Mad-Confidence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$332

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-27

last 05-08 16:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

75% 75% $-1

Sports

21% 17% +$2

Other

2% — —

Politics

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (10) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1774632600	10	$84	98	97	+1	open	—	03-27 17:34
btc updown 5m 1774821300	5	$22	37	37	+0	open	—	03-29 21:58
Timberwolves vs. Spurs	1	$15	52	0	+52	Timberwolves	+$37	05-05 02:43
btc updown 5m 1774633200	3	$14	25	10	+16	open	—	03-27 17:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	2	$13	16	16	+0	Up	+$3	05-06 05:26
btc updown 5m 1774633500	4	$13	29	29	+0	open	—	03-27 17:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	2	$12	17	17	+0	Up	+$2	05-08 15:57
btc updown 5m 1774634700	2	$10	15	15	+0	open	—	03-27 18:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	2	$10	11	11	+0	Down	+$0	05-06 01:28
Timberwolves vs. Spurs	1	$10	43	0	+43	Spurs	$-10	05-06 05:21
Thunder vs. Lakers	1	$10	42	0	+42	Thunder	$-10	05-08 16:00
btc updown 5m 1774632900	3	$9	15	15	+0	open	—	03-27 17:38
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	1	$8	24	0	+24	open	—	04-09 05:28
btc updown 5m 1774739700	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	03-28 23:17
nba mia was 2026 04 10	3	$7	60	22	+38	open	—	04-10 07:44
btc updown 5m 1775712600	2	$6	24	0	+24	open	—	04-09 05:32
btc updown 5m 1774668000	2	$6	9	9	+0	open	—	03-28 03:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	2	$6	44	0	+44	Down	$-6	05-06 05:23
will bitcoin dip to 65k on march 27	1	$5	54	0	+54	open	—	03-27 23:09
Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 20.5	1	$5	9	0	+9	No	$-5	05-06 05:21
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: 1H Moneyline	1	$5	14	0	+14	Spurs	$-5	05-06 05:20
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	1	$5	17	0	+17	open	—	03-29 20:19
will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	1	$5	63	0	+63	open	—	03-28 23:14
nba mia ind 2026 03 29	1	$5	19	0	+19	open	—	03-29 21:49
Lakers vs. Thunder: 1H Moneyline	1	$5	23	0	+23	Thunder	$-5	05-06 01:24
btc updown 5m 1774652400	2	$5	5	5	+0	open	—	03-27 23:02
btc updown 5m 1776919500	2	$4	5	5	+0	open	—	04-23 04:49
bitcoin up or down march 27 2026 1pm et	1	$3	150	0	+150	open	—	03-27 17:50
bitcoin above 60k on march 29	1	$3	1,500	0	+1,500	open	—	03-28 23:12
nba was por 2026 03 29	1	$3	33	0	+33	open	—	03-29 21:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-08 16:00:56	Thunder vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0xe55ef7…
05-08 15:57:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	17	38¢	$7	0x90eb8c…
05-08 15:57:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x23c1ed…
05-06 05:26:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	SELL	16	51¢	$8	0xa819d3…
05-06 05:25:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x842a29…
05-06 05:23:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x84c171…
05-06 05:21:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x034104…
05-06 05:21:34	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x7f527e…
05-06 05:21:00	Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 20.5	Yes	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x32183d…
05-06 05:20:44	Timberwolves vs. Spurs: 1H Moneyline	Timberwolves	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x4740bd…
05-06 01:28:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	11	48¢	$5	0xbc60a6…
05-06 01:25:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xc2462b…
05-06 01:24:42	Lakers vs. Thunder: 1H Moneyline	Lakers	BUY	23	21¢	$5	0xf0ba06…
05-05 02:43:26	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	BUY	52	29¢	$15	0x262f90…
04-23 04:49:58	btc updown 5m 1776919500	Up	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x12ab83…
04-23 04:47:10	btc updown 5m 1776919500	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x4b6838…
04-10 07:44:51	nba mia was 2026 04 10	Wizards	BUY	38	8¢	$3	0x85d176…
04-10 07:38:15	nba mia was 2026 04 10	Wizards	SELL	22	7¢	$2	0x45533b…
04-09 05:38:45	btc updown 5m 1775712900	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x5d6715…
04-09 05:37:23	btc updown 5m 1775712900	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xc8800e…
04-09 05:32:39	btc updown 5m 1775712600	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x19d4ed…
