Natural-Jumbo — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

79.8%

Resolved

Trades

269

lifetime

Volume

$2.31K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-22

last 05-06 20:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 83% $-2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1776967200	4	$20	44	0	+44	open	—	04-23 18:04
btc updown 5m 1776912600	2	$18	18	0	+18	open	—	04-23 02:53
btc updown 5m 1776691800	2	$18	11	11	+0	open	—	04-20 13:33
btc updown 5m 1776903300	2	$17	30	0	+30	open	—	04-23 00:17
btc updown 5m 1776604800	3	$17	43	0	+43	open	—	04-19 13:24
btc updown 5m 1774383600	2	$16	8	8	+0	open	—	03-24 20:22
btc updown 5m 1774365600	2	$16	8	8	+0	open	—	03-24 15:23
btc updown 5m 1776966300	3	$16	31	0	+31	open	—	04-23 17:48
btc updown 5m 1776175500	5	$15	39	0	+39	open	—	04-14 14:09
btc updown 5m 1776431700	2	$15	28	0	+28	open	—	04-17 13:18
btc updown 5m 1776960300	2	$15	34	0	+34	open	—	04-23 16:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	1	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	04-30 14:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	1	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	04-30 14:33
btc updown 5m 1776430800	2	$15	28	0	+28	open	—	04-17 13:02
btc updown 5m 1776433800	3	$14	31	0	+31	open	—	04-17 13:52
btc updown 5m 1774360800	2	$14	7	7	+0	open	—	03-24 14:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	1	$14	15	0	+15	open	—	04-29 17:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	3	$14	22	0	+22	open	—	04-29 18:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	2	$14	7	7	+0	open	—	05-01 17:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	2	$14	7	7	+0	open	—	05-03 01:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	1	$14	14	0	+14	open	—	04-27 15:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	1	$14	14	0	+14	open	—	04-29 15:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	1	$14	14	0	+14	open	—	04-29 18:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	2	$14	7	7	+0	open	—	05-02 21:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	1	$14	14	0	+14	open	—	04-27 14:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	1	$14	14	0	+14	open	—	04-30 14:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	1	$14	14	0	+14	open	—	04-30 13:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	1	$14	14	0	+14	open	—	04-30 05:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	1	$14	14	0	+14	open	—	04-29 12:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	1	$14	14	0	+14	open	—	04-27 14:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 20:33:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x0e93cc…
05-06 18:13:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0x1b1227…
05-06 18:13:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xc52ac0…
05-06 17:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x2cd8e7…
05-06 16:23:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xc40afe…
05-06 14:09:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0xe43131…
05-06 14:08:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0xdf48ea…
05-06 13:38:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x3235f2…
05-05 22:53:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x816c14…
05-05 22:53:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$4	0x6f6f31…
05-05 22:33:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xf0a12e…
05-05 20:08:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xb8728d…
05-05 14:08:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x105622…
05-05 13:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xb30cf8…
05-05 02:48:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x4da146…
05-04 17:53:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x5071c9…
05-04 16:23:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0xc05782…
05-04 15:28:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0xb7899e…
05-04 14:58:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x6cd820…
05-04 14:48:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xcbad20…
05-04 14:38:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0xc240aa…
05-04 10:18:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x12c585…
05-04 10:03:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x1e68d6…
05-04 03:12:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	98¢	$5	0xbe6fb4…
05-04 03:03:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xca9590…
05-04 02:42:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0x7db596…
05-04 01:52:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x8fe198…
05-04 01:51:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x1ddcd5…
05-04 01:31:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x6e4f50…
05-03 22:53:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x3f5c77…
05-03 22:23:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe9bc3e…
05-03 22:12:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb2e72e…
05-03 22:05:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x97cdb2…
05-03 22:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x86ad4f…
05-03 22:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x60f5b5…
05-03 20:38:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x1af78e…
