Identical-Wealth — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$13

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$19.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$406

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 07-02 11:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 80% +$13

Other

0% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 on May 10?	1	$2.1K	2,094	0	+2,094	No	+$4	05-11 02:03
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 9?	1	$2.1K	2,088	0	+2,088	No	+$4	05-10 01:45
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on May 8?	1	$2.1K	2,081	0	+2,081	Yes	+$4	05-08 08:19
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 8?	1	$2.1K	2,079	0	+2,079	No	+$4	05-09 02:00
will the price of ethereum be between 2900 3000 on january 15	2	$1.1K	2,119	0	+2,119	open	—	01-15 02:33
will the price of bitcoin be between 86000 88000 on january 14	1	$1.1K	1,065	0	+1,065	open	—	01-14 02:32
ethereum above 3500 on january 13	1	$1.1K	1,062	0	+1,062	open	—	01-13 02:30
ethereum above 2800 on january 12	1	$1.1K	1,061	0	+1,061	open	—	01-12 02:27
ethereum above 3300 on january 11	1	$1.1K	1,061	0	+1,061	open	—	01-11 02:06
ethereum above 2900 on january 19	1	$1.1K	1,060	0	+1,060	open	—	01-19 02:59
will the price of bitcoin be between 86000 88000 on january 18	1	$1.1K	1,057	0	+1,057	open	—	01-18 02:46
will the price of ethereum be between 3300 3400 on january 10	1	$1.1K	1,057	0	+1,057	open	—	01-10 09:57
ethereum above 3500 on january 17	1	$1.1K	1,057	0	+1,057	open	—	01-17 03:25
bitcoin above 102k on january 16	1	$1.1K	1,054	0	+1,054	open	—	01-16 01:57
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026?	1	$16	16	0	+16	open	—	05-20 08:47
amzn above 285 on june 12 2026	1	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	06-09 08:33
bitcoin above 76k on february 7	1	$14	14	0	+14	open	—	02-06 07:45
bitcoin above 64k on july 2 2026	1	$13	13	0	+13	open	—	07-02 11:09
nicols maduro released from custody by january 31 2026	2	$11	6	5	+1	open	—	01-21 14:10
bill clinton in jail by december 31	2	$11	6	5	+1	open	—	01-27 09:56
bitcoin above 64k on march 27	1	$11	11	0	+11	open	—	03-26 05:50
bitcoin above 64k on march 13	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	03-12 02:32
will bitcoin dip to 62k march 2 8	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-07 13:53
Trump out as President by April 30?	2	$8	9	0	+9	open	—	04-17 03:25
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?	1	$7	7	0	+7	open	—	06-25 09:15
will iranian officials visit the white house by february 28	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	02-25 02:16
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	06-21 05:55
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 1?	1	$4	2,100	0	+2,100	open	—	05-02 01:15
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on May 4?	1	$4	2,087	0	+2,087	No	$-4	05-05 02:27
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on April 26?	1	$4	2,073	0	+2,073	open	—	04-26 08:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-02 11:09:40	bitcoin above 64k on july 2 2026	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x5d1f19…
06-25 09:15:53	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xe97f1e…
06-21 05:55:08	Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x28ea8c…
06-09 08:33:33	amzn above 285 on june 12 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xa08a74…
05-20 08:47:31	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xe13b11…
05-11 02:03:12	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 on May 10?	No	BUY	2,094	100¢	$2,089	0xef2618…
05-10 01:45:09	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	2,088	100¢	$2,083	0x0243ff…
05-09 02:00:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	2,079	100¢	$2,075	0x059dbd…
05-08 08:19:18	Will the price of Solana be above $80 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	2,081	100¢	$2,077	0x278121…
