Dry-Ashtray — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$24.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$270

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-16

last 06-09 04:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

50% 100% +$0

Other

26% — —

Sports

24% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will ethereum reach 5000 in february 2026	3	$5.9K	2,948	2,948	-0	open	—	02-22 02:56
will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 189	3	$5.9K	2,933	2,933	+0	open	—	02-08 02:54
ethereum above 2700 on february 3	2	$5.8K	2,923	2,916	+7	open	—	02-03 10:17
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?	3	$5.8K	2,927	2,927	+0	open	—	02-08 02:54
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	2	$36	20	20	+0	open	—	01-20 02:58
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	2	$28	17	17	+0	open	—	01-20 02:59
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 580plus	2	$23	12	11	+1	open	—	03-13 07:20
will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	2	$22	11	11	+0	open	—	02-22 02:56
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	1	$19	27	0	+27	open	—	01-16 08:00
will mistral have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 494	2	$19	10	9	+1	open	—	03-13 07:20
will strategy microstrategy mstr be added to the sp 500 by march 31 2026	2	$19	10	9	+1	open	—	03-13 07:20
will silver si hit low 25 by end of march	2	$19	10	9	+1	open	—	03-13 07:20
will amazon be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	2	$19	10	9	+1	open	—	03-13 07:20
will ethereum reach 3900 january 19 25	2	$18	9	9	+0	open	—	01-25 02:15
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 540 559	1	$16	16	0	+16	open	—	04-07 02:02
Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 May 25-31?	1	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	05-26 07:04
will bitcoin dip to 74k january 26 1	1	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	01-31 06:39
elon musk of tweets april 6 april 8 190 214	1	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	04-07 02:02
bitcoin above 72k on june 10 2026	1	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	06-09 04:07
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 440 459	1	$14	14	0	+14	open	—	04-07 02:02
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 500 519	1	$14	14	0	+14	open	—	03-07 03:41
elon musk of tweets march 30 april 1 165 189	1	$14	14	0	+14	open	—	03-31 02:20
bitcoin above 50k on june 12 2026	1	$14	14	0	+14	open	—	06-09 04:07
will ethereum reach 3500 january 26 1	1	$14	14	0	+14	open	—	01-31 06:39
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 340 359	1	$13	13	0	+13	open	—	04-07 02:02
will solana reach 160 in june 2026	1	$13	13	0	+13	open	—	06-09 04:09
will ethereum dip to 2200 in january 2026 518	1	$13	13	0	+13	open	—	01-31 06:38
bitcoin above 72k on march 30	1	$13	13	0	+13	open	—	03-30 07:20
elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 215 239	1	$13	13	0	+13	open	—	03-17 03:56
nba sac det 2026 01 25	1	$13	15	0	+15	open	—	01-25 02:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 04:09:07	will solana reach 160 in june 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x5d12a3…
06-09 04:08:52	will xrp reach 3 in june 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x8849ec…
06-09 04:07:42	will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x223935…
06-09 04:07:19	bitcoin above 50k on june 12 2026	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xf7faf6…
06-09 04:07:01	bitcoin above 72k on june 10 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x7b7b8a…
05-26 07:04:01	Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 May 25-31?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x7da7f8…
05-11 02:13:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on May 13?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xe5c4e6…
05-11 02:12:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 12?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x509e2c…
05-11 02:12:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x940a42…
04-14 02:34:29	bitcoin above 82k on april 15	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc4d7ed…
04-14 02:34:15	elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 240plus	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xf5b2ce…
04-14 02:34:03	elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 215 239	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x1d0c59…
04-14 02:33:49	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 580plus	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc3dc12…
04-14 02:33:39	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 580plus	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x66858f…
04-07 02:03:03	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x37322a…
04-07 02:02:49	elon musk of tweets april 9 april 11 240plus	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x686f3b…
04-07 02:02:43	elon musk of tweets april 6 april 8 190 214	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x97a3d7…
04-07 02:02:31	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 540 559	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xdf7f70…
04-07 02:02:21	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 440 459	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xdf1042…
04-07 02:02:11	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 340 359	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x0e3014…
03-31 02:20:25	elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 240plus	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1b6685…
03-31 02:20:15	elon musk of tweets march 30 april 1 165 189	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xedf590…
03-30 07:21:12	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on march 31	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xa39500…
03-30 07:20:54	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on march 30	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x20dd2b…
03-30 07:20:38	bitcoin above 80k on april 1	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xb4667e…
03-30 07:20:26	bitcoin above 78k on march 31	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x4febd5…
03-30 07:20:16	bitcoin above 72k on march 30	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xbe39b4…
03-17 03:56:33	elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 215 239	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x3fedb4…
03-17 03:56:25	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 580plus	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x545ae7…
03-17 03:56:19	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 580plus	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7ee965…
