Exotic-Misplacement — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$53

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.9%

Resolved

Trades

115

lifetime

Volume

$1.07K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-12

last 05-18 14:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 63% +$53

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 82 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	8	$64	90	0	+90	open	—	05-18 14:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	8	$55	70	23	+47	open	—	05-18 13:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	5	$50	61	0	+61	open	—	05-18 13:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	3	$48	75	0	+75	Down	$-20	05-12 08:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	3	$48	65	19	+46	Up	$-38	05-12 13:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	6	$44	56	0	+56	open	—	05-18 13:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	2	$43	55	0	+55	Down	+$12	05-12 09:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	3	$37	43	10	+33	Down	+$0	05-12 10:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	3	$35	74	9	+65	Up	+$31	05-12 11:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	2	$35	51	0	+51	Up	+$6	05-12 11:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	1	$30	39	0	+39	Down	+$9	05-12 09:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	1	$30	39	0	+39	Down	+$9	05-12 12:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	1	$30	43	0	+43	Down	+$13	05-12 09:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	1	$30	36	0	+36	Down	+$6	05-12 13:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	1	$25	38	0	+38	Up	+$13	05-12 07:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	3	$22	29	9	+21	Down	$-14	05-12 13:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	2	$20	25	0	+25	open	—	05-18 13:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	2	$15	18	0	+18	Down	+$3	05-12 15:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	2	$14	9	9	+0	Down	+$4	05-12 07:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	1	$13	28	0	+28	Up	+$15	05-12 11:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	1	$13	23	0	+23	Down	+$10	05-12 10:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	1	$13	22	0	+22	Down	+$9	05-12 11:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	1	$13	17	0	+17	Up	+$4	05-12 13:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	1	$13	15	0	+15	Up	+$2	05-12 08:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	1	$13	36	0	+36	Down	+$23	05-12 11:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	1	$13	23	0	+23	Down	+$10	05-12 10:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	1	$13	25	0	+25	Up	$-13	05-12 16:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	1	$13	17	0	+17	Down	+$4	05-12 13:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	1	$13	20	0	+20	Down	+$7	05-12 10:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	1	$13	16	0	+16	Up	$-13	05-12 16:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-18 14:23:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x69b49b…
05-18 14:15:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xcd98c9…
05-18 14:14:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x2eb3b0…
05-18 14:03:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xb9a618…
05-18 14:03:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xf568c2…
05-18 14:02:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x8a6cb5…
05-18 14:02:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x8cea69…
05-18 14:02:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0xe0c451…
05-18 14:02:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x3cd66b…
05-18 14:02:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x4c1b70…
05-18 14:01:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xc23edc…
05-18 13:58:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x2133b4…
05-18 13:57:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xd6a1d4…
05-18 13:57:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xa3ffc2…
05-18 13:56:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x36874f…
05-18 13:56:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x2a66e3…
05-18 13:52:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x023be4…
05-18 13:52:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x7d8c53…
05-18 13:49:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	23	9¢	$2	0x241e4f…
05-18 13:48:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x19d331…
05-18 13:48:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x44a0b7…
05-18 13:48:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xfb4863…
05-18 13:48:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xe4571f…
05-18 13:48:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xc2fb9a…
05-18 13:46:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	17	47¢	$8	0xecf251…
05-18 13:46:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x95e64d…
05-18 13:42:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xcfe4b9…
05-18 13:41:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x477d91…
05-18 13:41:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xe50bb0…
05-18 13:41:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0xe71661…
05-18 13:41:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0xcdc4ca…
05-18 13:41:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xb4dafc…
05-13 10:57:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x68ea1a…
05-12 16:11:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x6f6b0f…
05-12 16:07:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	25	53¢	$13	0xe081b3…
05-12 16:00:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	16	83¢	$13	0x337f24…
05-12 15:59:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3b708b…
05-12 15:59:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8a2cfc…
05-12 15:51:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xaf770a…
05-12 15:45:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xf903ee…
05-12 15:41:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x68bd5c…
05-12 15:38:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xd84b29…
05-12 15:35:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	69¢	$5	0xadd868…
05-12 15:30:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x801e09…
05-12 15:26:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x6d0656…
05-12 15:21:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xd031c1…
05-12 15:17:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0xe8c6e3…
05-12 15:10:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xe616b7…
05-12 15:09:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x4911b9…
05-12 15:07:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xed28b6…
05-12 15:04:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xae9bcc…
05-12 14:18:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xa086f5…
05-12 13:40:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xde000e…
05-12 13:33:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	46	65¢	$30	0x11e7fa…
05-12 13:33:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	SELL	19	26¢	$5	0x992d84…
05-12 13:30:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	19	69¢	$13	0x436617…
05-12 13:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	17	75¢	$13	0x24d29b…
05-12 13:13:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	36	83¢	$30	0xe94292…
05-12 13:06:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	21	63¢	$13	0xec0f47…
05-12 13:06:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	SELL	9	42¢	$4	0x7f9a6f…
05-12 13:05:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x60757a…
05-12 13:01:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	17	78¢	$13	0x706ece…
05-12 12:57:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	39	76¢	$30	0xd8c64e…
05-12 12:51:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	18	74¢	$13	0x60a9a0…
05-12 12:40:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xa3bc14…
05-12 12:38:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	SELL	13	1¢	$0	0x9986fa…
05-12 12:35:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xceb3db…
05-12 11:55:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	28	47¢	$13	0x902a88…
05-12 11:53:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	SELL	12	45¢	$5	0x670be1…
05-12 11:51:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x240ca5…
05-12 11:47:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x9f481c…
05-12 11:42:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	89	6¢	$5	0xe4b964…
05-12 11:39:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	SELL	9	5¢	$0	0x514bb1…
05-12 11:37:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	65	46¢	$30	0xcf74b8…
05-12 11:35:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xc6acff…
05-12 11:32:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	41	74¢	$30	0xdf38b6…
05-12 11:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x7987d7…
05-12 11:27:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x97e064…
05-12 11:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	36	36¢	$13	0x17555e…
05-12 11:06:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xf4ce7a…
05-12 11:01:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	22	58¢	$13	0x5d7bfb…
05-12 10:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x4d9066…
05-12 10:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x465928…
05-12 10:45:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	23	57¢	$13	0xe76027…
05-12 10:40:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	23	57¢	$13	0xd6f58a…
05-12 10:35:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x0461fe…
05-12 10:30:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x2da76a…
05-12 10:25:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x7994a9…
05-12 10:18:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	14	91¢	$13	0x16c96a…
05-12 10:14:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	33	91¢	$30	0xbc1f52…
05-12 10:13:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	10	21¢	$2	0x3b02f0…
05-12 10:11:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x3327c6…
05-12 10:06:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x6cb276…
05-12 10:02:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0xb78c4c…
05-12 09:56:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x5cc276…
05-12 09:50:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xc05f6d…
05-12 09:47:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	14	92¢	$13	0xe72f5b…
05-12 09:41:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	43	70¢	$30	0x60082d…
05-12 09:38:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	15	87¢	$13	0xb13810…
05-12 09:37:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	41	74¢	$30	0x404e0d…