Busy-Conception — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

78.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$213

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-28

last 08-02 10:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Politics

56% 100% +$2

Other

24% 83% $-8

Crypto

11% 67% +$3

Sports

8% 33% $-6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (17) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	1	$73	0	80	-80	open	—	08-02 10:05
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	1	$14	14	0	+14	No	+$0	06-05 07:58
Iran leadership change by May 31?	1	$10	11	0	+11	No	+$1	05-20 07:17
spx opens up or down on april 6 2026	1	$10	16	0	+16	Up	$-10	04-04 06:04
lol we blg 2026 06 13	1	$10	10	0	+10	Bilibili Gaming	+$1	06-09 07:48
will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-21 10:20
iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by july 31 20260624040209014	1	$9	10	0	+10	No	+$0	07-03 06:27
bitcoin up or down on march 30 2026	1	$9	18	0	+18	Up	$-9	03-29 08:43
nhl tor ott 2026 04 15	1	$9	23	0	+23	Senators	$-9	04-15 08:32
iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	1	$8	9	0	+9	No	+$0	07-28 06:30
bitcoin above 70k on march 27	1	$8	14	0	+14	No	+$6	03-26 13:09
us announces end of iranian blockade by july 24 2026 20260713152715081 211	1	$8	9	0	+9	No	+$0	07-22 05:53
will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	1	$7	8	0	+8	No	+$0	07-16 08:19
btc updown 5m 1774173300	1	$7	14	0	+14	Down	+$7	03-22 09:26
nhl cal sea 2026 04 11	1	$7	12	0	+12	Kraken	+$5	04-11 07:46
lol hle1 milo 2026 07 15	1	$6	6	0	+6	Hanwha Life Esports	+$0	07-12 06:40
Will Marco Rubio have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	05-28 07:48
nba por cha 2026 02 28	1	$3	9	0	+9	Hornets	$-3	02-28 08:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-02 10:05:44	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	80	91¢	$73	0xba41b5…
07-28 06:30:30	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	No	BUY	9	96¢	$8	0xda150d…
07-22 05:53:13	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 24 2026 20260713152715081 211	No	BUY	9	96¢	$8	0xf83b8b…
07-16 08:19:38	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	No	BUY	8	96¢	$7	0x1af9ed…
07-12 06:40:32	lol hle1 milo 2026 07 15	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x07c130…
07-03 06:27:13	iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by july 31 20260624040209014	No	BUY	10	96¢	$9	0x0db785…
06-21 10:20:07	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x49baae…
06-09 07:48:51	lol we blg 2026 06 13	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	10	94¢	$10	0x626a8b…
06-05 07:58:00	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x7aa52a…
05-28 07:48:22	Will Marco Rubio have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xec6fec…
05-20 07:17:25	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xaa6c24…
04-15 08:32:14	nhl tor ott 2026 04 15	Maple Leafs	BUY	23	39¢	$9	0xe0abe0…
04-11 07:46:39	nhl cal sea 2026 04 11	Kraken	BUY	12	57¢	$7	0x15ee55…
04-04 06:04:25	spx opens up or down on april 6 2026	Down	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x60d899…
03-29 08:43:16	bitcoin up or down on march 30 2026	Down	BUY	18	50¢	$9	0xe323ba…
03-26 13:09:55	bitcoin above 70k on march 27	No	BUY	14	60¢	$8	0x1421db…
03-22 09:26:11	btc updown 5m 1774173300	Down	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0x016c1a…
02-28 08:41:33	nba por cha 2026 02 28	Trail Blazers	BUY	9	27¢	$3	0xc1714d…