Gifted-Shipper — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$474

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

25.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$57.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$721

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 06-10 02:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

43% — —

Politics

29% — —

Other

18% 100% +$133

Sports

9% 33% $-607

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	2	$13.8K	2,500	15,370	-12,870	open	—	06-03 06:28
will elon and doge cut less than 50b in federal spending in 2025	2	$8.2K	8,224	0	+8,224	open	—	01-25 06:34
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	3	$4.0K	4,262	0	+4,262	open	—	03-05 02:54
will the government shutdown last 30 days or more 558 354 297 785 675	1	$3.5K	3,625	0	+3,625	open	—	01-29 06:01
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	2	$3.4K	3,454	0	+3,454	open	—	02-04 01:53
ufc cur1 jos52 2026 04 11	6	$2.2K	1,585	1,576	+9	open	—	04-12 03:07
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?	1	$2.0K	2,151	0	+2,151	open	—	05-26 06:47
will powell say good afternoon during january press conference 696 565	1	$2.0K	2,032	0	+2,032	open	—	01-28 02:10
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	3	$1.8K	921	921	+0	open	—	04-21 01:38
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	2	$1.6K	930	930	+0	open	—	06-01 01:56
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	3	$1.3K	677	677	+0	open	—	02-25 02:42
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	3	$1.3K	880	440	+440	open	—	05-11 03:23
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	2	$1.1K	783	783	+0	open	—	04-01 03:06
ufc rob2 rau2 2026 03 07	4	$1.0K	548	548	+0	open	—	03-08 03:59
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$1.0K	521	521	+0	open	—	04-28 03:50
Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$1000	1,068	0	+1,068	open	—	05-14 02:19
ufc rei1 cai2 2026 03 07	4	$930	1,079	0	+1,079	open	—	03-08 04:18
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T	1	$800	842	0	+842	open	—	06-10 02:26
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	4	$758	3,065	0	+3,065	open	—	05-21 08:06
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	1	$642	676	0	+676	open	—	05-11 03:23
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	2	$579	706	0	+706	Sean Strickland	$-579	05-10 04:39
Will Trump say "Mao" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$500	575	0	+575	open	—	05-14 02:20
will trump say six seven during the 2026 state of the union address	1	$500	550	0	+550	open	—	02-25 02:35
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$430	455	455	+0	open	—	03-24 02:01
Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$400	467	0	+467	open	—	05-14 08:05
ufc cod1 xia 2026 03 07	2	$315	216	216	+0	open	—	03-08 02:22
will elon and doge cut more than 250b in federal spending in 2025	1	$310	0	313	-313	open	—	01-30 02:49
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	2	$220	159	159	+0	open	—	06-01 01:57
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	1	$214	249	0	+249	open	—	05-11 01:34
ufc ros1 nat7 2026 01 24	2	$202	380	380	+0	open	—	01-25 02:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 02:26:18	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T	No	BUY	842	95¢	$800	0x5661a4…
06-03 06:28:13	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,500	0¢	$10	0xe5e34a…
06-01 01:57:09	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	159	76¢	$120	0x37a668…
06-01 01:56:41	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	930	90¢	$837	0x25ec4e…
05-29 03:05:45	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	159	63¢	$100	0x1ad661…
05-28 06:28:55	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	930	86¢	$800	0x38a06a…
05-28 03:11:34	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	15,370	90¢	$13,789	0x0522d5…
05-26 07:38:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	89	6¢	$5	0xe18787…
05-26 06:47:25	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?	No	BUY	2,151	93¢	$2,000	0x33dab3…
05-21 08:06:29	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x0ae3db…
05-19 03:03:00	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	588	2¢	$10	0xa38be6…
05-16 05:17:20	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1,087	2¢	$25	0xccc0bc…
05-14 08:05:02	Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	467	86¢	$400	0x76c27a…
05-14 02:20:40	Will Trump say "Mao" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	575	87¢	$500	0xac12f6…
05-14 02:19:45	Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	1,068	94¢	$1,000	0x0e5daa…
05-14 02:19:26	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	890	81¢	$722	0xc174ca…
05-11 03:23:28	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	676	95¢	$642	0x1565f2…
05-11 03:23:07	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	SELL	440	100¢	$438	0xb82ed1…
05-11 01:34:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	249	86¢	$214	0x9e4b4a…
05-10 04:39:26	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Khamzat Chimaev	BUY	96	82¢	$79	0xcec3aa…
05-10 04:14:33	UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Alexander Volkov	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x6dc747…
05-10 04:12:34	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Khamzat Chimaev	BUY	610	82¢	$500	0x880e0f…
05-10 03:34:53	UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)	Tatsuro Taira	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x7f5cc0…
