Trained-Sack — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

19.9%

Resolved

Trades

1,205

lifetime

Volume

$56.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$47

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-30

last 05-08 23:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

57% — —

Politics

29% 33% $-5

Crypto

14% 0% $-1

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 37 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	139	$12.1K	39,251	45,577	-6,326	open	—	03-16 05:49
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	53	$5.4K	8,983	8,047	+936	open	—	03-28 07:10
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	43	$4.7K	8,105	8,415	-310	open	—	03-10 17:27
will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	37	$3.0K	8,154	9,335	-1,181	open	—	03-13 10:48
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	16	$2.2K	3,328	3,328	+0	open	—	03-01 06:33
will uae strike iran by march 31	17	$2.1K	2,185	2,185	+0	open	—	03-08 11:16
bun b04 bay 2026 03 14 total 2pt5	9	$2.0K	2,555	2,555	+0	open	—	03-14 16:24
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	29	$1.7K	3,669	3,669	+0	open	—	03-03 18:39
bitcoin up or down march 13 12pm et	48	$1.5K	5,952	5,638	+315	open	—	03-13 16:59
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	10	$1.5K	3,975	3,975	-0	open	—	02-27 12:56
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	52	$1.4K	3,099	3,099	+0	open	—	02-27 12:38
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	23	$1.1K	5,349	2,659	+2,691	open	—	03-28 08:25
will iran strike israel on march 4	21	$1.0K	31,223	1,223	+30,000	open	—	03-08 20:35
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	33	$991	5,064	5,064	+0	No	$-133	05-08 23:42
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	52	$956	8,402	8,402	+0	open	—	02-27 22:11
will iran strike turkey in march	8	$954	3,072	3,072	+0	open	—	03-03 20:06
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?	7	$783	1,192	1,192	+0	open	—	02-27 17:36
btc updown 15m 1773639900	4	$771	940	181	+759	open	—	03-16 05:57
bitcoin up or down march 13 11am et	206	$723	5,098	5,094	+4	open	—	03-13 15:56
btc updown 15m 1773639000	6	$719	546	540	+5	open	—	03-16 05:43
US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?	6	$626	1,104	1,104	+0	open	—	02-27 22:03
bitcoin up or down on march 14 2026	3	$622	2,150	0	+2,150	open	—	03-14 00:50
btc updown 5m 1773675000	3	$574	700	695	+5	open	—	03-16 15:34
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	2	$517	519	519	+0	open	—	03-01 13:50
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?	4	$490	1,530	1,530	+0	open	—	02-27 10:28
bitcoin up or down march 13 10am et	11	$470	804	469	+335	open	—	03-13 14:46
will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	6	$419	589	589	+0	open	—	03-09 19:35
epl liv tot 2026 03 15 total 1pt5	14	$401	1,769	1,669	+100	open	—	03-15 17:52
US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?	3	$392	560	560	+0	open	—	02-27 11:01
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	2	$375	2,500	2,500	+0	open	—	03-08 21:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-08 23:42:56	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	722	1¢	$8	0x6d6818…
05-08 23:42:52	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	SELL	400	12¢	$48	0x0eb9e2…
05-08 23:42:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	Yes	SELL	2,019	3¢	$55	0xe332cb…
05-08 10:53:09	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	400	14¢	$56	0x2b6022…
05-08 07:13:12	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	722	3¢	$20	0xb982ef…
05-08 04:48:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	SELL	71	5¢	$4	0x8770aa…
05-08 04:48:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x24fca8…
05-08 04:42:37	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	2,058	4¢	$78	0x70a827…
05-07 21:15:38	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	445	13¢	$56	0x2f71b3…
05-07 21:15:31	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	74	13¢	$9	0xd1b62c…
05-07 21:14:49	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0xd88251…
