Optimistic-Scam — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

13.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$9.06K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$197

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-17

last 06-15 07:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

89% 50% +$0

Politics

7% 0% $-0

Sports

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will tsla close between 410 and 415 week march 20 2026	4	$1.9K	1,054	1,054	+0	open	—	03-19 02:35
elon musk of tweets march 2026 1120 1159	2	$1.9K	965	965	+0	open	—	03-18 07:49
Will Elon Musk post 1280-1319 tweets in April 2026?	4	$1.9K	970	970	+0	open	—	03-18 15:09
will trn thanh mn be the next president of vietnam	6	$1.9K	1,030	1,030	+0	open	—	03-18 15:59
will xavier iturralde win the 2026 la paz mayoral election	2	$322	170	170	+0	open	—	03-18 20:26
will manuel saavedra win the 2026 santa cruz de la sierra mayoral election	2	$319	170	170	+0	open	—	03-18 23:05
Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in April 2026?	2	$319	172	172	+0	open	—	03-18 23:36
nba den mem 2026 01 25 total 227pt5	3	$165	142	142	+0	open	—	03-17 15:55
nba okc orl 2026 03 17 1h spread away 5pt5	1	$102	205	0	+205	open	—	03-17 16:22
will msft close between 370 and 380 week march 20 2026	2	$85	776	776	+0	open	—	03-18 14:53
will 45 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	2	$71	1,165	1,165	+0	open	—	03-18 11:54
nba phi den 2026 03 17	2	$45	50	0	+50	open	—	03-17 15:17
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	2	$28	426	423	+3	No	$-1	03-18 21:57
itsb ven pad 2026 03 17 pad	1	$26	28	0	+28	open	—	03-17 15:09
CD Garcilaso vs. ADC Juan Pablo II College: O/U 5.5	1	$17	18	0	+18	open	—	05-30 11:27
fifwc can bih 2026 06 12 total 0pt5	1	$14	15	0	+15	open	—	06-12 05:31
fifwc irn nzl 2026 06 15 total 4pt5	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	06-15 07:58
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs The Huns Esports (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	1	$5	6	0	+6	Aurora Gaming	+$1	05-10 07:53
Will no player win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026?	3	$5	92	92	+0	open	—	03-18 16:30
Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?	2	$5	97	97	+0	No	$-0	03-18 21:30
Will Israel strike 2 countries in 2026?	2	$3	42	42	+0	open	—	03-18 22:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 07:58:54	fifwc irn nzl 2026 06 15 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x0e6c51…
06-12 05:31:34	fifwc can bih 2026 06 12 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	15	91¢	$14	0x218423…
05-30 11:27:56	CD Garcilaso vs. ADC Juan Pablo II College: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	18	94¢	$17	0x401c80…
05-10 07:53:35	Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs The Huns Esports (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	Aurora Gaming	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x8c74ae…
03-19 02:35:23	will tsla close between 410 and 415 week march 20 2026	No	SELL	1,054	92¢	$970	0xf9bb65…
03-18 23:36:45	Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in April 2026?	No	SELL	172	92¢	$158	0x227ef9…
03-18 23:29:55	Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in April 2026?	No	BUY	172	93¢	$161	0x5a1e9e…
03-18 23:05:15	will manuel saavedra win the 2026 santa cruz de la sierra mayoral election	Yes	SELL	170	94¢	$160	0x95d226…
03-18 22:54:59	will manuel saavedra win the 2026 santa cruz de la sierra mayoral election	Yes	BUY	170	94¢	$159	0xdd16e6…
