Complex-Outlaw — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$249

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-28

last 05-23 01:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

44% 33% $-5

Other

33% 100% +$4

Politics

23% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Eric Swalwell out as US Rep by May 31?	1	$20	38	+38	open	—	04-13 21:03
bitcoin above 70k on april 13	1	$16	20	+20	open	—	04-13 08:02
btc updown 5m 1774737000	1	$10	23	+23	open	—	03-28 22:30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	1	$10	16	+16	open	—	04-14 20:37
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	1	$10	13	+13	open	—	04-12 05:25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	1	$7	19	+19	open	—	04-17 21:09
Kash Patel out by May 31?	1	$7	21	+21	open	—	04-29 02:16
btc updown 5m 1776120900	1	$7	17	+17	open	—	04-13 22:58
btc updown 5m 1774839600	1	$7	13	+13	open	—	03-30 03:01
Trump out as President by April 30?	1	$5	312	+312	open	—	04-05 23:18
will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on april 1	1	$5	8	+8	open	—	04-01 09:14
will trump say ballroom during the white house easter egg roll	1	$5	9	+9	open	—	04-05 07:23
will trump say fed or federal reserve during no tax on tips roundtable	1	$5	8	+8	open	—	04-16 23:39
Will Solana reach $100 in April?	1	$5	17	+17	open	—	04-17 03:21
will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on april 15	1	$5	8	+8	open	—	04-15 04:22
will trump say womens sports during no tax on tips roundtable	1	$5	13	+13	open	—	04-16 23:39
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	1	$5	10	+10	open	—	03-28 08:26
trump declassifies new ufo files by april 30	1	$5	10	+10	open	—	04-18 02:57
ethereum above 2100 on april 8	1	$5	7	+7	open	—	04-06 22:24
usisrael strike yemen by march 31	1	$5	10	+10	open	—	03-28 22:29
btc updown 5m 1775035800	1	$5	9	+9	open	—	04-01 09:34
will rory mcilroy win the 2026 masters tournament	1	$5	21	+21	open	—	04-10 10:09
Will Jorge Nieto finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	1	$5	7	+7	open	—	04-13 20:57
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	1	$5	9	+9	Yes	+$4	04-19 19:47
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	1	$5	9	+9	open	—	03-28 08:09
Solana Up or Down on April 29?	1	$5	7	+7	open	—	04-29 02:20
Will Trump say "Trump-Class" or "Trump Fleet" in May?	1	$5	6	+6	open	—	05-12 19:55
bitcoin above 66k on march 29	1	$5	6	+6	open	—	03-29 04:02
bitcoin above 66k on april 3	1	$4	5	+5	open	—	04-02 19:34
Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/18-5/24)	1	$4	11	+11	open	—	05-23 01:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-23 01:09:44	Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/18-5/24)	Yes	BUY	11	36¢	$4	0x943970…
05-14 23:08:58	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x7d393a…
05-14 00:06:52	Will Trump say "TikTok" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xfba3e2…
05-12 23:18:16	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0x23fc00…
05-12 21:58:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0x05fda8…
05-12 19:55:37	Will Trump say "Trump-Class" or "Trump Fleet" in May?	Yes	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x75f341…
05-10 03:10:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x9780be…
05-10 03:05:15	Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0x011fc8…
05-01 00:54:38	James Comey charges dropped by May 31?	Yes	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0xfa2658…
04-30 20:01:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x0cab18…
04-30 07:14:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x44da22…
04-29 06:57:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 29?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x8da0cf…
04-29 02:22:46	James Comey arrested by April 29?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x7be54b…
04-29 02:20:24	Solana Up or Down on April 29?	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x73a759…
04-29 02:16:20	Kash Patel out by May 31?	Yes	BUY	21	33¢	$7	0xb1a5b1…
04-19 19:49:04	bitcoin above 76k on april 20	Yes	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x56cf0a…
04-19 19:47:32	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xd2fdfd…
04-18 02:57:56	trump declassifies new ufo files by april 30	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xa1c375…
04-17 21:09:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	19	36¢	$7	0x0469e3…
04-17 03:21:20	Will Solana reach $100 in April?	Yes	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xf05061…
04-16 23:39:48	will trump say fed or federal reserve during no tax on tips roundtable	Yes	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xfd5928…
04-16 23:39:30	will trump say womens sports during no tax on tips roundtable	Yes	BUY	13	37¢	$5	0xb3ef5c…
04-15 04:22:54	will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on april 15	Yes	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xca5470…
04-14 20:37:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	Yes	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x601d3f…
04-13 22:58:45	btc updown 5m 1776120900	Up	BUY	17	42¢	$7	0x569500…
04-13 21:03:37	Eric Swalwell out as US Rep by May 31?	Yes	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0xac2747…
04-13 20:57:35	Will Jorge Nieto finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xdd2e8f…
04-13 08:02:43	bitcoin above 70k on april 13	Yes	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0x1f18ad…
04-13 08:02:11	bitcoin above 72k on april 13	Yes	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0xfe3147…
04-12 05:25:25	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xeabfda…
04-10 10:09:11	will rory mcilroy win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xde0205…
04-06 22:24:47	ethereum above 2100 on april 8	Yes	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xcc9b73…
04-06 02:41:41	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$60k	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x61b61b…
04-05 23:18:01	Trump out as President by April 30?	Yes	BUY	312	2¢	$5	0x2e7aac…
04-05 07:23:33	will trump say ballroom during the white house easter egg roll	Yes	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xd3648b…
04-05 07:22:01	elon musk of tweets april 4 april 6 65 89	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x1ba855…
04-05 07:20:31	Kash Patel out by April 30?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x5d28fa…
04-03 20:11:45	will bitcoin dip to 66k on april 3	Yes	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0x0d2185…
04-02 19:34:31	bitcoin above 66k on april 3	Yes	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x8e074c…
04-01 19:08:17	will trump say ceasefire or peace deal during address to the nation	Yes	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x5141df…
04-01 09:34:35	btc updown 5m 1775035800	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x8579ec…
04-01 09:22:41	will trump say obliterated or obliteration during the easter lunch on wednesday	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x7ae594…
04-01 09:14:49	will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on april 1	Yes	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x1e210d…
03-30 19:22:41	eth updown 5m 1774898400	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x123c7a…
03-30 03:01:38	btc updown 5m 1774839600	Up	BUY	13	53¢	$7	0x59b0f4…
03-30 02:37:32	iran leadership change by march 31	Yes	BUY	91	2¢	$2	0xa4d840…
03-29 22:26:14	btc updown 5m 1774823100	Down	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x7e0c66…
03-29 19:14:52	btc updown 5m 1774811400	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xab707d…
03-29 05:52:42	btc updown 5m 1774763400	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x8aaf2b…
03-29 04:59:10	btc updown 5m 1774760100	Up	BUY	7	12¢	$1	0x7f2539…
03-29 04:06:14	btc updown 5m 1774757100	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x28a82f…
03-29 04:02:28	bitcoin above 66k on march 29	Yes	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x8035a7…
03-28 22:30:30	btc updown 5m 1774737000	Up	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x8456e9…
03-28 22:29:36	usisrael strike yemen by march 31	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xa5c91c…
03-28 08:26:37	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xe742c3…
03-28 08:12:49	btc updown 5m 1774685400	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x0eff17…
03-28 08:09:55	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x5bc445…