05-07 21:14:44	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	200	13¢	$25	0xebfc45…
05-07 21:14:16	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	71	13¢	$9	0xe5c481…
05-07 20:54:36	Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	Yes	SELL	976	6¢	$54	0xdea460…
05-07 20:54:17	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xd3aab0…
05-07 20:54:17	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	12	10¢	$1	0x0f29bb…
05-07 20:54:15	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xc7a17a…
05-07 20:54:14	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	157	10¢	$15	0xc3421a…
05-07 20:54:14	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x89b4d8…
05-07 20:54:14	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	179	10¢	$18	0x3c4b37…
05-07 20:54:14	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	3	10¢	$0	0x2f74db…
05-07 20:54:14	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	22	10¢	$2	0x2da205…
05-07 20:54:14	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	22	10¢	$2	0x16d349…
05-07 20:51:10	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	446	11¢	$50	0xc670ec…
05-07 20:50:47	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	384	11¢	$43	0x3ce591…
05-07 20:50:12	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	604	15¢	$89	0xa98a17…
05-07 20:48:17	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	604	14¢	$82	0x64a5b4…
05-07 20:47:35	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0x7db7e5…
05-07 20:47:29	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	585	16¢	$93	0xeca8cb…
05-07 20:47:12	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	76	14¢	$10	0xf03008…
05-07 20:46:44	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	514	14¢	$74	0x591d97…
05-07 20:44:05	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	90	15¢	$13	0x057f34…
05-07 20:43:58	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	1,000	15¢	$147	0x9df11a…
05-07 20:43:37	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	90	12¢	$11	0xf08b2f…
05-07 20:43:31	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	700	12¢	$84	0xd5efd5…
05-07 20:42:21	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0x643ec8…
05-07 20:42:14	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x149b49…
05-07 20:42:09	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	108	15¢	$16	0x629655…
05-07 20:41:57	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	180	15¢	$26	0xa2c2af…
05-07 20:38:01	Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	Yes	SELL	1,301	6¢	$72	0xe625ec…
05-07 20:37:05	Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	Yes	SELL	320	3¢	$10	0x85fdec…
05-07 20:36:31	Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xce54e5…
05-07 20:35:34	Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	Yes	SELL	120	5¢	$6	0x4bd832…
05-07 20:20:59	Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	Yes	SELL	2,605	2¢	$52	0x7fa553…
05-07 20:15:56	Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	Yes	SELL	159	2¢	$3	0xd98a81…
05-06 15:42:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	Yes	BUY	2,019	4¢	$71	0xed5eaf…
05-06 15:38:25	Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xff804e…
05-06 15:38:24	Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	Yes	BUY	5,509	1¢	$55	0x644e42…
05-06 15:38:15	Iran closes its airspace by May 6?	Yes	BUY	3,393	0¢	$14	0x5f0a31…
03-28 08:32:51	houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	78	31¢	$24	0xeb1896…
03-28 08:31:59	houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	12	31¢	$4	0x830f6b…
03-28 08:25:33	will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	Yes	SELL	689	4¢	$28	0xb8454e…
03-28 07:12:37	will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	Yes	BUY	2,394	4¢	$89	0xcee743…
03-28 07:11:19	will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	Yes	BUY	986	3¢	$33	0xdc51c8…
03-28 07:10:35	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	Yes	BUY	1,036	12¢	$119	0x4f8ba8…
03-24 09:35:05	btc updown 5m 1774344600	Up	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x3c509d…
