Handmade-Palm — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$836

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

8.1%

Resolved

Trades

198

lifetime

Volume

$5.66K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$29

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-10

last 05-12 15:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

45% 0% $-495

Other

26% — —

Politics

16% — —

Sports

12% 17% $-341

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	3	$563	336	336	+0	open	—	04-13 00:46
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	3	$519	1,800	1,800	+0	open	—	02-28 07:12
deepseek v4 released by april 24	17	$381	1,997	0	+1,997	open	—	04-24 04:21
us strikes iran by february 10 2026	1	$357	15,234	0	+15,234	open	—	02-10 04:27
btc updown 5m 1770970800	26	$349	400	400	+0	open	—	02-13 08:23
DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?	2	$310	200	200	+0	open	—	04-24 03:55
btc updown 5m 1772262900	13	$260	500	247	+253	open	—	02-28 07:19
btc updown 5m 1770969900	4	$255	315	310	+5	open	—	02-13 08:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	2	$249	482	0	+482	Down	$-249	05-12 14:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	1	$246	478	0	+478	Down	$-246	05-12 15:15
Thunder vs. Lakers	1	$216	600	0	+600	Thunder	$-216	05-12 04:58
btc updown 5m 1770972600	3	$213	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	02-13 08:54
Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$190	5,000	5,000	+0	open	—	03-12 00:11
btc updown 15m 1770700500	29	$164	752	749	+3	open	—	02-10 05:23
btc updown 5m 1770971700	5	$152	400	0	+400	open	—	02-13 08:36
btc updown 5m 1773274200	8	$117	100	100	+0	open	—	03-12 00:14
btc updown 5m 1770971400	1	$100	200	0	+200	open	—	02-13 08:33
btc updown 5m 1770968700	23	$99	100	100	+0	open	—	02-13 07:48
deepseek v4 released by march 31 446 353 924 266 292	3	$89	170	0	+170	open	—	03-12 08:36
btc updown 5m 1773274500	2	$88	200	0	+200	open	—	03-12 00:19
btc updown 5m 1770969300	6	$80	73	72	+1	open	—	02-13 07:55
Timberwolves vs. Spurs	1	$78	100	0	+100	Spurs	+$22	05-07 00:21
btc updown 5m 1770969600	3	$67	60	59	+1	open	—	02-13 08:01
76ers vs. Knicks	1	$66	200	0	+200	Knicks	$-66	05-07 00:19
btc updown 5m 1773273900	1	$64	100	0	+100	open	—	03-12 00:08
will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	17	$62	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	02-28 21:40
deepseek v4 released by march 15 678	2	$54	471	0	+471	open	—	03-12 00:24
us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	3	$52	26,086	0	+26,086	open	—	02-10 04:30
Cavaliers vs. Pistons	1	$50	100	0	+100	Pistons	$-50	05-08 01:07
btc updown 5m 1770972000	3	$46	200	0	+200	open	—	02-13 08:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 15:15:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	478	52¢	$246	0xcd8308…
05-12 14:46:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	477	52¢	$247	0xf6a81e…
05-12 14:46:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xf1cf55…
05-12 04:58:43	Thunder vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	600	36¢	$216	0xa9438a…
05-08 01:07:22	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xbef6bc…
05-07 00:21:58	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	100	78¢	$78	0xc2572b…
05-07 00:19:08	76ers vs. Knicks	76ers	BUY	200	33¢	$66	0xe92c97…
05-06 00:23:50	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	SELL	100	15¢	$15	0x8731c8…
05-06 00:02:32	Lakers vs. Thunder	Lakers	BUY	200	14¢	$28	0x681e6a…
05-05 23:44:48	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	BUY	100	18¢	$18	0xe49a38…
04-24 04:21:54	deepseek v4 released by april 24	No	BUY	48	11¢	$5	0x3aaadf…
04-24 04:05:16	deepseek v4 released by april 24	No	BUY	223	11¢	$25	0x9ef140…