03-18 22:32:15	Will Israel strike 2 countries in 2026?	Yes	SELL	42	3¢	$1	0x7389ef…
03-18 22:23:41	Will Israel strike 2 countries in 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	4¢	$2	0x064570…
03-18 21:57:45	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	423	3¢	$14	0xb73e3e…
03-18 21:51:35	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	426	3¢	$14	0xc2f19c…
03-18 21:30:01	Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	97	2¢	$2	0xd18a04…
03-18 21:20:17	Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	97	2¢	$2	0xcc3ffb…
03-18 20:26:47	will xavier iturralde win the 2026 la paz mayoral election	No	SELL	170	95¢	$161	0x56cab1…
03-18 20:18:03	will xavier iturralde win the 2026 la paz mayoral election	No	BUY	170	95¢	$161	0x2c4263…
03-18 16:30:07	Will no player win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026?	No	SELL	2	3¢	$0	0x6985c2…
03-18 16:30:05	Will no player win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026?	No	SELL	90	3¢	$3	0xa2014c…
03-18 16:20:57	Will no player win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026?	No	BUY	92	3¢	$2	0x9025bb…
03-18 15:59:49	will trn thanh mn be the next president of vietnam	Yes	SELL	19	4¢	$1	0x69f090…
03-18 15:58:55	will trn thanh mn be the next president of vietnam	Yes	SELL	41	5¢	$2	0x83307a…
03-18 15:48:55	will trn thanh mn be the next president of vietnam	Yes	BUY	60	4¢	$3	0xaba8bc…
03-18 15:31:03	will tsla close between 410 and 415 week march 20 2026	No	BUY	42	91¢	$38	0xce3307…
03-18 15:31:03	will tsla close between 410 and 415 week march 20 2026	No	BUY	537	91¢	$489	0x8079ff…
03-18 15:31:03	will tsla close between 410 and 415 week march 20 2026	No	BUY	475	91¢	$432	0x191352…
03-18 15:09:05	Will Elon Musk post 1280-1319 tweets in April 2026?	No	SELL	794	96¢	$761	0xb0bc3c…
03-18 15:09:03	Will Elon Musk post 1280-1319 tweets in April 2026?	No	SELL	176	96¢	$169	0x0e8bd0…
03-18 14:59:03	Will Elon Musk post 1280-1319 tweets in April 2026?	No	BUY	495	95¢	$471	0x268bdd…
03-18 14:58:59	Will Elon Musk post 1280-1319 tweets in April 2026?	No	BUY	475	95¢	$452	0x9c5d4e…
03-18 14:53:19	will msft close between 370 and 380 week march 20 2026	Yes	SELL	776	6¢	$43	0x8a54ad…
03-18 14:43:49	will msft close between 370 and 380 week march 20 2026	Yes	BUY	776	5¢	$42	0xa77a3b…
03-18 11:54:47	will 45 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	Yes	SELL	1,165	3¢	$35	0xefbc3a…
03-18 11:47:01	will 45 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	Yes	BUY	1,165	3¢	$36	0xfce865…
03-18 07:49:55	elon musk of tweets march 2026 1120 1159	No	SELL	965	98¢	$946	0x110d33…
03-18 07:44:31	elon musk of tweets march 2026 1120 1159	No	BUY	965	98¢	$942	0xae69d4…
03-18 05:42:09	will trn thanh mn be the next president of vietnam	No	SELL	970	95¢	$925	0x23e771…
03-18 05:34:23	will trn thanh mn be the next president of vietnam	No	BUY	789	95¢	$750	0x4fccba…
03-18 05:34:23	will trn thanh mn be the next president of vietnam	No	BUY	181	95¢	$172	0x3f591f…
03-17 16:22:07	nba okc orl 2026 03 17 1h spread away 5pt5	Thunder	BUY	205	50¢	$102	0x0eee1b…
03-17 15:55:27	nba den mem 2026 01 25 total 227pt5	Over	SELL	142	38¢	$54	0xef9d8f…
03-17 15:50:13	nba den mem 2026 01 25 total 227pt5	Over	BUY	37	78¢	$29	0xd5317e…
03-17 15:50:13	nba den mem 2026 01 25 total 227pt5	Over	BUY	105	78¢	$82	0xc1b452…
03-17 15:17:15	nba phi den 2026 03 17	Nuggets	BUY	24	91¢	$22	0xc44386…
03-17 15:09:41	itsb ven pad 2026 03 17 pad	No	BUY	28	94¢	$26	0x9d1a5a…
03-17 14:54:43	nba phi den 2026 03 17	Nuggets	BUY	26	90¢	$23	0x98ce37…