03-17 03:56:05	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 360 379	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x4063a6…
03-13 07:24:01	will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on march 13	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x632bc5…
03-13 07:23:51	bitcoin above 82k on march 17	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc59dab…
03-13 07:23:45	bitcoin above 58k on march 16	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1af28c…
03-13 07:23:39	bitcoin above 58k on march 14	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x03795a…
03-13 07:22:25	will ethereum reach 2700 march 9 15	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xce0272…
03-13 07:22:01	will bitcoin dip to 20k in march 2026	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7b5a06…
03-13 07:21:39	will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xdfafbb…
03-13 07:21:23	ethereum above 1700 on march 13	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc62c26…
03-13 07:21:13	bitcoin above 78k on march 13	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4965c2…
03-13 07:20:47	will strategy microstrategy mstr be added to the sp 500 by march 31 2026	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x16fd85…
03-13 07:20:37	will amazon be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x7e5f1f…
03-13 07:20:31	will silver si hit low 25 by end of march	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xfde109…
03-13 07:20:23	will mistral have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 494	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x4038b0…
03-13 07:20:15	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 580plus	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xcbac34…
03-07 03:43:47	will mistral have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 494	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe26ca4…
03-07 03:43:21	will silver si hit low 25 by end of march	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7a0ffe…
03-07 03:42:59	will amazon be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x70ae95…
03-07 03:42:47	will strategy microstrategy mstr be added to the sp 500 by march 31 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x450ea8…
03-07 03:42:25	elon musk of tweets march 7 march 9 240plus	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x37ea69…
03-07 03:42:09	elon musk of tweets march 5 march 7 115 139	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9bf25d…
03-07 03:41:53	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 500 519	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x1f9c07…
03-07 03:41:37	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 580plus	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x1d1ed7…
02-22 02:58:22	elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 560 579	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x8b0fbf…
02-22 02:58:12	elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 560 579	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6e0dd9…
02-22 02:58:00	elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 560 579	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x50ae32…
02-22 02:56:18	will ethereum reach 5000 in february 2026	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x84bc1c…
02-22 02:56:12	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xb65fb8…
02-08 03:04:39	will ethereum reach 2800 february 2 8	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x81e815…
02-08 03:04:19	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on february 8	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2a66c4…
02-08 03:03:49	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x54c672…
02-08 03:03:21	ethereum above 1800 on february 8	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x53e68f…
02-08 02:54:45	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 189	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xe6b95e…
02-08 02:54:33	Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x84694d…
02-03 10:35:06	Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	2,914	99¢	$2,894	0xde1bce…
02-03 10:20:40	Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	2,927	99¢	$2,910	0xf03bd7…
02-03 10:17:04	ethereum above 2700 on february 3	No	SELL	2,916	100¢	$2,910	0x7c6e95…
02-03 10:05:06	ethereum above 2700 on february 3	No	BUY	2,923	100¢	$2,920	0x8396a5…
02-03 10:02:56	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 189	No	SELL	2,926	100¢	$2,920	0xf3337d…
02-03 04:23:08	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 189	No	BUY	2,933	100¢	$2,931	0x1f2375…
02-03 04:21:26	will ethereum reach 5000 in february 2026	No	SELL	2,942	100¢	$2,931	0xe0fd0b…
02-03 04:08:48	will ethereum reach 5000 in february 2026	No	BUY	2,948	100¢	$2,939	0xd415ef…
01-31 06:39:30	will ethereum reach 3500 january 26 1	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xfb5d5b…
01-31 06:39:10	will bitcoin dip to 74k january 26 1	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x6f626b…
01-31 06:38:52	will ethereum dip to 2200 in january 2026 518	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x836ae5…
01-31 06:38:30	will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x4b8bfe…
01-25 02:28:52	nba sac det 2026 01 25	Pistons	BUY	15	86¢	$13	0x249667…
01-25 02:28:30	nba mia uta 2026 01 24	Heat	BUY	13	71¢	$9	0x83aef0…
01-25 02:28:08	nba cle orl 2026 01 24	Cavaliers	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x15ee87…
01-25 02:27:34	nba lal dal 2026 01 24	Lakers	BUY	13	84¢	$11	0xa56133…
01-25 02:15:58	will ethereum reach 3900 january 19 25	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xf071a9…
01-20 03:12:42	xrp above 2pt1 on january 20	No	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0xd23e32…
01-20 03:12:12	will ethereum reach 3900 january 19 25	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x8d557b…
01-20 03:11:50	will the price of ethereum be between 3400 3500 on january 20	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x0c47b2…
01-20 03:11:30	ethereum above 3400 on january 20	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x33d69a…
01-20 02:59:00	israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	No	SELL	17	81¢	$14	0x99be44…
01-20 02:58:54	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	No	SELL	20	94¢	$18	0xfe57b4…
01-16 08:00:58	israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	No	BUY	17	80¢	$14	0x91c355…
01-16 08:00:26	Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	No	BUY	27	71¢	$19	0xf36481…
01-16 07:59:56	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x0bb504…