Frivolous-Fork — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.10K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-09

last 06-07 08:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

86% 100% +$0

Politics

9% — —

Other

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

44 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 74k on april 12	1	$29	29	+29	open	—	04-12 11:48
bitcoin above 76k on april 11	1	$29	29	+29	open	—	04-11 10:34
bitcoin above 76k on april 10	1	$29	29	+29	open	—	04-10 14:37
bitcoin above 74k on april 9	1	$28	29	+29	open	—	04-09 07:38
bitcoin above 72k on april 7	1	$28	28	+28	open	—	04-07 12:43
ethereum above 2300 on april 6	1	$28	28	+28	open	—	04-05 23:26
ethereum above 1900 on april 3	1	$28	28	+28	open	—	04-03 12:40
ethereum above 2400 on april 1	1	$28	28	+28	open	—	04-01 08:01
bitcoin above 72k on march 31	1	$28	28	+28	open	—	03-31 08:34
ethereum above 2300 on march 30	1	$28	28	+28	open	—	03-30 08:54
ethereum above 2200 on march 29	1	$28	28	+28	open	—	03-29 09:41
ethereum above 1800 on march 27	1	$28	28	+28	open	—	03-27 14:36
ethereum above 1900 on march 26	1	$28	28	+28	open	—	03-26 01:39
ethereum above 1900 on march 24	1	$28	28	+28	open	—	03-24 12:11
bitcoin above 76k on march 25	1	$28	28	+28	open	—	03-25 03:53
will the price of ethereum be less than 1800 on march 23	1	$28	28	+28	open	—	03-23 09:44
ethereum above 2200 on march 22	1	$28	28	+28	open	—	03-22 14:33
will bitcoin reach 76k on march 21	1	$28	28	+28	open	—	03-21 14:23
will bitcoin reach 78k on march 20	1	$28	28	+28	open	—	03-20 14:07
will bitcoin reach 76k on march 19	1	$28	28	+28	open	—	03-19 14:14
us strikes iraq by march 7	1	$28	28	+28	open	—	03-11 10:00
will us or israel strike iran on march 3 2026	1	$28	28	+28	open	—	03-03 07:59
us strikes iran by february 21 2026	1	$25	25	+25	open	—	02-22 03:14
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 30?	1	$24	24	+24	open	—	05-30 07:19
bitcoin above 68k on march 16	1	$22	22	+22	open	—	03-16 10:18
us strikes iran by february 18 2026	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	02-18 15:13
will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	1	$18	18	+18	open	—	02-28 16:14
will us or israel strike iran on march 2 2026	1	$18	19	+19	open	—	03-01 15:18
bitcoin above 62k on march 13	1	$18	18	+18	open	—	03-12 16:32
bitcoin above 78k on april 16	1	$17	17	+17	open	—	04-16 12:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-07 08:33:51	ethereum above 1800 on june 7 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x5c9942…
06-04 13:34:06	bitcoin above 68k on june 4 2026	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x5623d2…
05-30 07:19:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 30?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x47cf8c…
05-27 13:53:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x309e66…
05-22 13:01:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 22?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x453863…
05-21 10:35:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$12	0x19e432…
05-20 14:16:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x9b1aef…
05-14 09:57:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x1f1ec7…
05-11 12:40:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x434de4…
05-10 13:25:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xb15e69…
05-07 15:04:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 7?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x5c84b5…
05-05 14:31:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x5d6992…
05-02 14:08:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 2?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x3598f5…
04-27 12:46:12	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0xd21a0a…
04-23 09:51:14	bitcoin above 82k on april 23	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x34297c…
04-22 13:57:00	bitcoin above 82k on april 22	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2ea092…
04-21 10:35:34	ethereum above 2500 on april 21	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x5d2920…
04-20 14:21:50	elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 90 114	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x788f38…
04-19 12:41:18	bitcoin above 78k on april 19	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x4a46b2…
04-18 14:04:58	ethereum above 2500 on april 18	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x0e383c…
04-16 12:45:00	bitcoin above 78k on april 16	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x6d05f4…
04-15 08:51:46	bitcoin above 78k on april 15	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x22c00f…
04-14 17:46:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	6	69¢	$4	0xff3bd7…
04-14 17:45:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	70¢	$5	0xf0dffa…
04-14 10:56:49	ethereum above 2100 on april 14	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xbadaa5…
04-13 13:26:23	bitcoin above 74k on april 13	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4e29c3…