04-24 04:05:16	deepseek v4 released by april 24	No	BUY	30	11¢	$3	0x927e66…
04-24 04:04:50	deepseek v4 released by april 24	No	BUY	16	18¢	$3	0x026c6a…
04-24 04:04:34	deepseek v4 released by april 24	No	BUY	28	15¢	$4	0xf46493…
04-24 04:04:16	deepseek v4 released by april 24	No	BUY	124	14¢	$17	0x9dce0e…
04-24 04:04:14	deepseek v4 released by april 24	No	BUY	38	12¢	$5	0xa84a65…
04-24 04:04:08	deepseek v4 released by april 24	No	BUY	13	12¢	$2	0x68accf…
04-24 03:58:52	deepseek v4 released by april 24	No	BUY	8	22¢	$2	0x24c3ae…
04-24 03:58:48	deepseek v4 released by april 24	No	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x4548bf…
04-24 03:58:44	deepseek v4 released by april 24	No	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x9f968d…
04-24 03:58:38	deepseek v4 released by april 24	No	BUY	300	22¢	$67	0xcb33b4…
04-24 03:58:34	deepseek v4 released by april 24	No	BUY	143	22¢	$32	0xb5e2c7…
04-24 03:58:30	deepseek v4 released by april 24	No	BUY	13	22¢	$3	0xc7f135…
04-24 03:58:14	deepseek v4 released by april 24	No	BUY	514	22¢	$113	0x1cf63b…
04-24 03:58:10	deepseek v4 released by april 24	No	BUY	476	20¢	$95	0xadb0fe…
04-24 03:58:10	deepseek v4 released by april 24	No	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0xac4976…
04-24 03:55:32	DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?	Yes	SELL	200	86¢	$172	0x1594b0…
04-13 00:55:33	DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?	Yes	BUY	200	69¢	$138	0x0d1f45…
04-13 00:46:19	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	SELL	336	99¢	$334	0xd917a6…
04-01 13:55:23	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	BUY	136	73¢	$99	0x99095c…
03-22 02:27:57	Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	46	7¢	$3	0xfda598…
03-21 06:10:53	Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	376	9¢	$35	0x4af5f7…
03-15 15:31:59	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	BUY	200	65¢	$130	0xe93041…
03-12 08:36:09	deepseek v4 released by march 31 446 353 924 266 292	Yes	BUY	40	48¢	$19	0x7c8d26…
03-12 00:24:47	deepseek v4 released by march 15 678	Yes	BUY	241	12¢	$29	0x0069ba…
03-12 00:24:39	deepseek v4 released by march 31 446 353 924 266 292	Yes	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0x9bc637…
03-12 00:19:27	btc updown 5m 1773274500	Up	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0xd56dda…
03-12 00:18:21	btc updown 5m 1773274500	Up	BUY	100	73¢	$73	0xdd2a03…
03-12 00:14:45	btc updown 5m 1773274200	Down	SELL	100	76¢	$76	0xd66846…
03-12 00:12:59	btc updown 5m 1773274200	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xfdf773…
03-12 00:12:59	btc updown 5m 1773274200	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xdfa01d…
03-12 00:12:59	btc updown 5m 1773274200	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xde8cba…
03-12 00:12:59	btc updown 5m 1773274200	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xd7ebe3…
03-12 00:12:59	btc updown 5m 1773274200	Down	BUY	53	41¢	$22	0x3571f0…
03-12 00:12:59	btc updown 5m 1773274200	Down	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x330fb7…
03-12 00:12:59	btc updown 5m 1773274200	Down	BUY	30	41¢	$12	0x14f2eb…
03-12 00:11:57	Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	5,000	2¢	$95	0xaf04bf…
03-12 00:08:59	btc updown 5m 1773273900	Up	BUY	100	64¢	$64	0xcb95fa…
03-12 00:07:23	deepseek v4 released by march 31 446 353 924 266 292	Yes	BUY	30	53¢	$16	0xade28e…
03-12 00:06:41	deepseek v4 released by march 15 678	Yes	BUY	230	11¢	$25	0xff8295…
03-02 08:54:07	Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5,000	2¢	$95	0xdbf977…
02-28 21:40:45	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	Yes	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0xf6c6ce…
02-28 21:01:37	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	Yes	BUY	25	3¢	$1	0x81944e…