03-24 00:50:37	btc updown 5m 1774313400	Down	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0xefc8f0…
03-24 00:32:17	btc updown 5m 1774312200	Up	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0xcc1816…
03-24 00:29:45	btc updown 5m 1774312200	Up	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0x9af550…
03-24 00:29:23	btc updown 5m 1774311900	Up	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0xc8986c…
03-24 00:23:11	btc updown 5m 1774311900	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xd9bf24…
03-24 00:22:25	btc updown 5m 1774311600	Up	SELL	10	34¢	$3	0x4bae59…
03-24 00:21:41	btc updown 5m 1774311600	Up	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0x0c6592…
03-24 00:21:01	btc updown 5m 1774311600	Up	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0xe21ec0…
03-24 00:18:39	btc updown 5m 1774311600	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x66cac2…
03-24 00:03:19	btc updown 5m 1774310700	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x70650a…
03-21 00:44:41	btc updown 5m 1774053600	Up	BUY	75	2¢	$1	0xc3cd7b…
03-21 00:44:41	btc updown 5m 1774053600	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x1166f2…
03-19 23:43:19	nba orl cha 2026 03 19	Magic	BUY	407	29¢	$118	0x6d11ee…
03-19 23:42:31	nba orl cha 2026 03 19	Magic	BUY	70	28¢	$20	0xb9d505…
03-19 23:41:19	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	Yes	SELL	1,000	14¢	$139	0x73a892…
03-18 16:30:31	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	3,333	0¢	$10	0x2c78fc…
03-18 14:13:23	will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	Yes	SELL	2,979	3¢	$83	0xc33215…
03-18 13:24:55	will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x535e17…
03-18 13:22:35	will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	Yes	BUY	35	2¢	$1	0xfccbfc…
03-18 13:22:07	will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	Yes	BUY	2,943	2¢	$57	0xe87fe9…
03-16 15:34:55	btc updown 5m 1773675300	Up	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0x36eea1…
03-16 15:34:15	btc updown 5m 1773675000	Up	SELL	557	3¢	$17	0x497e62…
03-16 15:34:09	btc updown 5m 1773675000	Up	SELL	138	4¢	$6	0x8615bd…
03-16 15:31:37	btc updown 5m 1773675000	Up	BUY	700	79¢	$552	0x4ab783…
03-16 06:08:49	bitcoin up or down march 16 2026 2am et	Up	BUY	2	16¢	$0	0xd676f4…
03-16 06:08:49	bitcoin up or down march 16 2026 2am et	Up	BUY	138	16¢	$22	0x59c404…
03-16 06:08:47	bitcoin up or down march 16 2026 2am et	Up	BUY	100	16¢	$16	0xd887dc…
03-16 06:08:17	bitcoin up or down march 16 2026 2am et	Up	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0xed4210…
03-16 06:08:07	bitcoin up or down march 16 2026 2am et	Up	BUY	2	16¢	$0	0xe8fd3d…
03-16 06:08:05	bitcoin up or down march 16 2026 2am et	Up	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0xa97209…
03-16 06:08:05	bitcoin up or down march 16 2026 2am et	Up	BUY	46	16¢	$7	0xa5a442…
03-16 06:08:05	bitcoin up or down march 16 2026 2am et	Up	BUY	23	16¢	$4	0x9dcf84…
03-16 06:08:05	bitcoin up or down march 16 2026 2am et	Up	BUY	46	16¢	$7	0x91c355…
03-16 06:08:05	bitcoin up or down march 16 2026 2am et	Up	BUY	8	16¢	$1	0x901614…
03-16 06:08:05	bitcoin up or down march 16 2026 2am et	Up	BUY	9	16¢	$1	0x835918…
03-16 06:08:05	bitcoin up or down march 16 2026 2am et	Up	BUY	46	16¢	$7	0x7f763d…
03-16 06:08:05	bitcoin up or down march 16 2026 2am et	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x5c4ecd…
03-16 06:08:05	bitcoin up or down march 16 2026 2am et	Up	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x50a387…
03-16 06:08:05	bitcoin up or down march 16 2026 2am et	Up	BUY	18	16¢	$3	0x2322aa…
03-16 06:08:03	bitcoin up or down march 16 2026 2am et	Up	BUY	118	16¢	$19	0xced660…
03-16 06:07:17	btc updown 15m 1773640800	Up	BUY	27	2¢	$1	0xc7470c…
03-16 06:07:17	btc updown 15m 1773640800	Up	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0x4d123c…
03-16 06:07:15	btc updown 15m 1773640800	Up	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x9e1da4…
03-16 06:07:15	btc updown 15m 1773640800	Up	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x973281…