948…
03-02 08:10:45	will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	No	BUY	35	97¢	$34	0x9512c6…
03-02 06:42:33	Will the Orlando Magic win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	No	SELL	35	97¢	$33	0xf7af2a…
03-02 06:42:03	Will the Orlando Magic win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	No	BUY	35	97¢	$34	0x6c1cf5…
03-02 06:41:35	Will the Orlando Magic win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	No	SELL	34	97¢	$33	0x495446…
03-02 06:41:07	Will the Orlando Magic win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	No	BUY	34	97¢	$33	0x59adda…
03-02 06:36:59	will bitcoin dip to 40k in march 2026	No	SELL	38	98¢	$37	0xfe2b47…
03-02 06:36:31	will bitcoin dip to 40k in march 2026	No	BUY	38	98¢	$37	0xd1f053…
03-02 04:27:19	Will the Orlando Magic win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	No	SELL	32	97¢	$31	0xe90eec…
03-02 04:26:55	Will the Orlando Magic win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	No	BUY	32	97¢	$31	0x35fdb5…
03-02 04:24:09	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	SELL	43	97¢	$42	0xe3d4ad…
03-02 04:23:15	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	BUY	43	97¢	$42	0xde9a6e…
03-02 04:22:49	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	39	96¢	$37	0xbbc2ff…
03-02 04:22:17	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	39	96¢	$37	0x94a9c9…
03-01 11:06:03	Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	No	SELL	7	95¢	$7	0x669917…
03-01 11:05:15	Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	No	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0x916019…
03-01 06:52:51	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	31	97¢	$30	0xf4d67e…
03-01 06:52:19	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x6ae773…
03-01 06:46:27	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	SELL	34	97¢	$33	0xc15582…
03-01 06:45:55	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	BUY	34	97¢	$33	0x8ed3a7…
03-01 06:44:41	will sinners win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	38	94¢	$36	0x41d079…
03-01 06:44:17	will sinners win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	38	95¢	$36	0xc9c637…
03-01 06:42:39	Will France win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	43	95¢	$41	0xa6dcc2…
03-01 06:42:09	Will France win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	36	95¢	$34	0xf71af3…
03-01 06:42:09	Will France win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0xce78e6…
03-01 06:41:45	Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	35	97¢	$34	0x0a94ae…
03-01 06:41:15	Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	35	97¢	$34	0xa33c6f…
03-01 01:10:43	will marty supreme win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	38	97¢	$37	0x930b3c…
03-01 01:10:15	will marty supreme win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	38	98¢	$37	0xeb1533…
03-01 01:07:35	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	43	94¢	$40	0x7ab9f3…
03-01 01:07:07	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	43	94¢	$41	0x9a97d2…
03-01 01:06:41	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	34	94¢	$32	0xac1e1f…
03-01 01:06:19	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	34	94¢	$32	0x3df982…
03-01 01:05:37	Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	32	98¢	$31	0x878e25…
03-01 01:05:07	Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	32	98¢	$31	0x2d5fd4…
03-01 01:03:11	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	37	97¢	$36	0xebce37…
03-01 01:02:41	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	37	97¢	$36	0x1dfc31…
03-01 01:00:09	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	39	93¢	$37	0x8843f3…
03-01 00:59:43	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	39	94¢	$37	0x7223e3…
03-01 00:59:13	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	35	94¢	$33	0xc387be…
03-01 00:58:49	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	35	94¢	$33	0xf61b28…
03-01 00:58:11	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	SELL	45	97¢	$44	0xec39d2…
03-01 00:57:41	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	BUY	45	98¢	$44	0x02dbeb…
03-01 00:56:23	Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	39	97¢	$38	0xdd8952…
03-01 00:55:53	Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	39	97¢	$38	0x83efa4…
03-01 00:55:25	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	3	94¢	$3	0x031afd…
02-27 18:59:31	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xebedf6…
02-27 18:52:49	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0xc691be…
02-27 18:52:01	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x45f72e…
02-27 18:51:21	will the us next strike iran on march 14 2026 et	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x445bbf…
02-27 18:50:07	will the us next strike iran on march 14 2026 et	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe6af8a…
02-27 13:54:37	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	6	93¢	$5	0x28bd55…
02-27 13:53:49	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	6	94¢	$5	0x664629…
02-27 13:53:19	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0xba8571…
02-27 13:52:27	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x807b8c…
02-27 13:52:01	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0xe6f1c3…
02-27 13:51:17	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x220edf…
02-27 08:57:01	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	33	96¢	$32	0x139a71…
02-27 08:56:29	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	33	96¢	$32	0x1a6c66…
02-27 08:54:15	will illinois win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	SELL	15	94¢	$14	0xd68819…
02-27 08:52:31	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	30	94¢	$28	0x16ccec…
02-27 08:51:53	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0xfed997…
02-27 08:50:19	will illinois win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	SELL	25	94¢	$24	0x60edca…
02-27 08:48:59	will illinois win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0xd9f34f…
02-27 08:43:33	Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	SELL	38	98¢	$38	0xe8db0d…
02-27 08:42:47	Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	BUY	38	98¢	$38	0x0c4264…