Uneven-Photo — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

43.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$486

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

$24

1 position

First seen

2026-01-12

last 07-18 02:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

70% 0% $-8

Other

11% — —

Crypto

10% — —

Tech

5% — —

Sports

4% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No		+25	$24	95¢	$24	+$0	07-18 02:53

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	2	$271	142	142	+0	open	—	01-12 01:10
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	2	$24	25	0	+25	open	—	07-18 02:53
Trump out as President by April 30?	1	$11	11	0	+11	open	—	04-21 01:03
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-21 01:04
Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in April?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-21 01:05
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in May?	1	$9	9	0	+9	open	—	05-12 01:39
will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 781	1	$8	8	0	+8	open	—	02-03 04:34
putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	1	$8	8	0	+8	open	—	07-16 13:45
trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	1	$8	8	0	+8	open	—	07-16 13:44
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	1	$8	8	0	+8	Yes	$-8	04-21 01:04
putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	1	$7	8	0	+8	open	—	07-16 17:41
Will Solana reach $160 in April?	1	$7	7	0	+7	open	—	04-21 01:06
russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	1	$7	7	0	+7	open	—	02-03 04:34
will xai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 497	1	$7	7	0	+7	open	—	03-23 02:34
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	1	$7	7	0	+7	open	—	03-23 02:34
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	1	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	03-04 05:14
trump out as president by march 31	1	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	03-04 05:14
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	04-21 01:06
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	1	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	03-04 05:13
will xai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	1	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	02-03 04:35
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	1	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	04-28 06:08
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	04-21 01:06
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	04-21 01:07
Will Solana reach $170 in May?	1	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	05-12 01:40
will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	1	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	02-03 15:35
will bitcoin reach 92pt5k in june 2026	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	06-17 01:50
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	02-03 04:33
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	03-04 05:12
will bitcoin dip to 30k in march 2026	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	03-23 02:35
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	03-23 02:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-18 02:53:33	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0x016e1e…
07-16 17:41:55	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	No	BUY	8	99¢	$7	0x54d899…
07-16 13:45:49	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc9a0a7…
07-16 13:44:25	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x92a229…
06-17 01:50:47	will bitcoin reach 92pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$5	0xfbd5f3…
05-30 10:06:04	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xfafb81…
05-12 01:40:51	Will Solana reach $170 in May?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xe58e98…
05-12 01:39:58	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in May?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa7e670…
04-28 06:08:38	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x924df3…
04-21 01:07:08	Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xa764e7…
04-21 01:06:56	Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xc07739…
04-21 01:06:46	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x2387bf…
04-21 01:06:06	Will Solana reach $160 in April?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x266fd0…
04-21 01:05:42	Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in April?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd1cf27…
04-21 01:04:38	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x452dc3…
04-21 01:04:20	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd18244…
04-21 01:03:12	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xf2097a…
03-23 02:35:23	will bitcoin dip to 30k in march 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe8565b…
03-23 02:34:53	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xf17c5e…
03-23 02:34:31	will xai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 497	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xe993ac…
03-23 02:34:19	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x0be0ad…
03-04 05:14:43	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x8e5dbb…
03-04 05:14:07	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x6b6129…
03-04 05:13:45	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x4b0442…
03-04 05:12:53	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x731dcd…
02-03 15:35:36	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	6	91¢	$6	0x19f551…
02-03 04:35:32	will xai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x0235b3…
02-03 04:34:46	russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	No	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0x968176…
02-03 04:34:20	will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 781	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x84ffa2…
02-03 04:33:38	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	Yes	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x1a3ea9…
01-12 01:10:50	will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	No	SELL	142	95¢	$135	0xc730d3…
01-12 01:01:30	will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	No	BUY	142	95¢	$135	0x611b08…