05-05 02:27:10	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	2,087	0¢	$4	0xfbf0d8…
05-02 01:15:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	2,100	0¢	$4	0xe87664…
04-26 08:45:44	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on April 26?	Yes	BUY	2,073	0¢	$4	0x548656…
04-21 09:06:02	will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on april 21	Yes	BUY	1,561	0¢	$3	0x45ce4e…
04-17 03:25:20	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x209f29…
04-10 14:07:35	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xfab5a9…
03-26 05:50:59	bitcoin above 64k on march 27	Yes	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x5e7658…
03-12 02:32:25	bitcoin above 64k on march 13	Yes	BUY	11	99¢	$10	0xd09c1b…
03-07 13:53:27	will bitcoin dip to 62k march 2 8	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x0771ee…
02-25 02:16:44	will iranian officials visit the white house by february 28	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x81294a…
02-11 03:34:55	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	3	97¢	$2	0x59ba71…
02-06 07:45:39	bitcoin above 76k on february 7	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xf84e2d…
02-02 13:08:12	will msft close above 480 week february 6 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x537054…
01-31 08:27:56	will the iranian regime fall by january 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4ea1bb…
01-31 02:13:40	will the price of ethereum be between 3000 3100 on january 31	Yes	BUY	1,083	0¢	$2	0x6c510d…
01-30 09:38:48	will russia capture all of prymorske by january 31 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa79953…
01-27 09:56:31	bill clinton in jail by december 31	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x678b60…
01-27 02:03:57	will the price of ethereum be between 3200 3300 on january 27	Yes	BUY	1,072	0¢	$1	0x4dfa0f…
01-26 12:40:59	bill clinton in jail by december 31	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x197952…
01-23 03:56:20	will the price of ethereum be between 3600 3700 on january 23	Yes	BUY	1,067	0¢	$1	0x4d42d4…
01-21 14:10:50	nicols maduro released from custody by january 31 2026	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x6be69b…
01-20 09:22:40	nicols maduro released from custody by january 31 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x9aa642…
01-19 02:59:46	ethereum above 2900 on january 19	Yes	BUY	1,060	100¢	$1,058	0xd4a15f…
01-18 02:46:10	will the price of bitcoin be between 86000 88000 on january 18	No	BUY	1,057	100¢	$1,056	0xe364f0…
01-17 03:25:32	ethereum above 3500 on january 17	No	BUY	1,057	100¢	$1,055	0x46aa3d…
01-16 01:57:10	bitcoin above 102k on january 16	No	BUY	1,054	100¢	$1,053	0xa87a30…
01-15 02:33:28	will the price of ethereum be between 2900 3000 on january 15	No	BUY	1,054	100¢	$1,052	0xaf418c…
01-15 02:31:08	will the price of ethereum be between 2900 3000 on january 15	Yes	BUY	1,065	1¢	$13	0x7bd527…
01-14 02:32:36	will the price of bitcoin be between 86000 88000 on january 14	No	BUY	1,065	100¢	$1,063	0x0271d9…
01-13 02:30:27	ethereum above 3500 on january 13	No	BUY	1,062	100¢	$1,061	0x94d6a6…
01-12 02:27:50	ethereum above 2800 on january 12	Yes	BUY	1,061	100¢	$1,060	0x504912…
01-11 02:06:06	ethereum above 3300 on january 11	No	BUY	1,061	100¢	$1,059	0xc9191d…
01-10 09:57:20	will the price of ethereum be between 3300 3400 on january 10	No	BUY	1,057	100¢	$1,056	0xc6d612…
01-03 07:44:05	will the price of ethereum be greater than 3400 on january 3	Yes	BUY	1,072	0¢	$1	0x6c03f4…
01-03 07:42:57	will the price of ethereum be greater than 3400 on january 3	Yes	BUY	1,070	0¢	$1	0x30e053…
01-03 07:41:25	will the price of ethereum be greater than 3400 on january 3	Yes	BUY	1,064	0¢	$1	0x9d6993…
01-03 07:34:49	ethereum above 2900 on january 3	No	BUY	1,066	0¢	$1	0x12cf3a…
01-03 07:32:53	ethereum above 2900 on january 3	No	BUY	1,078	0¢	$1	0x3f3acd…