Pessimistic-Amber — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$417

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

24.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.74K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$53

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-18

last 06-20 19:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Sports

77% 44% $-366

Other

15% 100% +$24

Crypto

8% 0% $-75

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (13) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)	1	$292	550	0	+550	Knicks	$-292	05-05 00:31
fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 total 4pt5	3	$154	100	100	+0	open	—	06-20 19:03
nba nyk sas 2026 06 03	2	$105	225	0	+225	open	—	06-04 02:43
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)	1	$100	204	0	+204	Pistons	$-100	05-05 04:29
76ers vs. Knicks	1	$100	323	0	+323	Knicks	$-100	05-05 00:30
nba min den 2026 04 18 total 236pt5	1	$100	199	0	+199	open	—	04-18 21:16
ufc cir ale30 2026 06 14	1	$84	145	0	+145	open	—	06-15 03:57
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score	1	$80	104	0	+104	Yes	+$24	05-05 04:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	2	$62	40	40	+0	open	—	05-01 21:02
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)	1	$56	98	0	+98	Thunder	$-56	05-06 00:49
ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14 totals 1pt5	1	$55	100	0	+100	open	—	06-15 04:08
nba min den 2026 04 18 spread home 5pt5	1	$51	100	0	+100	open	—	04-18 21:05
nba atl nyk 2026 04 18 spread home 6pt5	1	$50	110	0	+110	open	—	04-18 22:18
nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	1	$50	167	0	+167	open	—	06-09 03:06
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)	1	$50	98	0	+98	Thunder	+$48	05-08 04:14
nba min den 2026 04 20 total 231pt5	1	$48	94	0	+94	open	—	04-20 04:25
Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 213.5	2	$43	86	0	+86	Over	+$42	05-10 19:31
nba atl nyk 2026 04 20 spread home 5pt5	1	$40	78	0	+78	open	—	04-20 04:24
Cavaliers vs. Raptors	1	$39	70	0	+70	open	—	05-02 02:14
fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 total 3pt5	1	$29	75	0	+75	open	—	06-20 18:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	1	$25	64	0	+64	Down	$-25	05-10 17:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	1	$25	47	0	+47	Down	$-25	05-10 06:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	1	$25	33	0	+33	Down	$-25	05-10 17:48
O/U 3.5 Rounds	1	$22	50	0	+50	Over	$-22	05-10 03:13
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	1	$20	95	0	+95	Sean Strickland	+$75	05-10 03:54
nba orl det 2026 04 19 total 218pt5	1	$20	41	0	+41	open	—	04-20 00:57
Timberwolves vs. Spurs	1	$12	50	0	+50	Timberwolves	+$38	05-05 03:42
ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	1	$2	10	0	+10	open	—	06-15 04:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-20 19:03:44	fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 total 4pt5	Over	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xa99ec5…
06-20 18:18:41	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	75	39¢	$29	0xae959d…
06-20 18:10:35	fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x7bc264…
06-20 18:10:35	fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	95	54¢	$51	0x0ad17c…
06-15 04:09:18	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	Justin Gaethje	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x85fbec…
06-15 04:08:36	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14 totals 1pt5	Over	BUY	100	55¢	$55	0x387a28…
06-15 03:57:30	ufc cir ale30 2026 06 14	Alex Pereira	BUY	145	58¢	$84	0x64a933…
06-09 03:06:07	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Knicks	BUY	167	30¢	$50	0x4224b9…
06-04 02:43:55	nba nyk sas 2026 06 03	Knicks	BUY	25	43¢	$11	0xa2cd42…
06-04 02:41:27	nba nyk sas 2026 06 03	Knicks	BUY	200	47¢	$94	0x4b2e14…
05-10 19:31:05	Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 213.5	Over	BUY	42	51¢	$21	0xce4520…
05-10 19:30:04	Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 213.5	Over	BUY	44	50¢	$22	0x200668…
05-10 17:57:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	64	39¢	$25	0x9b2ef2…
05-10 17:48:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	33	75¢	$25	0x7a3e83…
05-10 06:25:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0xdaa2f5…
05-10 03:54:53	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	BUY	95	21¢	$20	0x2869d8…
05-10 03:13:14	O/U 3.5 Rounds	Under	BUY	50	45¢	$22	0xdda1e0…
05-08 04:14:47	Spread: Thunder (-15.5)	Thunder	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0xb5fe32…
05-06 00:49:06	Spread: Thunder (-15.5)	Lakers	BUY	98	57¢	$56	0x360625…
05-05 04:33:06	FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	104	77¢	$80	0xa702bd…
05-05 04:29:40	Spread: Pistons (-2.5)	Cavaliers	BUY	204	49¢	$100	0x09402a…
05-05 03:42:12	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0xf11196…
05-05 00:31:02	Spread: Knicks (-7.5)	76ers	BUY	550	53¢	$292	0xedbbeb…
05-05 00:30:34	76ers vs. Knicks	76ers	BUY	323	31¢	$100	0xd29779…
05-02 02:14:18	Cavaliers vs. Raptors	Cavaliers	BUY	70	56¢	$39	0xc0f175…
05-01 21:02:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	SELL	40	93¢	$37	0xcd5cf6…
05-01 21:01:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0x2abbd8…
04-20 04:25:00	nba min den 2026 04 20 total 231pt5	Over	BUY	94	51¢	$48	0xc5712c…
04-20 04:24:50	nba atl nyk 2026 04 20 spread home 5pt5	Knicks	BUY	78	51¢	$40	0xaa3d24…
04-20 00:57:04	nba orl det 2026 04 19 total 218pt5	Over	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x2717e3…
04-18 22:18:00	nba atl nyk 2026 04 18 spread home 6pt5	Knicks	BUY	110	46¢	$50	0x00caa0…
04-18 21:16:40	nba min den 2026 04 18 total 236pt5	Over	BUY	199	50¢	$100	0x3d4697…
04-18 21:05:22	nba min den 2026 04 18 spread home 5pt5	Timberwolves	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0x4727c3…