02-28 21:00:29	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	Yes	BUY	60	3¢	$2	0x19ea37…
02-28 21:00:23	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	Yes	BUY	15	3¢	$0	0x884d2a…
02-28 16:22:45	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	Yes	BUY	3	3¢	$0	0x8cabea…
02-28 15:56:07	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	Yes	BUY	65	3¢	$2	0x4965d4…
02-28 15:52:37	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0xf26400…
02-28 15:52:37	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0xa983e9…
02-28 15:52:37	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	Yes	BUY	200	3¢	$6	0x8da6d5…
02-28 15:52:37	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	Yes	BUY	109	3¢	$3	0x70df05…
02-28 15:52:37	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	Yes	BUY	18	3¢	$1	0x6bf3e3…
02-28 15:52:37	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x5f70e7…
02-28 15:52:37	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x499561…
02-28 15:52:37	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	Yes	BUY	290	3¢	$9	0x3818a7…
02-28 15:52:37	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x179d51…
02-28 15:42:31	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	Yes	BUY	1,000	3¢	$31	0xdad9e4…
02-28 15:38:33	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x74b7ab…
02-28 07:19:47	btc updown 5m 1772262900	Down	SELL	15	30¢	$4	0xe9e6a7…
02-28 07:19:47	btc updown 5m 1772262900	Down	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0xe1e8e8…
02-28 07:19:47	btc updown 5m 1772262900	Down	SELL	15	30¢	$4	0xa5fd28…
02-28 07:19:47	btc updown 5m 1772262900	Down	SELL	15	30¢	$4	0x8fce6f…
02-28 07:19:47	btc updown 5m 1772262900	Down	SELL	11	30¢	$3	0x8575aa…
02-28 07:19:47	btc updown 5m 1772262900	Down	SELL	21	30¢	$6	0x64b8f9…
02-28 07:19:47	btc updown 5m 1772262900	Down	SELL	21	30¢	$6	0x5bb0e8…
02-28 07:19:47	btc updown 5m 1772262900	Down	SELL	21	30¢	$6	0x45ebae…
02-28 07:19:47	btc updown 5m 1772262900	Down	SELL	8	30¢	$2	0x391b82…
02-28 07:19:47	btc updown 5m 1772262900	Down	SELL	21	30¢	$6	0x244460…
02-28 07:19:47	btc updown 5m 1772262900	Down	SELL	80	30¢	$24	0x0ce46c…
02-28 07:18:45	btc updown 5m 1772262900	Down	BUY	200	18¢	$35	0xe96778…
02-28 07:15:05	btc updown 5m 1772262900	Down	BUY	300	50¢	$150	0x7aee5c…
02-28 07:12:07	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	SELL	1,800	4¢	$63	0x89a11e…
02-28 06:36:05	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	1,200	18¢	$216	0xa446f4…
02-28 06:29:41	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	600	40¢	$240	0x655cd7…
02-13 08:54:21	btc updown 5m 1770972600	Down	BUY	933	22¢	$205	0x649a69…
02-13 08:54:21	btc updown 5m 1770972600	Down	BUY	66	11¢	$7	0x35f474…
02-13 08:54:21	btc updown 5m 1770972600	Down	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0x1bebf2…
02-13 08:48:11	btc updown 5m 1770972300	Down	SELL	38	1¢	$0	0x82d56c…
02-13 08:48:07	btc updown 5m 1770972300	Down	SELL	17	1¢	$0	0x766da4…
02-13 08:46:13	btc updown 5m 1770972300	Down	BUY	1	35¢	$1	0x024bb7…
02-13 08:46:05	btc updown 5m 1770972300	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x20d0ad…
02-13 08:46:03	btc updown 5m 1770972300	Down	BUY	46	35¢	$16	0x7679a2…
02-13 08:45:59	btc updown 5m 1770972300	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x71f452…
02-13 08:43:43	btc updown 5m 1770972000	Down	BUY	81	23¢	$19	0x42c145…
02-13 08:43:43	btc updown 5m 1770972000	Down	BUY	2	23¢	$0	0x3cef61…
02-13 08:43:43	btc updown 5m 1770972000	Down	BUY	117	23¢	$27	0x3b25b4…
02-13 08:36:09	btc updown 5m 1770971700	Down	BUY	366	38¢	$139	0xc0df87…
02-13 08:36:09	btc updown 5m 1770971700	Down	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0xa9576b…
02-13 08:36:09	btc updown 5m 1770971700	Down	BUY	4	38¢	$2	0x928144…