04-09 05:32:11	btc updown 5m 1775712600	Down	BUY	14	32¢	$4	0xf5d402…
04-09 05:30:23	nba mia was 2026 04 10	Wizards	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x0748b5…
04-09 05:29:31	nba chi was 2026 04 09	Wizards	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xb1f528…
04-09 05:29:25	nba mia tor 2026 04 09	Heat	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x0b89ab…
04-09 05:28:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	No	BUY	24	33¢	$8	0xfea370…
03-29 22:00:44	will iran strike iraq again in march	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xdc2071…
03-29 21:58:36	btc updown 5m 1774821300	Down	SELL	24	34¢	$8	0x014ca3…
03-29 21:56:48	btc updown 5m 1774821300	Down	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x72989f…
03-29 21:56:20	btc updown 5m 1774821300	Down	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0x442c96…
03-29 21:55:58	btc updown 5m 1774821300	Down	SELL	12	49¢	$6	0x2721bb…
03-29 21:55:32	btc updown 5m 1774821300	Down	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0x34834d…
03-29 21:50:46	nba was por 2026 03 29	Wizards	BUY	33	9¢	$3	0x57edec…
03-29 21:49:44	nba mia ind 2026 03 29	Pacers	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xabbec1…
03-29 20:19:22	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xdd1887…
03-28 23:17:24	btc updown 5m 1774739700	Down	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xe7a188…
03-28 23:15:32	btc updown 5m 1774739700	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xffce26…
03-28 23:14:24	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	63	8¢	$5	0x03b3cf…
03-28 23:13:34	bitcoin above 74k on march 29	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x56dccb…
03-28 23:12:16	bitcoin above 60k on march 29	No	BUY	1,500	0¢	$3	0xa8c2b1…
03-28 23:07:52	btc updown 5m 1774739100	Up	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0x320e75…
03-28 03:22:23	btc updown 5m 1774668000	Down	SELL	9	37¢	$3	0x2f27f0…
03-28 03:20:33	btc updown 5m 1774668000	Down	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x489afb…
03-27 23:11:29	bitcoin above 74k on march 28	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x0e0d4c…
03-27 23:09:39	will bitcoin dip to 65k on march 27	Yes	BUY	54	9¢	$5	0xfd3b99…
03-27 23:02:15	btc updown 5m 1774652400	Down	SELL	5	49¢	$3	0x00c0f2…
03-27 23:01:29	btc updown 5m 1774652400	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x8171ca…
03-27 18:09:39	btc updown 5m 1774634700	Down	SELL	15	49¢	$7	0xbca81c…
03-27 18:07:25	btc updown 5m 1774634700	Down	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x9b168e…
03-27 17:50:17	bitcoin up or down march 27 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	150	2¢	$3	0x4d0fc2…
03-27 17:47:49	btc updown 5m 1774633500	Down	SELL	19	20¢	$4	0x00f4e0…
03-27 17:47:21	btc updown 5m 1774633500	Down	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0xfcdef6…
03-27 17:46:17	btc updown 5m 1774633500	Down	SELL	10	33¢	$3	0xd36ef2…
03-27 17:45:35	btc updown 5m 1774633500	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xd2127b…
03-27 17:42:31	btc updown 5m 1774633200	Up	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0xf9ac13…
03-27 17:42:13	btc updown 5m 1774633200	Down	SELL	10	85¢	$8	0xfa83df…
03-27 17:41:19	btc updown 5m 1774633200	Down	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xccac78…
03-27 17:38:49	btc updown 5m 1774632900	Up	SELL	15	30¢	$4	0x0a2f9e…
03-27 17:36:57	btc updown 5m 1774632900	Up	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xad0e15…
03-27 17:35:35	btc updown 5m 1774632900	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x0468b8…
03-27 17:34:17	btc updown 5m 1774632600	Up	SELL	50	77¢	$38	0x5ac1b3…
03-27 17:33:57	btc updown 5m 1774632600	Up	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x01b7bc…
03-27 17:33:33	btc updown 5m 1774632600	Up	SELL	10	40¢	$4	0xe5f6b9…
03-27 17:33:01	btc updown 5m 1774632600	Up	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x5c9e0c…
03-27 17:32:49	btc updown 5m 1774632600	Down	SELL	26	50¢	$13	0xa01f08…
03-27 17:32:15	btc updown 5m 1774632600	Down	BUY	26	42¢	$11	0xbac782…
03-27 17:31:51	btc updown 5m 1774632600	Down	SELL	7	49¢	$4	0x87c2df…
03-27 17:31:31	btc updown 5m 1774632600	Up	SELL	5	75¢	$3	0x8ba516…
03-27 17:31:17	btc updown 5m 1774632600	Down	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x1ec4ff…
03-27 17:30:27	btc updown 5m 1774632600	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x443e1a…