Plump-Thump-Estimate — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

77.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$248

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-10

last 05-11 00:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 56% $-5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	2	$45	31	31	+0	Down	+$15	05-11 00:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	2	$40	29	29	+0	Down	+$8	05-11 00:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	2	$38	52	52	+0	Down	+$20	05-11 00:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	2	$37	33	33	+0	Up	+$5	05-10 23:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	2	$33	18	18	+0	Down	+$3	05-10 23:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	1	$15	25	0	+25	Down	$-15	05-10 23:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	1	$15	19	0	+19	Up	$-15	05-10 23:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	1	$13	45	0	+45	Down	$-13	05-11 00:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	1	$12	18	0	+18	Up	$-12	05-11 00:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-11 00:21:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	18	67¢	$12	0x9f1221…
05-11 00:17:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	45	29¢	$13	0x2bf61c…
05-11 00:14:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	SELL	31	97¢	$30	0xaa8de3…
05-11 00:10:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	31	48¢	$15	0xb673fb…
05-11 00:08:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	SELL	29	83¢	$24	0x980074…
05-11 00:05:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	29	56¢	$16	0x46a24a…
05-11 00:03:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	SELL	52	56¢	$29	0x0b37a6…
05-11 00:01:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	52	18¢	$9	0xb88331…
05-10 23:59:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	19	81¢	$15	0xd0f23e…
05-10 23:54:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0x8566da…
05-10 23:50:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	18	83¢	$15	0x3dd9f5…
05-10 23:28:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	25	59¢	$15	0x54f4d1…
05-10 23:24:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	SELL	33	63¢	$21	0x17f3ad…
05-10 23:23:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	33	49¢	$16	0xcba18d…