Discrete-Customer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$22

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

75.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$658

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

$14

1 position

First seen

2026-05-08

last 06-19 07:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 65% $-22

Other

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (20) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	No		+28	$14	50¢	$14	$-0	06-19 07:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	5	$131	99	65	+34	Up	+$15	05-08 14:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	3	$55	36	36	+0	Up	+$5	05-08 14:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	2	$51	35	35	+0	Down	+$1	05-08 14:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	2	$50	25	25	+0	Up	+$0	05-08 14:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	1	$25	50	0	+50	Down	$-25	05-11 08:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	1	$25	52	0	+52	Up	+$27	05-08 14:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	1	$25	36	0	+36	Down	+$11	05-08 14:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	1	$25	34	0	+34	Down	$-25	05-08 14:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	1	$25	43	0	+43	Down	$-25	05-08 14:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	1	$25	36	0	+36	Up	$-25	05-08 14:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	1	$25	38	0	+38	Down	+$13	05-08 14:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	1	$25	26	0	+26	Up	+$1	05-08 14:03
btc updown 5m 1780981800	3	$21	16	16	+0	open	—	06-09 05:12
Call of Duty: OpTic Texas vs Toronto KOI (BO5) - Call of Duty League Major 3 Playoffs	2	$21	12	12	+0	open	—	05-17 18:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	3	$15	28	0	+28	Up	$-7	05-11 08:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	3	$15	24	0	+24	Up	$-0	05-11 09:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	3	$15	25	0	+25	Down	+$1	05-11 08:58
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	1	$14	28	0	+28	open	—	06-19 07:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	3	$11	18	0	+18	Down	+$4	05-11 08:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	2	$10	18	0	+18	Up	$-3	05-11 09:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	2	$10	17	0	+17	Up	+$7	05-11 08:36
btc updown 5m 1780895400	2	$10	19	0	+19	open	—	06-08 05:11
btc updown 5m 1780895700	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	06-08 05:15
btc updown 5m 1781074500	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	06-10 06:55
btc updown 5m 1780899000	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	06-08 06:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	Up	+$3	05-11 08:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Up	+$1	05-11 08:41
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs FaZe Vegas (BO5) - Call of Duty League Major 3 Playoffs	1	$3	13	0	+13	open	—	05-17 15:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-19 07:26:56	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	No	BUY	28	51¢	$14	0x529a49…
06-10 06:55:19	btc updown 5m 1781074500	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xa0e690…
06-09 05:12:52	btc updown 5m 1780981800	Up	SELL	16	72¢	$11	0xf243e5…
06-09 05:12:00	btc updown 5m 1780981800	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x20c2e6…
06-09 05:11:58	btc updown 5m 1780981800	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xbc6a63…
06-08 06:12:00	btc updown 5m 1780899000	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x644b88…
06-08 05:15:28	btc updown 5m 1780895700	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xa596a7…
06-08 05:11:45	btc updown 5m 1780895400	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x40b0ad…
06-08 05:11:19	btc updown 5m 1780895400	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x185ca1…
05-17 18:04:05	Call of Duty: OpTic Texas vs Toronto KOI (BO5) - Call of Duty League Major 3 Playoffs	OpTic Texas	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xc5efc0…
05-17 16:22:08	Call of Duty: OpTic Texas vs Toronto KOI (BO5) - Call of Duty League Major 3 Playoffs	OpTic Texas	BUY	12	74¢	$9	0x146a4d…
05-17 15:53:26	Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs FaZe Vegas (BO5) - Call of Duty League Major 3 Playoffs	FaZe Vegas	BUY	13	22¢	$3	0x33348c…
05-11 09:06:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xc6d4fe…
05-11 09:05:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x977df8…
05-11 09:01:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xe3acd6…
05-11 09:01:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x180837…
05-11 09:00:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x6d3e8c…
05-11 08:58:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x80da52…
05-11 08:56:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x08ec5e…
05-11 08:55:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x3a5653…
05-11 08:53:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x6d4ec4…
05-11 08:52:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xa7150c…
05-11 08:50:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xb04590…
05-11 08:46:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x8e2a17…
05-11 08:46:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x015241…
05-11 08:45:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x9ab89d…
05-11 08:41:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xa08fab…
05-11 08:36:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x945bcc…
05-11 08:35:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x879638…
05-11 08:30:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x00ce38…
05-11 08:26:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xec9e37…
05-08 14:50:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	34	73¢	$25	0xda2a6d…
05-08 14:45:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	36	69¢	$25	0x083721…
05-08 14:40:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	38	65¢	$25	0xa38665…
05-08 14:35:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	36	70¢	$25	0x4c66c6…
05-08 14:34:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	34	73¢	$25	0x81e2d5…
05-08 14:31:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	SELL	28	87¢	$24	0x64369f…
05-08 14:31:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0xf66609…
05-08 14:31:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	SELL	37	84¢	$31	0x0006f4…
05-08 14:30:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0xd15878…
05-08 14:27:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	35	76¢	$26	0xcd3025…
05-08 14:26:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	35	72¢	$25	0x87b30a…
05-08 14:20:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0xdbe00c…
05-08 14:18:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x6bc771…
05-08 14:18:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x8943d5…
05-08 14:10:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0xfea02f…
05-08 14:09:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	36	83¢	$30	0x5da9b1…
05-08 14:09:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0x779e90…
05-08 14:07:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	36	70¢	$25	0x098431…
05-08 14:03:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0xcc721f…