Short-Agenda — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

12.9%

Resolved

Trades

837

lifetime

Volume

$15.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-25

last 06-08 04:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

61% 33% $-0

Sports

17% — —

Politics

12% — —

Tech

6% — —

Crypto

4% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

44 active days in 12wk • peak 133 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves	2	$785	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	05-05 06:26
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - 76ers vs. Celtics	16	$590	760	200	+560	open	—	05-03 01:54
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	1	$496	0	500	-500	open	—	06-02 13:42
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?	25	$453	682	682	+0	open	—	04-16 20:06
Hawks vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5	3	$397	412	412	+0	open	—	04-28 10:08
qqq up or down on april 16 2026	8	$377	336	336	+0	open	—	04-16 12:02
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets	1	$373	500	0	+500	open	—	05-01 02:04
tsla up or down on april 13 2026	8	$364	290	290	+0	open	—	04-13 13:37
spx opens up or down on april 14 2026	11	$348	310	310	+0	open	—	04-14 11:17
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	4	$276	200	200	+0	open	—	04-19 02:48
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	6	$269	389	389	+0	open	—	03-30 07:19
Will Claude 4.7 be released on or prior to April 16, 2026?	22	$260	780	780	+0	open	—	04-16 05:32
pltr up or down on april 14 2026	7	$241	254	254	+0	open	—	04-14 06:16
abnb up or down on april 13 2026	9	$237	215	215	+0	open	—	04-13 08:05
ng up or down on april 16 2026	5	$227	226	226	+0	open	—	04-16 09:17
meta up or down on april 13 2026	5	$225	159	159	+0	open	—	04-13 13:04
msft up or down on april 13 2026	19	$222	175	175	+0	open	—	04-13 13:38
wti up or down on april 16 2026	3	$195	243	243	+0	open	—	04-16 09:42
qqq up or down on april 13 2026	19	$187	197	197	+0	open	—	04-13 13:36
aapl up or down on april 13 2026	9	$180	128	128	+0	open	—	04-13 13:06
spx opens up or down on april 9 2026	4	$179	173	173	+0	open	—	04-09 07:39
spx opens up or down on april 10 2026	6	$178	168	168	+0	open	—	04-10 09:26
will trump announce that the us x iran ceasefire has been broken by april 14 2026	6	$172	173	173	+0	open	—	04-10 04:38
Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?	10	$172	330	196	+134	open	—	03-31 15:16
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	10	$171	136	136	+0	open	—	04-25 18:04
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	4	$164	211	211	+0	open	—	04-10 08:07
spx opens up or down on april 1 2026	2	$162	180	180	+0	open	—	04-01 03:20
spy up or down on april 13 2026	4	$159	106	106	+0	open	—	04-13 07:02
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 260 279	6	$158	212	212	+0	open	—	04-03 14:39
Thunder vs. Spurs	2	$157	300	0	+300	open	—	05-23 01:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 04:10:54	will bitcoin dip to 50k in june 2026	No	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0x6e4d7e…
06-02 13:42:53	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	500	99¢	$496	0x23a712…
05-31 01:16:19	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0xaeb481…
05-29 01:04:43	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	SELL	100	77¢	$77	0x8635f3…
05-29 00:47:16	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	100	65¢	$65	0x858dd2…
05-23 01:34:40	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	100	41¢	$41	0x260347…
05-23 00:37:02	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	200	58¢	$116	0xb37784…
05-18 02:07:08	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	41	2¢	$1	0x02f589…
05-18 02:07:05	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	39	2¢	$1	0xb4235c…
05-18 02:07:05	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x797216…
05-05 06:26:34	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	BUY	500	65¢	$325	0xcff501…
05-03 01:54:30	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - 76ers vs. Celtics	Celtics	SELL	150	50¢	$75	0xa33f7e…
05-03 01:54:30	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - 76ers vs. Celtics	Celtics	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x71a6b7…