05-10 03:30:06	UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)	Tatsuro Taira	BUY	71	35¢	$25	0x4e7d3f…
05-10 02:48:57	UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Alexander Volkov	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x8bbbf4…
05-07 01:14:21	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	BUY	311	96¢	$300	0xb89187…
05-06 02:46:16	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	BUY	569	97¢	$550	0x608ad4…
04-29 07:34:56	Will Trump say "Iran" during King Charles visit?	No	BUY	57	87¢	$50	0xfd24af…
04-29 07:25:32	Will Trump say "Crypto / Bitcoin" during King Charles visit?	No	BUY	211	95¢	$200	0x1ca322…
04-28 03:50:08	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	521	100¢	$520	0xd619fc…
04-21 01:46:36	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	521	96¢	$500	0xb72e6e…
04-21 01:38:58	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	460	100¢	$459	0xac7087…
04-12 03:07:41	ufc cur1 jos52 2026 04 11	Josh Hokit	SELL	650	100¢	$650	0x1127e0…
04-12 02:49:19	ufc cur1 jos52 2026 04 11	Josh Hokit	BUY	304	92¢	$280	0x34d515…
04-12 02:47:17	ufc cur1 jos52 2026 04 11	Curtis Blaydes	SELL	564	11¢	$62	0xe094d7…
04-12 02:44:45	ufc cur1 jos52 2026 04 11	Josh Hokit	SELL	361	61¢	$220	0xf443cb…
04-12 02:33:57	ufc cur1 jos52 2026 04 11	Curtis Blaydes	BUY	566	86¢	$490	0xd09f20…
04-12 02:33:23	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	460	99¢	$457	0x0cb80d…
04-12 02:31:03	ufc cur1 jos52 2026 04 11	Josh Hokit	BUY	714	70¢	$500	0x08d856…
04-12 02:12:09	ufc joh dom 2026 04 11	Johnny Walker	BUY	59	51¢	$30	0x3f603c…
04-01 03:06:39	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	SELL	783	76¢	$597	0x43024e…
03-24 02:01:01	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	455	51¢	$230	0xfb9304…
03-23 06:12:49	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	921	96¢	$880	0x9198f8…
03-23 02:59:47	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	455	44¢	$200	0xc568fc…
03-20 09:23:59	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	BUY	333	60¢	$200	0x2ffdb7…
03-20 09:23:35	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	783	64¢	$500	0xa80e52…
03-08 04:56:11	ufc cha1 max1 2026 03 07	Max Holloway	SELL	112	28¢	$31	0x154758…
03-08 04:53:21	ufc cha1 max1 2026 03 07	Max Holloway	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x61ab66…
03-08 04:47:39	ufc cha1 max1 2026 03 07	Max Holloway	BUY	67	30¢	$20	0x593d73…
03-08 04:18:19	ufc rei1 cai2 2026 03 07	Caio Borralho	BUY	521	96¢	$500	0xd14972…
03-08 04:15:37	ufc rei1 cai2 2026 03 07	Caio Borralho	BUY	268	75¢	$200	0x8fe3b4…
03-08 04:14:35	ufc rei1 cai2 2026 03 07	Caio Borralho	BUY	157	83¢	$130	0x8bda43…
03-08 04:08:29	ufc rei1 cai2 2026 03 07	Caio Borralho	BUY	133	75¢	$100	0xdf5c93…
03-08 03:59:39	ufc rob2 rau2 2026 03 07	Raul Rosas Jr.	SELL	548	100¢	$548	0x0eb619…
03-08 03:38:23	ufc rob2 rau2 2026 03 07	Raul Rosas Jr.	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0xf88526…
03-08 03:37:51	ufc rob2 rau2 2026 03 07	Raul Rosas Jr.	BUY	225	89¢	$200	0x1a9b62…
03-08 03:37:01	ufc rob2 rau2 2026 03 07	Raul Rosas Jr.	BUY	215	93¢	$200	0x22e90a…
03-08 02:22:57	ufc cod1 xia 2026 03 07	Cody Garbrandt	SELL	216	100¢	$215	0xc2b02a…
03-06 01:48:03	will balendra balen shah be the next prime minister of nepal	No	BUY	208	12¢	$25	0x104a77…
03-05 02:54:43	Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	No	BUY	1,623	92¢	$1,500	0x55dd6d…
03-05 02:54:13	Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	No	BUY	1,086	92¢	$1,000	0x0e0f1e…
03-04 07:12:11	Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	No	BUY	1,553	97¢	$1,500	0x4a4874…
03-02 02:20:53	ufc cod1 xia 2026 03 07	Cody Garbrandt	BUY	216	46¢	$100	0xb48bcb…
02-25 02:42:32	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	No	SELL	677	99¢	$671	0x886172…
02-25 02:41:26	will trump say kamala or harris during the 2026 state of the union address 812	No	BUY	121	83¢	$100	0x1d6c7a…
02-25 02:35:06	will trump say six seven during the 2026 state of the union address	No	BUY	550	91¢	$500	0x89a44d…
02-25 02:34:46	will trump say middle east during the 2026 state of the union address 349	Yes	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x630983…
02-25 02:34:34	will trump say ai or artificial intelligence 2 times during the 2026 state of the union address 624 823	Yes	BUY	114	87¢	$100	0x8fe683…
02-10 02:58:47	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	No	BUY	32	83¢	$27	0xf2f905…
02-06 06:03:55	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	No	BUY	645	93¢	$600	0x668cb4…
02-04 01:53:26	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	3,069	98¢	$3,000	0xe0e68c…
01-30 02:50:14	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	385	95¢	$366	0x431d94…
01-30 02:49:50	will elon and doge cut more than 250b in federal spending in 2025	No	SELL	313	99¢	$310	0x43200e…
01-29 06:01:32	will the government shutdown last 30 days or more 558 354 297 785 675	No	BUY	3,625	97¢	$3,500	0x86c251…
01-28 02:10:11	will powell say good afternoon during january press conference 696 565	Yes	BUY	2,032	98¢	$2,000	0x635c6d…
01-25 06:34:26	will elon and doge cut less than 50b in federal spending in 2025	Yes	BUY	209	96¢	$200	0x4d80fd…
01-25 02:50:14	ufc ros1 nat7 2026 01 24	Namajunas	SELL	380	27¢	$102	0xc1fc73…
01-22 08:59:10	ufc ros1 nat7 2026 01 24	Namajunas	BUY	380	26¢	$100	0xfcb2d2…
01-02 02:55:17	will elon and doge cut less than 50b in federal spending in 2025	Yes	BUY	8,016	100¢	$8,000	0x7eb0a3…