Astonishing-Wire — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

59.2%

Resolved

Trades

172

lifetime

Volume

$605

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-29

last 07-08 18:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 50% $-12

Other

5% 100% +$4

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 82 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (14) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes		+15	$7	44¢	$7	$-0	07-08 18:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	9	$82	126	70	+56	open	—	04-30 04:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	19	$59	336	0	+336	open	—	04-30 04:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	11	$41	102	0	+102	Up	+$2	05-06 23:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	10	$39	71	0	+71	open	—	04-30 04:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	9	$37	71	0	+71	open	—	04-30 05:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	10	$28	59	0	+59	Up	+$0	05-07 00:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	7	$25	45	0	+45	Down	$-8	05-07 00:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	6	$21	38	0	+38	Down	$-6	05-07 00:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	7	$21	87	0	+87	Down	$-3	05-06 23:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	4	$20	127	10	+117	open	—	04-30 05:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	6	$19	41	0	+41	open	—	04-30 04:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	4	$17	66	0	+66	open	—	04-30 04:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	5	$17	50	0	+50	Up	+$4	05-06 23:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	3	$16	21	0	+21	Down	$-5	05-07 00:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	4	$16	39	0	+39	Up	+$4	05-06 23:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	5	$15	26	0	+26	open	—	04-30 04:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	8	$14	34	0	+34	Down	+$1	05-06 23:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	3	$14	21	0	+21	Up	+$7	05-06 23:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	5	$12	19	12	+6	open	—	05-04 18:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	4	$12	16	0	+16	open	—	04-30 04:24
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	1	$10	14	0	+14	Yes	+$4	05-04 17:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	4	$9	18	0	+18	open	—	05-04 17:58
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	1	$7	15	0	+15	open	—	07-08 18:43
Will Powell say "Good Afternoon" during April press conference?	1	$7	7	0	+7	open	—	04-29 17:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	4	$5	84	0	+84	Down	$-5	05-07 00:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	3	$5	50	0	+50	Down	$-5	05-07 00:23
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	05-04 17:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	3	$4	33	0	+33	open	—	04-30 00:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	1	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	05-04 17:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	2	$4	8	0	+8	Up	$-1	05-06 23:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-08 18:43:17	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	45¢	$7	0xed5994…
06-26 00:38:11	btc updown 5m 1782434100	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x11bc6b…
05-07 00:33:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0xcb3831…
05-07 00:33:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0x5a3aa0…
05-07 00:32:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0x2de185…
05-07 00:32:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x140fb1…
05-07 00:31:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	11	62¢	$7	0x18ca84…
05-07 00:31:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	39¢	$2	0x5b8f35…
05-07 00:25:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xa3b69a…
05-07 00:23:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xb792f5…
05-07 00:21:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x85fdb4…
05-07 00:20:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0x5a2034…
05-07 00:19:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	75	2¢	$2	0xfe8855…
05-07 00:16:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x1039f3…
05-07 00:16:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xb30dd6…
05-07 00:15:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x66cf13…
05-07 00:14:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0x597d83…
05-07 00:13:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xf79e95…
05-07 00:13:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x20f377…
05-07 00:12:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xb8c2fa…
05-07 00:11:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xe3b897…
05-07 00:11:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x10a1eb…
05-07 00:11:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x29e716…
05-07 00:10:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xb3413a…
05-07 00:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x7e73a5…
05-07 00:10:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xbb3eb2…
05-07 00:08:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x71c437…
05-07 00:06:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	55¢	$1	0x3e08d3…
05-07 00:05:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x26f4d0…
05-07 00:04:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	12	56¢	$7	0x134c82…
05-07 00:03:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	62¢	$2	0x9e563e…
05-07 00:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xcb7cdb…
05-07 00:02:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xc30390…
05-07 00:01:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xf29910…
05-07 00:01:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x67aac2…
05-07 00:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x2dbbcb…
05-06 23:59:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x00b111…
05-06 23:59:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xdfb3c9…
05-06 23:59:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x3efda4…
05-06 23:56:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	13	52¢	$7	0x91c63e…
05-06 23:53:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	98¢	$2	0x87bc80…
05-06 23:53:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xafeb55…
05-06 23:53:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xabeb90…
05-06 23:52:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x1eda1e…
05-06 23:52:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x4a97e2…
05-06 23:51:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0xb6edb3…
05-06 23:51:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xb14767…
05-06 23:51:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xbaa6eb…
05-06 23:51:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xb0842e…
05-06 23:50:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x1c5c0a…
05-06 23:50:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x6b8edb…
05-06 23:49:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xbd6022…
05-06 23:49:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xcf0d3e…
05-06 23:49:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x320e17…
05-06 23:48:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x56eb06…
05-06 23:48:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x081ef1…
05-06 23:47:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xf949d1…
05-06 23:46:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	9	16¢	$2	0xc3b9aa…
05-06 23:45:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x690d96…
05-06 23:44:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0x8ec6fa…
05-06 23:43:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	16	7¢	$1	0x7b406a…
05-06 23:43:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0xee51f5…
05-06 23:42:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	13	12¢	$2	0x9a6420…
05-06 23:40:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	14	53¢	$7	0xdece9c…
05-06 23:38:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0xbee49a…
05-06 23:38:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x09e8f1…
05-06 23:38:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xacc507…
05-06 23:37:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x5c14e2…
05-06 23:37:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x29d3b0…
05-06 23:36:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x2e0106…
05-06 23:36:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	22¢	$2	0x471ffb…
05-06 23:34:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x5bbce9…
05-06 23:33:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xc7950e…
05-06 23:31:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	45¢	$4	0xa585fa…
05-06 23:29:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0x9de43b…
05-06 23:29:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x857fca…
05-04 18:03:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x5468cf…
05-04 18:03:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	12	52¢	$6	0xd9deb5…
05-04 18:02:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0xe185b3…
05-04 18:01:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x1ea8a9…
05-04 18:01:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xf370dc…
05-04 17:58:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x95bfd0…
05-04 17:57:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x7de24b…
05-04 17:57:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x1cc250…
05-04 17:56:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	43¢	$3	0xdabf80…
05-04 17:54:54	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	192	1¢	$2	0x5c332a…
05-04 17:53:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x4b93b4…
05-04 17:52:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	Yes	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x1459a5…
05-04 17:51:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x44a2d1…
04-30 05:07:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	92¢	$8	0x202871…
04-30 05:07:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x0cf48a…
04-30 05:07:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x18b0f2…
04-30 05:07:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x455082…
04-30 05:06:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x2cee4b…
04-30 05:06:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	24	18¢	$4	0x8c9bc0…
04-30 05:06:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x3d9f40…
04-30 05:06:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x297d23…
04-30 05:06:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x7ba36d…
04-30 05:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x47575f…
04-30 05:03:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x58cca9…