Tinted-Prompt — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

27.8%

Resolved

Trades

115

lifetime

Volume

$1.52K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-15

last 07-18 15:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

51% — —

Other

30% 0% —

Sports

12% 100% +$1

Tech

7% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 51 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the us accuse iran of oslo embassy attack	2	$210	403	403	+0	open	—	03-09 06:30
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$152	190	190	+0	open	—	03-09 07:04
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	3	$139	200	200	+0	open	—	01-20 16:36
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 20 20260716224448965	4	$100	100	100	+0	open	—	07-18 08:31
tyler robinson convicted of homicide	4	$98	100	100	+0	open	—	06-28 07:26
iran charges hormuz fees by july 15 20260625175039061	2	$90	50	50	+0	open	—	06-28 10:02
Will Russia capture Myropillia by May 31?	2	$71	40	40	+0	open	—	05-10 07:46
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $465 in May?	2	$57	50	50	+0	open	—	05-10 08:15
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	5	$52	100	0	+100	open	—	02-11 18:56
nyc air quality index below 100 by july 20 20260717052446993	4	$40	40	40	+0	open	—	07-18 04:43
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $450 in May?	2	$38	50	50	+0	Yes	+$0	05-11 09:25
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 29	2	$36	20	20	+0	open	—	06-28 10:02
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	4	$35	40	40	+0	open	—	05-10 07:20
will the announcers say golden boot 5 times during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956888	2	$35	20	20	+0	open	—	07-18 05:08
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	2	$34	20	20	+0	open	—	06-28 08:48
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17	2	$33	20	20	+0	open	—	06-28 07:26
nyc air quality index below 100 by july 18 20260717052446991	2	$32	20	20	+0	open	—	07-18 04:39
will the announcers say trump during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403317	2	$27	20	20	+0	open	—	07-18 03:45
will the announcers say dolphins during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716160757330	2	$22	20	20	+0	open	—	07-18 04:43
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	2	$19	20	20	+0	open	—	05-10 05:49
UFC: Strickland and Chimaev to Touch Gloves?	2	$19	40	0	+40	Yes	+$1	05-10 04:03
iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	2	$17	20	20	+0	open	—	07-18 07:25
will the announcers say pressure 15 times during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716154740619	4	$15	30	30	+0	open	—	07-18 08:28
will the announcers say what a save during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716154740635	2	$15	20	20	+0	open	—	07-18 06:29
will the announcers say var during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716154740631	2	$15	20	20	+0	open	—	07-18 04:43
will the announcers say appeal or appealed during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403327	2	$14	20	20	+0	open	—	07-18 06:36
Will Russia enter Borova by May 31?	2	$11	40	40	+0	open	—	05-10 07:49
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	2	$10	20	20	+0	Yes	+$0	05-10 07:46
will lebron sign his next nba contract by july 27 2026 20260709223851529	2	$9	20	20	+0	open	—	07-18 06:06
iran charges hormuz fees by july 31	2	$8	50	50	+0	open	—	07-18 07:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-18 15:21:40	will apple aapl q3 wearables home and accessories revenue be above 8pt5b 20260717035113334	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0xfbb7f1…
07-18 09:08:42	will apple aapl q3 ipad revenue be above 6b 20260717034957303	No	SELL	31	5¢	$2	0x64f850…
07-18 08:31:24	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 20 20260716224448965	Yes	SELL	50	89¢	$44	0xb1aad2…
07-18 08:29:55	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 20 20260716224448965	Yes	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0x3d85ab…
07-18 08:28:39	will the announcers say pressure 15 times during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716154740619	Yes	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0xf2998b…
07-18 08:22:28	will the announcers say legacy during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716154740625	Yes	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0x79ecfe…
07-18 08:13:54	will apple aapl q3 ipad revenue be above 6b 20260717034957303	No	BUY	11	4¢	$0	0x926775…
07-18 08:04:15	will the announcers say legacy during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716154740625	Yes	BUY	11	14¢	$2	0xcc05af…
07-18 08:04:10	will the announcers say pressure 15 times during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716154740619	Yes	SELL	20	22¢	$4	0xe229e6…
07-18 08:02:09	will the announcers say legacy during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716154740625	Yes	BUY	9	14¢	$1	0x2f5262…
07-18 08:01:46	will the announcers say pressure 15 times during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716154740619	Yes	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0xdb8f41…
07-18 07:26:01	iran charges hormuz fees by july 31	Yes	SELL	50	8¢	$4	0x0dfb33…
07-18 07:25:42	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	SELL	20	42¢	$8	0xb091ba…
07-18 07:21:48	will apple aapl q3 ipad revenue be above 6b 20260717034957303	No	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0xc4f608…
07-18 07:09:09	will the announcers say pressure 15 times during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716154740619	Yes	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0x04204c…