04-12 11:48:49	bitcoin above 74k on april 12	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x14df2f…
04-11 10:34:35	bitcoin above 76k on april 11	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x7b6652…
04-10 14:37:05	bitcoin above 76k on april 10	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xbc66ff…
04-09 07:38:27	bitcoin above 74k on april 9	No	BUY	29	99¢	$28	0xe1bbf7…
04-07 12:43:37	bitcoin above 72k on april 7	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xe84531…
04-05 23:26:07	ethereum above 2300 on april 6	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x16ce4d…
04-03 12:40:23	ethereum above 1900 on april 3	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xb92fa9…
04-01 08:01:45	ethereum above 2400 on april 1	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x52d1ca…
03-31 08:34:59	bitcoin above 72k on march 31	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x621986…
03-30 08:54:06	ethereum above 2300 on march 30	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xff7116…
03-29 09:41:20	ethereum above 2200 on march 29	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x8477fa…
03-27 14:36:17	ethereum above 1800 on march 27	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x9101c1…
03-26 01:39:19	ethereum above 1900 on march 26	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xde62ff…
03-25 03:53:19	bitcoin above 76k on march 25	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xd54993…
03-24 12:11:05	ethereum above 1900 on march 24	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x5b4e4f…
03-23 09:44:37	will the price of ethereum be less than 1800 on march 23	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x0f0162…
03-22 14:33:47	ethereum above 2200 on march 22	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xdfc11e…
03-21 14:23:19	will bitcoin reach 76k on march 21	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x47c371…
03-20 14:07:33	will bitcoin reach 78k on march 20	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x4c689d…
03-19 14:14:33	will bitcoin reach 76k on march 19	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x6b9f92…
03-18 02:33:25	bitcoin above 80k on march 18	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x64e2eb…
03-17 09:55:49	bitcoin above 80k on march 17	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xfe28a8…
03-16 10:18:57	bitcoin above 68k on march 16	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x6a4173…
03-15 18:37:27	will bitcoin reach 79k on march 15	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x19f5e4…
03-12 16:32:49	bitcoin above 62k on march 13	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xa129fc…
03-11 10:00:51	us strikes iraq by march 7	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x502d8f…
03-03 07:59:27	will us or israel strike iran on march 3 2026	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x945d18…
03-01 15:18:29	will us or israel strike iran on march 2 2026	Yes	BUY	19	98¢	$18	0x92c8fa…
02-28 16:14:39	will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xf71085…
02-22 03:14:06	us strikes iran by february 21 2026	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x29ae86…
02-18 19:25:50	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	Yes	SELL	2,515	0¢	$5	0xb0c489…
02-18 17:03:04	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	Yes	BUY	281	0¢	$1	0xd5f7cb…
02-18 16:49:56	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	Yes	BUY	116	0¢	$0	0x052a13…
02-18 16:44:48	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	Yes	BUY	2,118	0¢	$4	0xdd1097…
02-18 15:13:10	us strikes iran by february 18 2026	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xc9097d…
02-16 00:31:15	will bitcoin reach 125k in february 2026	Yes	SELL	1,067	0¢	$2	0x31660d…
02-15 23:07:07	will bitcoin reach 125k in february 2026	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$1	0x1568c4…
02-15 22:54:53	will bitcoin reach 125k in february 2026	Yes	SELL	244	0¢	$0	0xd0ca48…
02-15 22:46:07	will bitcoin reach 125k in february 2026	Yes	SELL	1,196	0¢	$2	0x12cb08…
02-15 07:01:13	will bitcoin reach 125k in february 2026	Yes	BUY	2,911	0¢	$6	0xb24b6b…
02-15 06:58:55	will bitcoin reach 125k in february 2026	Yes	BUY	19	0¢	$0	0xf8f0cf…
02-15 06:55:15	will bitcoin reach 125k in february 2026	Yes	BUY	17	0¢	$0	0xac2f32…
02-15 06:48:27	will bitcoin reach 125k in february 2026	Yes	BUY	60	0¢	$0	0x0e8e3b…
02-10 09:39:51	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	Yes	SELL	535	0¢	$2	0x3b63fa…
02-09 17:49:29	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	Yes	BUY	535	0¢	$2	0x9e40b7…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Creepy-Hill-Inlaws 0x80f6…f28f	53	$1.18K	71	06-07 08:33
Showy-Ceiling 0x6695…0602	53	$1.10K	60	06-07 08:33
Sneaky-Promise 0xf82a…7598	52	$1.25K	57	06-07 08:33
(anonymous) 0x6ca5…f518	52	$1.19K	57	06-07 08:33
Another-Tweezers 0x1702…00d6	52	$1.16K	63	06-07 08:33
Necessary-Session 0xd8e4…d533	52	$1.08K	90	06-07 08:33
(anonymous) 0x2399…1608	52	$964	57	06-07 08:33
Smart-Leeway 0x8d3d…57e2	52	$892	100	06-07 08:33