Subdued-Judo — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$50

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.8%

Resolved

Trades

2,837

lifetime

Volume

$13.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-14

last 05-06 07:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 57% $-50

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 156 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1770346800	15	$196	117	117	+1	open	—	02-06 03:10
btc updown 5m 1776753900	35	$149	147	142	+5	open	—	04-21 06:48
btc updown 15m 1770295500	21	$136	92	81	+11	open	—	02-05 12:56
btc updown 15m 1770416100	27	$132	83	83	+0	open	—	02-06 22:28
btc updown 5m 1776753600	26	$129	117	113	+4	open	—	04-21 06:44
btc updown 15m 1770417900	23	$128	77	76	+0	open	—	02-06 22:58
btc updown 15m 1770425100	21	$118	75	80	-5	open	—	02-07 00:51
btc updown 15m 1770420600	25	$115	70	70	+0	open	—	02-06 23:43
sol updown 15m 1768894200	8	$111	132	131	+1	open	—	01-20 07:41
btc updown 15m 1770343200	20	$109	64	64	+0	open	—	02-06 02:10
btc updown 5m 1771084500	34	$107	85	85	+0	open	—	02-14 15:59
btc updown 15m 1770383700	31	$103	84	83	+1	open	—	02-06 13:28
btc updown 15m 1770426000	29	$101	85	82	+3	open	—	02-07 01:09
btc updown 15m 1770344100	8	$100	100	10	+90	open	—	02-06 02:26
btc updown 15m 1770296400	15	$97	62	61	+0	open	—	02-05 13:10
sol updown 15m 1768918500	21	$97	163	154	+9	open	—	01-20 14:23
btc updown 15m 1770384600	21	$97	69	67	+2	open	—	02-06 13:41
sol updown 15m 1768950900	15	$93	92	92	+1	open	—	01-20 23:27
btc updown 15m 1776654000	30	$93	100	99	+1	open	—	04-20 03:11
btc updown 15m 1770279300	22	$91	65	64	+0	open	—	02-05 08:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	8	$90	59	59	+0	open	—	05-03 23:34
sol updown 15m 1768977000	10	$89	129	70	+59	open	—	01-21 06:34
btc updown 15m 1770345900	17	$89	56	53	+2	open	—	02-06 02:56
btc updown 5m 1771084800	16	$87	77	76	+1	open	—	02-14 16:04
btc updown 15m 1770424200	20	$85	60	59	+1	open	—	02-07 00:37
btc updown 15m 1770336900	12	$80	50	46	+5	open	—	02-06 00:25
btc updown 15m 1770366600	2	$80	44	41	+3	open	—	02-06 08:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	9	$80	51	50	+0	open	—	05-04 00:09
btc updown 15m 1770328800	19	$80	85	38	+47	open	—	02-05 22:08
btc updown 15m 1770421500	25	$79	67	66	+1	open	—	02-06 23:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 07:43:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	15	81¢	$12	0xaa18c3…
05-06 07:41:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	15	57¢	$9	0xaf31a1…
05-06 07:38:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	19	44¢	$8	0xce0bda…
05-06 07:38:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	15	48¢	$7	0xf4a1e9…
05-06 07:03:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	SELL	15	83¢	$12	0xe9da87…
05-06 07:02:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	15	69¢	$10	0x9c6c3d…
05-05 19:28:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x5c4fec…
05-05 18:37:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	16	58¢	$9	0xe1383b…
05-05 18:07:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	90¢	$1	0xcd41b6…
05-05 18:07:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	SELL	13	90¢	$12	0x76b070…
05-05 18:07:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	15	75¢	$11	0x1e5fc2…
05-05 18:04:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	15	91¢	$14	0xcd636c…
05-05 18:03:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	15	76¢	$11	0x1c1469…
05-05 17:44:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0xffef4c…
05-05 14:52:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	17	45¢	$8	0x614e74…
05-05 14:33:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x6890b4…
05-05 08:52:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	15	44¢	$7	0x022290…
05-05 08:09:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	SELL	12	80¢	$10	0xff0432…
05-05 08:09:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x9f216a…
05-05 08:06:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	13	52¢	$7	0x0d5802…
05-05 08:01:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	17	37¢	$6	0x385710…
05-05 07:26:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	12	58¢	$7	0xc4f9b4…
05-05 07:26:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	58¢	$1	0x1e006e…
05-05 07:26:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	13	48¢	$6	0xc80ed6…
05-05 07:23:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	SELL	17	86¢	$14	0x1ff22e…
05-05 07:22:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	17	47¢	$8	0xe1097c…
05-05 06:44:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0xf6fa5d…
05-05 06:44:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0xe88eb7…
05-05 06:44:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0xde07d1…
05-05 06:44:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0xb6f520…
05-05 06:44:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x9d5bb4…
05-05 06:44:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x728b5e…
05-05 06:44:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x51ef6f…
05-05 06:44:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	0	79¢	$0	0x367c26…
05-05 06:44:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x06cabf…
05-05 06:44:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0xe1d06f…