07-18 07:07:54	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0xe6fb27…
07-18 07:04:51	iran charges hormuz fees by july 31	Yes	BUY	50	9¢	$4	0x942962…
07-18 06:36:51	will the announcers say appeal or appealed during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403327	Yes	SELL	20	27¢	$5	0x298865…
07-18 06:29:30	will the announcers say what a save during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716154740635	No	SELL	20	38¢	$8	0x71bea7…
07-18 06:10:30	will the announcers say what a save during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716154740635	No	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x1a00f8…
07-18 06:06:25	will lebron sign his next nba contract by july 27 2026 20260709223851529	No	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0xd7802b…
07-18 05:44:12	will the announcers say shutout or shut out during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716160757337	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0xc0752f…
07-18 05:43:55	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 20 20260716224448965	No	SELL	50	11¢	$6	0x6292b9…
07-18 05:30:06	will the announcers say shutout or shut out during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716160757337	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xd69dba…
07-18 05:30:06	will the announcers say shutout or shut out during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716160757337	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xbc692d…
07-18 05:08:13	will the announcers say golden boot 5 times during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956888	No	SELL	20	84¢	$17	0x96c9c9…
07-18 05:07:39	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 20 20260716224448965	No	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0x04177e…
07-18 04:43:39	will the announcers say golden boot 5 times during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956888	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0xefbca3…
07-18 04:43:39	will the announcers say var during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716154740631	No	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0x4ef9b6…
07-18 04:43:21	nyc air quality index below 100 by july 20 20260717052446993	No	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0xac99ab…
07-18 04:43:01	will the announcers say dolphins during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716160757330	No	SELL	20	53¢	$11	0x48bf45…
07-18 04:39:46	nyc air quality index below 100 by july 18 20260717052446991	No	SELL	20	77¢	$15	0xbb69e8…
07-18 04:36:00	nyc air quality index below 100 by july 20 20260717052446993	No	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x478fd2…
07-18 04:29:52	will the announcers say dolphins during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716160757330	No	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x6aa5b8…
07-18 04:18:36	will the announcers say var during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716154740631	No	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x376e7e…
07-18 04:10:16	will the announcers say appeal or appealed during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403327	Yes	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x7e82c3…
07-18 04:08:07	will lebron sign his next nba contract by july 27 2026 20260709223851529	No	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0xb786c0…
07-18 04:01:07	will apple aapl q3 ipad revenue be above 7pt5b 20260717034957306	Yes	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0x5d3e6e…
07-18 03:59:21	will apple aapl q3 ipad revenue be above 7pt5b 20260717034957306	Yes	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x568800…
07-18 03:59:16	will apple aapl q3 ipad revenue be above 7pt5b 20260717034957306	Yes	BUY	9	18¢	$2	0x06c3f6…
07-18 03:50:31	will timothee chalamet attend the 2026 fifa world cup final 20260716193357134	No	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0xd0a82c…
07-18 03:45:12	will the announcers say trump during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403317	Yes	SELL	20	66¢	$13	0xf4d7b1…
07-18 03:45:00	nyc air quality index below 100 by july 20 20260717052446993	Yes	SELL	20	84¢	$17	0x797438…
07-18 03:34:45	nyc air quality index below 100 by july 18 20260717052446991	No	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0xaf6bda…
07-18 03:25:15	will apple aapl q3 ipad revenue be above 8b 20260717034957307	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x21e428…
07-18 03:20:55	will apple aapl q3 greater china revenue be above 22b 20260717035254130	Yes	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0x7f3ea8…
07-18 03:20:01	will apple aapl q3 wearables home and accessories revenue be above 8pt5b 20260717035113334	Yes	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0x0dfd1b…
07-18 03:17:42	will timothee chalamet attend the 2026 fifa world cup final 20260716193357134	No	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0xd8224d…
07-18 02:55:33	will apple aapl q3 mac revenue be above 10b 20260717034907916	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xbf14dc…
07-18 02:46:01	nyc air quality index below 100 by july 20 20260717052446993	Yes	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0xf75139…
07-18 01:49:36	will the announcers say trump during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403317	Yes	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x9a53e8…
06-28 10:02:40	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 29	No	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0x36c87c…