05-03 20:36:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x9c696a…
05-03 01:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xd25cb5…
05-03 01:03:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xf6f768…
05-02 21:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x56c66e…
05-02 21:37:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x710683…
05-01 20:53:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x07d85c…
05-01 17:40:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x6ec935…
05-01 17:38:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x1cc853…
04-30 14:33:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xf7cabe…
04-30 14:13:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x97d5ff…
04-30 14:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x0fd887…
04-30 13:43:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x4b4173…
04-30 05:27:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x389fb6…
04-29 18:25:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x18117b…
04-29 18:23:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xbe9135…
04-29 18:23:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x889e56…
04-29 18:03:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xb02d6a…
04-29 17:27:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0xd7d73d…
04-29 17:03:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x936dc4…
04-29 15:53:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0xbbb723…
04-29 15:38:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xd97905…
04-29 14:38:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x685564…
04-29 12:22:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x7a7b9f…
04-28 02:53:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xa6cfd6…
04-27 19:43:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x1ef4fc…
04-27 15:18:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x331bfa…
04-27 14:53:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xdcbe99…
04-27 14:36:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	14	97¢	$14	0xfc8776…
04-27 14:06:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	14	96¢	$14	0x5b9156…
04-27 13:47:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	14	98¢	$13	0x64972c…
04-27 06:31:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	14	98¢	$13	0x6b28f5…
04-27 05:36:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	14	96¢	$13	0x380bed…
04-27 05:17:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	11	96¢	$11	0x7f2bf2…
04-27 05:13:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xe4b2d4…
04-27 01:47:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	13	97¢	$13	0x461fa7…
04-27 01:28:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xc7cd41…
04-27 00:56:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	95¢	$13	0x66e48f…
04-27 00:43:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x111833…
04-27 00:02:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x1d285c…
04-26 23:32:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x988e4a…
04-26 22:33:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xfcd86c…
04-26 18:18:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xd11f78…
04-26 05:12:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x7547f6…
04-25 16:38:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x9433d8…
04-24 18:18:14	btc updown 5m 1777054500	Down	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x83caa8…
04-24 16:43:06	btc updown 5m 1777048800	Down	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x4fb23f…
04-24 15:06:46	btc updown 5m 1777043100	Down	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0x25bf97…
04-24 14:28:08	btc updown 5m 1777040700	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$9	0x0e46af…
04-24 14:02:38	btc updown 5m 1777039200	Down	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0x59e7b9…
04-24 11:01:46	btc updown 5m 1777028400	Up	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0xefa532…
04-24 05:56:56	btc updown 5m 1777010100	Up	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0x7bdfe0…
04-24 03:33:18	btc updown 5m 1777001400	Down	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x388a1b…
04-23 19:18:10	btc updown 5m 1776971700	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$9	0xb0e213…
04-23 18:04:48	btc updown 5m 1776967200	Down	BUY	2	27¢	$1	0x39f469…
04-23 18:04:46	btc updown 5m 1776967200	Down	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0xec653a…
04-23 18:04:34	btc updown 5m 1776967200	Down	BUY	17	22¢	$4	0xba977e…
04-23 18:02:52	btc updown 5m 1776967200	Up	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0xf52a8c…
04-23 17:48:04	btc updown 5m 1776966300	Up	BUY	9	49¢	$4	0x91cd26…
04-23 17:47:50	btc updown 5m 1776966300	Up	BUY	12	19¢	$2	0x8cea55…
04-23 17:47:10	btc updown 5m 1776966300	Down	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x18a9c4…
04-23 17:37:16	btc updown 5m 1776965700	Down	BUY	13	95¢	$12	0xfe9240…
04-23 17:17:22	btc updown 5m 1776964500	Down	BUY	13	95¢	$12	0x77dcb1…
04-23 16:09:12	btc updown 5m 1776960300	Down	BUY	23	20¢	$5	0x41fc68…
04-23 16:08:12	btc updown 5m 1776960300	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x0d1792…