05-05 06:44:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x7495f9…
05-05 06:43:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	13	62¢	$8	0xfb17c8…
05-05 06:38:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	SELL	13	71¢	$9	0xe7819a…
05-05 06:37:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	13	50¢	$6	0x095031…
05-05 06:02:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	SELL	4	73¢	$3	0xe33655…
05-05 06:02:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0x7d7150…
05-05 06:02:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0x2f23e1…
05-05 06:01:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	14	64¢	$9	0x848551…
05-05 05:13:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	SELL	7	76¢	$5	0xeaadbb…
05-05 05:13:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0x575f63…
05-05 05:12:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	70¢	$6	0x9bd36f…
05-05 04:54:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	18	41¢	$7	0x81e388…
05-05 04:52:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	11	38¢	$4	0x705eae…
05-05 03:59:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	13	61¢	$8	0xb7b285…
05-05 03:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	13	45¢	$6	0x6a2f3c…
05-05 02:02:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	17	50¢	$8	0xe733d8…
05-05 01:29:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	0	55¢	$0	0x74486e…
05-05 01:29:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	10	55¢	$5	0x1571c0…
05-05 01:28:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x64644f…
05-04 19:26:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	77¢	$2	0x836d15…
05-04 19:26:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	17	77¢	$13	0x4bd7a8…
05-04 19:26:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	11	77¢	$9	0x3598c1…
05-04 19:26:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xf400da…
05-04 19:26:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xdf15da…
05-04 18:42:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0x3f5244…
05-04 18:42:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	11	67¢	$7	0x1e065e…
05-04 18:42:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	15	59¢	$9	0x4b5e62…
05-04 17:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	30	81¢	$24	0x975374…
05-04 17:58:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	78¢	$12	0xe4940f…
05-04 17:58:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	76¢	$11	0x244679…
05-04 17:13:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xe463ed…
05-04 16:07:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0xc5ab7c…
05-04 16:07:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	SELL	4	81¢	$3	0x7ec6f9…
05-04 16:07:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	81¢	$2	0x7734ef…
05-04 16:07:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0x2222db…
05-04 16:07:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	SELL	4	81¢	$3	0x1ccbd8…
05-04 16:06:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	15	78¢	$12	0xe93ecf…
05-04 15:09:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	SELL	15	83¢	$12	0xf2083c…
05-04 15:07:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	15	69¢	$10	0x9e9cb9…
05-04 08:32:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	15	77¢	$12	0x539bc2…
05-04 08:28:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x853bac…
05-04 08:28:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	89¢	$1	0x63adac…
05-04 08:28:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0x4f75cd…
05-04 08:28:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	7	89¢	$6	0x3ff457…
05-04 08:28:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	3	89¢	$3	0x2ebc75…
05-04 08:28:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	9	85¢	$7	0x089c9f…
05-04 08:28:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0x07d184…
05-04 08:27:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	15	60¢	$9	0x5fdb28…
05-04 08:27:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	15	59¢	$9	0xf92167…
05-04 08:12:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	10	74¢	$7	0xab2842…
05-04 08:12:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	74¢	$4	0xa43704…
05-04 08:12:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	15	70¢	$10	0xd9c2e7…
05-04 08:02:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	15	77¢	$12	0xc41044…
05-04 07:47:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	SELL	15	68¢	$11	0x82e645…
05-04 07:47:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xeb603f…
05-04 07:46:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	15	62¢	$10	0x45e379…
05-04 06:03:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	15	21¢	$3	0xcd2cd5…
05-04 06:03:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	15	21¢	$3	0x51ef3a…
05-04 05:32:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	SELL	15	71¢	$11	0x8833c9…
05-04 05:31:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x065df1…
05-04 04:58:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	15	69¢	$11	0x3e4cde…
05-04 04:57:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	64¢	$10	0x4b04f0…
05-04 04:48:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	SELL	11	69¢	$7	0x6f40d6…
05-04 04:48:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	SELL	5	69¢	$3	0x254b13…