06-28 10:02:26	iran charges hormuz fees by july 15 20260625175039061	No	SELL	50	89¢	$44	0x8569ef…
06-28 08:48:34	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	No	SELL	20	83¢	$17	0x282ae6…
06-28 08:23:44	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 29	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x3a1701…
06-28 08:04:02	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x13b4e6…
06-28 07:55:34	xi meets with lee jae myung by july 31 20260626183415029	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0xc0b85f…
06-28 07:51:44	us announces withdrawal from al udeid air base by sep 30 20260626182408440	Yes	SELL	50	8¢	$4	0xcbf9c7…
06-28 07:42:59	us announces withdrawal from al udeid air base by sep 30 20260626182408440	Yes	BUY	50	9¢	$4	0xf83f37…
06-28 07:40:46	xi meets with lee jae myung by july 31 20260626183415029	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0xf63f1c…
06-28 07:33:56	iran charges hormuz fees by july 15 20260625175039061	No	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0xe98832…
06-28 07:26:40	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17	Yes	SELL	20	80¢	$16	0x007a87…
06-28 07:26:01	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	No	SELL	50	52¢	$26	0x3cb0e8…
06-28 06:59:59	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17	Yes	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x7e4c9e…
06-28 06:40:22	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	No	BUY	50	51¢	$26	0x2c818c…
06-28 06:07:47	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	Yes	SELL	50	45¢	$22	0x3174c8…
06-28 05:43:52	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	Yes	BUY	50	47¢	$24	0xd0afef…
05-11 09:25:48	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $450 in May?	No	SELL	50	38¢	$19	0xdc3921…
05-10 08:15:23	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $465 in May?	No	SELL	50	57¢	$28	0xb184b3…
05-10 08:13:01	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $465 in May?	No	BUY	50	57¢	$28	0xd7b9c2…
05-10 07:49:22	Will Russia enter Borova by May 31?	Yes	SELL	40	13¢	$5	0xdc43b1…
05-10 07:47:42	Will Russia enter Borova by May 31?	Yes	BUY	40	14¢	$6	0xd7d45a…
05-10 07:46:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	No	SELL	20	26¢	$5	0xa50e41…
05-10 07:46:34	Will Russia capture Myropillia by May 31?	No	SELL	40	89¢	$36	0x777108…
05-10 07:45:39	Will Russia capture Myropillia by May 31?	No	BUY	40	89¢	$36	0xfef11e…
05-10 07:43:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	No	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0xbdb2dd…
05-10 07:20:03	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	SELL	20	43¢	$9	0xb47a0d…
05-10 07:19:31	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x4f069a…
05-10 07:14:13	Will Rylee George win Breakaway Roping at The American Rodeo 2026 Championship Weekend?	Yes	SELL	1	19¢	$0	0xfb68dc…
05-10 07:14:02	Will Rowdy Parrott win Steer Wrestling at The American Rodeo 2026 Championship Weekend?	Yes	SELL	1	16¢	$0	0x483cc5…
05-10 07:13:43	Will Jesse Brown win Steer Wrestling at The American Rodeo 2026 Championship Weekend?	Yes	SELL	1	20¢	$0	0xe36fa8…
05-10 07:13:34	Will Hayle Gibson-Stillwell win Barrel Racing at The American Rodeo 2026 Championship Weekend?	Yes	SELL	1	18¢	$0	0x92da92…
05-10 07:13:24	Will Tristen Hutchings win Bull Riding at The American Rodeo 2026 Championship Weekend?	Yes	SELL	1	27¢	$0	0xa2b663…
05-10 07:13:15	Will Brittany Pozzi Tonozzi win Barrel Racing at The American Rodeo 2026 Championship Weekend?	Yes	SELL	3	22¢	$1	0x984a0f…
05-10 07:13:05	Will Kassie Mowry win Barrel Racing at The American Rodeo 2026 Championship Weekend?	Yes	SELL	3	24¢	$1	0xd93991…
05-10 07:12:52	Will Taylor Munsell win Breakaway Roping at The American Rodeo 2026 Championship Weekend?	Yes	SELL	1	15¢	$0	0xee2119…
05-10 07:12:40	Will Wacey Schalla win Bull Riding at The American Rodeo 2026 Championship Weekend?	Yes	SELL	1	12¢	$0	0x1d243b…
05-10 07:10:34	Will Tristen Hutchings win Bull Riding at The American Rodeo 2026 Championship Weekend?	Yes	BUY	1	27¢	$0	0xcdf07e…
05-10 07:10:25	Will Hayle Gibson-Stillwell win Barrel Racing at The American Rodeo 2026 Championship Weekend?	Yes	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0x4c6cf4…
05-10 07:10:17	Will Jesse Brown win Steer Wrestling at The American Rodeo 2026 Championship Weekend?	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x74b3b1…
05-10 07:10:08	Will Rylee George win Breakaway Roping at The American Rodeo 2026 Championship Weekend?	Yes	BUY	1	19¢	$0	0x5b4226…
05-10 07:09:54	Will Rowdy Parrott win Steer Wrestling at The American Rodeo 2026 Championship Weekend?	Yes	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0x5c1521…
05-10 07:09:45	Will Taylor Munsell win Breakaway Roping at The American Rodeo 2026 Championship Weekend?	Yes	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0xfa4e1f…
05-10 07:06:48	Will Kassie Mowry win Barrel Racing at The American Rodeo 2026 Championship Weekend?	Yes	BUY	3	24¢	$1	0x5dbd29…
05-10 07:06:41	Will Brittany Pozzi Tonozzi win Barrel Racing at The American Rodeo 2026 Championship Weekend?	Yes	BUY	3	22¢	$1	0x815ecc…
05-10 07:04:56	Will Wacey Schalla win Bull Riding at The American Rodeo 2026 Championship Weekend?	Yes	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0x458775…
05-10 06:59:24	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $450 in May?	No	BUY	50	38¢	$19	0x83cb4c…
05-10 06:38:38	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	SELL	20	45¢	$9	0xb4c5de…
05-10 06:30:16	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x75b3b7…
05-10 05:49:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	SELL	20	47¢	$9	0xa7f72d…