05-03 01:54:28	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - 76ers vs. Celtics	Celtics	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0xa30c5c…
05-03 01:43:32	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - 76ers vs. Celtics	Celtics	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0xbd977d…
05-03 01:43:32	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - 76ers vs. Celtics	Celtics	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0xab688f…
05-03 01:43:30	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - 76ers vs. Celtics	Celtics	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x271d13…
05-03 00:29:48	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - 76ers vs. Celtics	Celtics	BUY	105	46¢	$48	0x9f7087…
05-03 00:29:46	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - 76ers vs. Celtics	Celtics	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0xbf3517…
05-03 00:29:44	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - 76ers vs. Celtics	Celtics	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0xfc6a90…
05-03 00:29:44	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - 76ers vs. Celtics	Celtics	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x856241…
05-03 00:29:44	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - 76ers vs. Celtics	Celtics	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x313290…
05-03 00:26:06	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - 76ers vs. Celtics	Celtics	BUY	40	46¢	$19	0xf21451…
05-03 00:25:56	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - 76ers vs. Celtics	Celtics	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0xe3776f…
05-03 00:25:44	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - 76ers vs. Celtics	Celtics	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x74d73d…
05-02 12:07:18	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - 76ers vs. Celtics	Celtics	BUY	500	71¢	$355	0x11288e…
05-02 12:06:54	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - 76ers vs. Celtics	Celtics	BUY	60	71¢	$43	0xd584b7…
05-02 09:49:38	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	BUY	500	92¢	$460	0x065440…
05-01 02:33:26	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Timberwolves vs. Nuggets	Wolves	SELL	16	40¢	$6	0x4d0e52…
05-01 02:23:16	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Timberwolves vs. Nuggets	Wolves	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0x12f4b7…
05-01 02:23:14	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Timberwolves vs. Nuggets	Wolves	SELL	150	40¢	$60	0x1a421b…
05-01 02:14:32	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Timberwolves vs. Nuggets	Wolves	BUY	100	38¢	$38	0x78775a…
05-01 02:04:16	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Timberwolves vs. Nuggets	Wolves	BUY	68	42¢	$29	0xdce2cb…
05-01 02:04:08	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	500	75¢	$373	0xc82486…
04-28 10:08:22	Hawks vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5	Under	SELL	412	48¢	$198	0x22befc…
04-28 10:08:08	Hawks vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5	Under	BUY	375	48¢	$182	0x4bfe66…
04-28 10:08:08	Hawks vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5	Under	BUY	37	48¢	$18	0x3e5d74…
04-25 18:04:36	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	63¢	$2	0x2fc5c1…
04-25 14:02:10	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	63¢	$2	0xea87b0…
04-20 18:14:12	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	111	64¢	$71	0xb658da…
04-20 16:27:12	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	SELL	200	37¢	$74	0xd4076d…
04-20 14:36:58	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	200	37¢	$74	0x580c4d…
04-20 14:35:12	Will Green Party win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	SELL	30	67¢	$20	0x547bfa…
04-20 13:01:48	Will Green Party win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x295cd8…
04-19 09:29:28	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x1ed50b…
04-19 09:26:28	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0x3d7611…
04-19 08:52:48	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x219af6…
04-19 08:52:08	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0x0ef2b3…
04-19 06:49:36	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x035be1…
04-19 05:50:14	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	37¢	$4	0x625906…
04-19 04:41:20	Will Bob Menery enter the ring against Johnny Manziel?	Yes	SELL	104	32¢	$33	0x8a504b…
04-19 04:39:50	Will Bob Menery enter the ring against Johnny Manziel?	Yes	BUY	104	32¢	$33	0xb7f65f…
04-19 03:51:10	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	121	64¢	$78	0xa1d604…
04-19 02:48:26	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	126	69¢	$87	0x56be13…
04-19 02:48:10	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	16	69¢	$11	0x1ae311…
04-19 01:55:04	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	58	69¢	$40	0x4e2a2d…
04-19 01:28:04	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	200	69¢	$138	0x3f4bcb…
04-18 23:18:06	Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by April 30?	Yes	SELL	30	9¢	$3	0xe1aa27…
04-18 21:05:18	Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by April 30?	Yes	BUY	30	13¢	$4	0x4df124…
04-18 19:44:52	Will David Roth be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Idaho?	No	SELL	30	32¢	$10	0xcac829…
04-18 19:44:48	Will David Roth be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Idaho?	No	BUY	30	32¢	$10	0xe9337a…
04-18 11:06:58	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0xa7379f…
04-17 02:12:10	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	61	35¢	$21	0x0e9de8…
04-17 01:02:56	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	35¢	$1	0xcd7d2d…
04-17 00:59:38	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0x6b3fbd…
04-16 22:42:04	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	44¢	$4	0x1d82c4…
04-16 21:20:52	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x8efd7e…
04-16 20:25:42	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	93	44¢	$41	0xbdd27f…
04-16 20:06:40	Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	72¢	$10	0x92b844…
04-16 19:55:10	Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	72¢	$11	0x5e9b9b…
04-16 19:55:04	Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	72¢	$22	0x9912f7…
04-16 19:44:54	Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	58	76¢	$44	0x7bf303…
04-16 14:48:34	nvda up or down on april 16 2026	Up	SELL	9	37¢	$3	0x526ba9…
04-16 14:48:32	nvda up or down on april 16 2026	Up	SELL	15	37¢	$6	0xcb49f9…
04-16 14:48:12	nvda up or down on april 16 2026	Up	SELL	100	37¢	$37	0x680b7e…
04-16 12:51:04	googl up or down on april 16 2026	Up	SELL	47	45¢	$21	0x5594ae…
04-16 12:41:40	googl up or down on april 16 2026	Up	SELL	100	46¢	$46	0x14bf59…
04-16 12:24:30	tsla up or down on april 16 2026	Up	SELL	76	62¢	$47	0xb04d4c…
04-16 12:22:18	tsla up or down on april 16 2026	Up	SELL	10	63¢	$6	0x1ed31c…
04-16 12:02:56	qqq up or down on april 16 2026	Up	SELL	120	51¢	$61	0xe47281…
04-16 12:02:56	qqq up or down on april 16 2026	Up	SELL	13	51¢	$6	0x775d62…
04-16 11:58:02	qqq up or down on april 16 2026	Up	SELL	100	52¢	$52	0x1f86fb…
04-16 11:56:52	qqq up or down on april 16 2026	Up	SELL	35	55¢	$19	0xe57867…
04-16 11:52:36	rklb up or down on april 16 2026	Down	SELL	123	35¢	$43	0x70d2f4…
04-16 11:52:34	rklb up or down on april 16 2026	Down	BUY	123	35¢	$43	0xb866ca…
04-16 11:26:40	qqq up or down on april 16 2026	Up	SELL	9	55¢	$5	0x54abfb…
04-16 10:50:46	tsla up or down on april 16 2026	Up	BUY	86	70¢	$60	0xc7e6db…
04-16 10:49:08	googl up or down on april 16 2026	Up	BUY	147	55¢	$81	0xfbb3bc…
04-16 10:47:04	qqq up or down on april 16 2026	Up	BUY	276	58¢	$160	0x474283…
04-16 10:31:26	nvda up or down on april 16 2026	Up	BUY	124	61¢	$75	0xc565e4…
04-16 09:42:00	wti up or down on april 16 2026	Down	SELL	43	34¢	$15	0x36deb2…
04-16 09:30:52	wti up or down on april 16 2026	Down	SELL	200	34¢	$68	0x10edb9…
04-16 09:17:18	ng up or down on april 16 2026	Down	SELL	85	49¢	$41	0xab2015…
04-16 08:54:44	ng up or down on april 16 2026	Down	SELL	90	49¢	$44	0xbcf5d4…
04-16 08:48:58	ng up or down on april 16 2026	Down	SELL	50	51¢	$26	0x8c33f2…
04-16 08:38:54	ng up or down on april 16 2026	Down	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0xc38722…
04-16 08:30:10	qqq up or down on april 16 2026	Up	SELL	60	61¢	$36	0x96de94…
04-16 08:29:12	qqq up or down on april 16 2026	Up	BUY	60	61¢	$36	0x8f68ab…
04-16 08:06:38	abnb up or down on april 16 2026	Down	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0x5ef1ff…
04-16 08:05:30	abnb up or down on april 16 2026	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xdc14ca…